13 will not be the final member. Leaving behind ~$85B in state of the art military equipment will result in countless more America deaths in the future that we won't attribute to the equipment but it will be significant.
What a blunder. This democratic administration is getting exposed but costing lives and quality of life in the process.
Yeah, probably not.
1) That $85 billion figure is grossly overestimated. The United States has spent $83 billion TOTAL supplying the Afghan Army since the war began. Most estimates have the defense spending of that aid around $25 to $30 billion over a 20-year period.
2) Even if you were fooled by comments made by Rep. Jim Banks about the $85 billion figure, he mentioned 75,000 vehicles being left behind. That's like $15 billion minimum right there. That doesn't leave much money left over for bigger, fancier fighting machines to get to $85 billion. Common sense and two seconds of research show how big of a lie this is to our country.
3) A fraction of that ~$28 billion in defense equipment would still be state of the art with plenty of difficulties for the Taliban to learn how to use it, train people, and most importantly keep that equipment usable as it degrades over time. The clock is already ticking as that equipment won't last very long.
4) The vast majority of the equipment left behind (or we should say given up by the Afghanistan army) are small arms with some Humvees, Black Hawk helicopters, and A-29 Tucano aircraft. Quite a bit of equipment was moved out of Afghanistan and/or destroyed. The actual price of equipment left behind is likely very, very small in defense budget terms.
5) The Taliban have no sea power and extremely limited air power. Even if they can get former Afghanistan military members to fly what's left behind they will not be able to operate the limited attack capabilities of those systems all that well, nor as I said maintain these systems for very long without the necessary updates and training.
6) Short-term, the Taliban aren't the problem. ISIS is the larger concern and they don't get along too well with the Taliban. In fact, the Taliban have every incentive right now to let Americans leave peacefully so they don't A) feel our wrath B) keep those weapons left behind and C) allow them to set up their Sharia society and get rid of ISIS.
7) The Taliban pose an extremely small threat to the United States, which is why we're leaving! And in the case that they were to act up or if we are to worry about the fear-mongering that they'd use all this billions of equipment, we'll send in drone strikes as soon as we're out.
We've evacuated tens of thousands of Americans and others from a 20-year war. Of course it's awful that 13 US service members and nearly 200 people died from an ISIS suicide bomber attack last week. But set against nearly 2,500 American deaths and 20,000 wounded this is a very small part of the war.
So, consider the following:
1) You have to come up with some very strong right-wing fantasies to think the Taliban and their tiny arms are going to do much of anything on a global scale. They couldn't overtake Chicago right now FFS, to say nothing of projecting terrorism from 7,000 miles away. Especially considering the Taliban aren't Al-Qaeda or ISIS and we'll have a far greater watchful eye over the region than we did pre-9/11.
2) Once the hysteria subsides, the evacuation very likely will look like a success in historical terms. Well over 100,000 people evacuated with a little over 100 deaths total from a 20-year war. When you take into account that the vast majority of Americans wanted to get out in the first place, and even more American care less about Afghanistan, the evacuation won't really matter in the least bit. This is why there's been such a strong push here for promoting point #1 just above to scare Americans into thinking this is going to haunt us...somehow, someway in the future. The cries that this is the greatest military blunder of the century or longer, haha okay. People who think the evacuation is going to overshadow a failed 20-year war in a place that no one cares about...I guarantee right now your anger is going to turn on the media and others real quick as the weeks and months progress.