Thanks, yeah I agree it seems Kizer holds onto the ball too long. This isn't new so why can't it be fixed? I have to believe that Kelly, Denbrock, and Sanford have all addressed it. Just doesn't make sense.
So, here is my view:
1. Teams are rushing their ends upfield now to set the edge and not let him escape the pocket. I've been seeing that in most games this year. So when Kizer gets to "3 Mississippi" and tries to tuck the ball there is nowhere to escape to.
2A. Why is he holding the ball to "3 Mississippi"? Well, last year he could hold the ball all day with no problem because the line was so good no pressure ever got home even waiting that long and...
2B. He doesn't throw in rhythm, he waits for people to actually beat their man and get open. Even on his really bad interception where he tried to squeeze it in to ESB between 3 defenders he could've completed that pass if he threw it earlier... but because he waited, he had to throw it flat because of the safety coming in over the top, and the CB likewise knew he had help there and undcercut the route.
2C. He doesn't look to the check down until it's too late and they're covered. The check down is what you're supposed to hit at "2 Mississippi" if your other routes look covered.
3. He does a bad job pre-snap diagnosing who is going to be open. On second down in the Stanford red zone when he takes a horrible sack, Josh Adams is immediately open for a dump off. He's going to gain a huge chunk of yards if Kizer just immediately tosses it to him... he never looks his way and takes a sack. He's too often looking/waiting for something to come open that isn't open and missing where the play should go. This is what the great QBs (Manning, Brady, etc.) all do so well... know where to go with the ball, and get there fast.
I think the only answer at this point is to take the load off Kizer's plate and given him single-read plays. "Throw it to this guy, if it isn't open move immediately to your checkdown here... if that isn't open, tuck and run upfield." Because he's clearly incapable of running the offense how everyone thought he could.