InKellyWeTrust
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For those on the continuing of mitigating side of the fence, when would you be OK with that ending? I hear the until it is safe being thrown around (not sure what that even means). From what I have read to truly stop the virus, 60% of the population must have the antibodies which mitigation stops from happening. I also hear people say when there is a vaccine. We have all heard the doctors say that best case scenario is 12-18 months. Is that when you will be OK with opening things back up? There are currently seven known Corona viruses. Four of them cause the common cold and the other three are SARS, MERS and COVID 19. There is no vaccine for the common cold today as well as MERS. They stopped working on the one for SARS because the virus went away. What happens if there is no vaccine?
1) you have to get the number of active infections down to a fraction of what they are now. This would likely be state to state, city to city decisions because of the diversity of our country's demographics
2) to be able to know the true number of active infections we have to be able to broaden the scope of testing to include ALL those with compatible symptoms. This would need to be perhaps 500k to a million per day, at least to start. The turnaround time also needs to improve significantly and be more homogeneous across our population.
3) there would need to be some sort of practical way to contact trace and test close contacts of positive cases in order to shut down local and regional outbreaks before they are unmanageable by individual quarantines alone.
4) a reliable antibody test to, at minimum, be used in healthcare and essential jobs with close contact to hundreds of people per day.
5) not a requirement but something that would dramatically improve our situation is an evidence-based, effective treatment preferably one that would decrease need for hospitalizations
Bottom line - more testing, ability to trace contacts that wouldn't infringe on our constitution, and well on the backend of the curve. Also, each state/metro area needs to make the decision for themselves based off all the above. BUT, there needs to be country wide parameters in place because we dont want one boneheaded mayor or governor making a poor decision risking the work and effort of all the others across the country.