Gambling Degenerate Thread

[Dale]

[TWEET]https://twitter.com/wynnbet/status/1461058652387766275?s=21[/TWEET]

Pretty shocked by this given the MSU line

 

[Some Irish Bloke]

[TWEET]https://twitter.com/wynnbet/status/1461058652387766275?s=21[/TWEET]

Pretty shocked by this given the MSU line

Tempted to drop big bucks on the Buckeyes. What does Vegas see in scUM that we don't? Did they watch the game at PSU last weekend? They're offense is so bad, and pOSU can score on anybody.

 

[RDU Irish]

I am taking MSU +19 and SMU +11 this weekend which I really like. Plus small money line bets on both for the chaos play (755 MSU, 317 SMU). I think Cincy either drops this one or the championship vs Houston - pressure building. I think Oklahoma bounces back strong and smokes ISU - only 3.5 point home favorite.

Wake Forest over 56 vs Clemson might get the farm placed on it. Noon games are going to be fun.

 

[Dale]

Not gonna be OSU -4.5 come tomorrow

 

[Some Irish Bloke]

Not gonna be OSU -4.5 come tomorrow

OSU still only -7.5 opening favorites over scUM...seems like free money unless I'm really missing something here.

scUM's weakness is really in their secondary and we all saw what OSU is capable of last week lol

 

[RDU Irish]

I am taking MSU +19 and SMU +11 this weekend which I really like. Plus small money line bets on both for the chaos play (755 MSU, 317 SMU). I think Cincy either drops this one or the championship vs Houston - pressure building. I think Oklahoma bounces back strong and smokes ISU - only 3.5 point home favorite.

Wake Forest over 56 vs Clemson might get the farm placed on it. Noon games are going to be fun.

Boy was I wrong on MSU/SMU - good thing Wake Forest defense is so reliable.

 

[Some Irish Bloke]

Boy was I wrong on MSU/SMU - good thing Wake Forest defense is so reliable.

I had a three leg parlay with Oklahoma (-3.5), Clemson (-3.5) and.....Sparty (+19.5). I was with you, seemed like a nice spread to take but OSU was on another planet Saturday afternoon.

I also had a two leg parlay with ND (-17.5) and....SMU (+9.5) lol, you weren't the only one who was fooled by the large point spreads.

 

[Dale]

Bowl gambling might be my favorite because from a fun standpoint. Don’t put your life savings into it but trying to predict motivations, the lines being out for weeks, non-con nature of them make them fun for shits. I jumped on a few non-big ones that I see moving:

A&M -3.5 vs Wake. I saw what Clemson did. Even with some opt outs I don’t see it ending much differently.

O58.5 Purdue/Tenn. Unless Hooker is not playing and I’m stuck with Milton for some reason idk how this isn’t in the 60s.

Others like Ole Miss I’m waiting for opt out news. Not gonna bet them without Corral confirmation for example

 

[BrownerandFry]

Bowl gambling might be my favorite because from a fun standpoint. Don’t put your life savings into it but trying to predict motivations, the lines being out for weeks, non-con nature of them make them fun for shits. I jumped on a few non-big ones that I see moving:

A&M -3.5 vs Wake. I saw what Clemson did. Even with some opt outs I don’t see it ending much differently.

O58.5 Purdue/Tenn. Unless Hooker is not playing and I’m stuck with Milton for some reason idk how this isn’t in the 60s.

Others like Ole Miss I’m waiting for opt out news. Not gonna bet them without Corral confirmation for example

A&M has been a play for me every year in bowls since Jimbo got there.

Look at the Blue Chip ratios for both. The men are in College Station, the boys (nice boys) in Winston Salem

 

[rtrn2glory]

Ohio passing a bill to legalize online gambling.... Trying to avoid it becoming a bad habit.. This doesn't help

 

[Dale]

Bowl gambling might be my favorite because from a fun standpoint. Don’t put your life savings into it but trying to predict motivations, the lines being out for weeks, non-con nature of them make them fun for shits. I jumped on a few non-big ones that I see moving:

A&M -3.5 vs Wake. I saw what Clemson did. Even with some opt outs I don’t see it ending much differently.

O58.5 Purdue/Tenn. Unless Hooker is not playing and I’m stuck with Milton for some reason idk how this isn’t in the 60s.

Others like Ole Miss I’m waiting for opt out news. Not gonna bet them without Corral confirmation for example

Do I get to steal the oracle tag for these being up to -7 and 63.5?

Guys are starting to back off their “oh yeah I’m playing in the bowl”. Pickett wasn’t as confident he’ll play and Burks now opted out after Pittman saying he doesn’t expect any opt outs

 

[zelezo vlk]

Bowl gambling might be my favorite because from a fun standpoint. Don’t put your life savings into it but trying to predict motivations, the lines being out for weeks, non-con nature of them make them fun for shits. I jumped on a few non-big ones that I see moving:

A&M -3.5 vs Wake. I saw what Clemson did. Even with some opt outs I don’t see it ending much differently.

O58.5 Purdue/Tenn. Unless Hooker is not playing and I’m stuck with Milton for some reason idk how this isn’t in the 60s.

Others like Ole Miss I’m waiting for opt out news. Not gonna bet them without Corral confirmation for example

FYI Karlaftis and Bell not playing for Purdon't

 

[Te'o4Heisman]

UGA to the bank. Skunkbears are going to get absolutely pants’d in that game.
uga was dominamt all season long and like people want to forget that because Bama lead by the Heisman winner were able to put up points. Aside from a B10 championship where it looked like Iowa wasnt even trying to win UM was impressive in 1 game all year against a very average schedule.
Their strengths do not match up well with UGA and they dont have the talent or athletes to replicate what Bama showed UGA to be susceptible to.

 

[Some Irish Bloke]

UGA to the bank. Skunkbears are going to get absolutely pants’d in that game.
uga was dominamt all season long and like people want to forget that because Bama lead by the Heisman winner were able to put up points. Aside from a B10 championship where it looked like Iowa wasnt even trying to win UM was impressive in 1 game all year against a very average schedule.
Their strengths do not match up well with UGA and they dont have the talent or athletes to replicate what Bama showed UGA to be susceptible to.

TBF, UGA;s schedule also turned out to be a paper tiger and they finally played some real competition against Bama. I think it will be a much closer game the second time around if/when they meet up in the NCG, but agree that they should roll scUM.

 

[dublinirish]

makes ya think

 

[RDU Irish]

DK allowing 50% week 0 boost to go to futures:

To make semi finals (Final Four)
pOSU +110
Oregon +140
Indiana +160
ND +120
Miami +250
Georgia best of SEC at +170

To make the championship game:
pOSU +225
ND +270
Oregon +310
Indiana +320

ND to make the semis seems like the easiest pick here. B1G can eat each other up to where you have no idea who finishes on top and who ends up needing to win two to make the semis, possibly starting on the road.

Price Offensive Rookie of the Year odds coming down.

Really like some ND props this year but I hate locking my bankroll up all season. A lot of these early season bonuses are allowing futures - 100% boost on CJ Heisman

Fanatics giving CFP champ boost but they pulled back the odds so its not worth it. They have ND +320 to make championship game and +140 to make semis.

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

DK allowing 50% week 0 boost to go to futures:

To make semi finals (Final Four)
pOSU +110
Oregon +140
Indiana +160
ND +120
Miami +250
Georgia best of SEC at +170

To make the championship game:
pOSU +225
ND +270
Oregon +310
Indiana +320

ND to make the semis seems like the easiest pick here. B1G can eat each other up to where you have no idea who finishes on top and who ends up needing to win two to make the semis, possibly starting on the road.

Price Offensive Rookie of the Year odds coming down.

Really like some ND props this year but I hate locking my bankroll up all season. A lot of these early season bonuses are allowing futures - 100% boost on CJ Heisman

Fanatics giving CFP champ boost but they pulled back the odds so its not worth it. They have ND +320 to make championship game and +140 to make semis.

Here's what I'm on so far...

Title: ND

To make CFP: Oklahoma, Penn State, Boise State, and Memphis

Conference: Oregon (B10), Georgia (SEC), LSU (SEC), Louisville (ACC), Kansas State (B12), TCU (B12), Boise State (P12), Fresno State (P12), UNM (MWC), Air Force (MWC), Memphis (AAC), Tulsa (AAC), Marshall (SBC); Arkansas State (SBC); FIU (CUSA), Miami Ohio (MAC), and Eastern Michigan (MAC)

Heisman: Carr, Leavitt, Byrum Brown, Jennings, JKS, Kienholz, Minchey, and Faison

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

Week 0 picks:

1. TCU -6.5
2. Eastern Michigan -9.5
3. NC State +6 (and moneyline)
4. Memphis +6 (and moneyline)
5. USC/SJSU over 58.5

 

[IrishLax]

Week 0 picks:

1. TCU -6.5
2. Eastern Michigan -9.5
3. NC State +6 (and moneyline)
4. Memphis +6 (and moneyline)
5. USC/SJSU over 58.5

Damn how did you get 58.5

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

Damn how did you get 58.5

About two months ago IIRC.