2030 - The World Post Covid

Irish YJ

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I think you will see a change in sick time policy for the ones that can work from home and be effective. So if you get 7 sick days you may know get like 3 sick at home days. Where you still work and get paid but you it doesn’t cost you a sick day. And of course you have to put a limit on it because if not people will take advantage of it

I've managed a lot of folks over the years, and have had very large orgs national and international. Lot's of VO. Productivity definitely suffers, but sick days do go down except for Monday's and Fridays lol, and from the younger employees, which are typically booze flues. Key thing is to have good performance metrics. What's inspected is typically respected...
 

Blazers46

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I think in 10 years we will have at least 1 or 2 pandemics more pandemicky than COVID. So I think this years COVID-19 will be a moot point in 2030.
 

Irish#1

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My biggest hope is we make common sense changes to the supply chain in many areas, especially on the medical side of things. I also hope folks view Globalism a bit differently.

While I think we'll see a little more work from home, more tele doctor visits, etc., I think things will get back to normal for the most part.

There will definitely be some areas affected. More virtual doctor visits as you mentioned. Commercial real estate will be one as Cruz mentioned. The oil industry and car insurance with fewer people driving. Retail stores were already under siege from e-commerce prior to COVID, but this probably solidified online shopping. Delivery services (local and national) will do better as online shopping increases. FedEx has had a hard time staying up with the current demand. They are also trying to gouge companies right now. We've had them try to charge us $3K for a pallet to be delivered where they normally charge us $600.

My biggest fear is sports as we know it today may go way. The one area that remained fairly removed from politics is sports. It's one place where all of us regardless of color or sex could come together to escape the burdens of life for a few hours, including politics. I can see things changing enough where people will find other things to do rather than have their last escape embroiled in turmoil.
 
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Irishize

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There will definitely be some areas affected. More virtual doctor visits as you mentioned. Commercial real estate will be one as Cruz mentioned. The oil industry and car insurance with fewer people driving. Retail stores were already under siege from e-commerce prior to COVID, but this probably solidified online shopping. Delivery services (local and national) will do better as online shopping increases. FedEx has had a hard time staying up with the current demand. They are also trying to gouge companies right now. We've had them try to charge us $3K for a pallet to be delivered where they normally charge us $600.

My biggest fear is sports as we know it today may go way. The one area that remained fairly removed from politics is sports. It's one place where all of us regardless of color or sex could come together to escape the burdens of life for a few hours, including politics. I can see things changing enough where people will find other things to do rather than have their last escape embroiled in turmoil.


I hope we are wrong about sports but today...in the moment...you get the feeling that pro sports will be the backdrop to what amounts to public political protests du jour and college will be about the players revolting against the “system” that uses them to make millions for their respective institutions.
 

Irish#1

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I hope we are wrong about sports but today...in the moment...you get the feeling that pro sports will be the backdrop to what amounts to public political protests du jour and college will be about the players revolting against the “system” that uses them to make millions for their respective institutions.

I'm afraid we're heading there.
 

goldandblue

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We turn into blobs like the movie Wall-e because our kids are no longer allowed to participate in athletics...
 

Blazers46

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I think in 10 years we will have at least 1 or 2 pandemics more pandemicky than COVID. So I think this years COVID-19 will be a moot point in 2030.

Which year are you predicting 2024 or 2028?

In todays climate I might be optimistic thinking just 1 to 2 pandemics. 10 years from now COVID will just probably be remembered as th beginning and other events will adjust how 2030 looks.
 

Wingman Ray

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Rev 13:16-17 Mark of the Beast will come to fruition

No travel without the chip implant that can be scanned for immunizations. Too risky to not have to prove immediately your immunizations. All in the name of "safety" for others but in reality furthering the true lord of this world's agenda.

Paper money fades to be replaced by the chip. All in the same of "your safety" as the chip cant be stolen or pickpocked. Decreases significant chance for money fraud.

Eventually you cant get work without the chip to verify your records and direct payroll deposit. No more paper checks. Social Security/Retirement? No direct deposit without the chip. Either conform or...

Then how do you pay your property taxes if the home is paid for? You dont have to have insurance but miss a couple years of property tax and you can lose your home.

More furthering the agenda and punishing true Christians who wont buckle and cave in.

Plan for it folks.
 

T-Boone

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I hope we are wrong about sports but today...in the moment...you get the feeling that pro sports will be the backdrop to what amounts to public political protests du jour and college will be about the players revolting against the “system” that uses them to make millions for their respective institutions.

So long as the game still gets played I am fine with that. Just accept it. I tend not to watch pre or post game stuff anymore. However if players start to strike it will ruin sports (or at least sports as we know it at the moment).

Its not like college sports forces anyone to play. Does the NCAA set the rule that players cant go to the draft until they are 3 years out of high school - if players are upset by that they should protest the NFL.
 
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GoldenToTheGrave

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Also, they question whether it's caused by man or doing what climate has always done, change. It should be no surprise that it's getting warmer given the fact that we just came out of a mini ice age a few hundred years ago.

This is textbook climate denialism.
 

Irish YJ

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There will definitely be some areas affected. More virtual doctor visits as you mentioned. Commercial real estate will be one as Cruz mentioned. The oil industry and car insurance with fewer people driving. Retail stores were already under siege from e-commerce prior to COVID, but this probably solidified online shopping. Delivery services (local and national) will do better as online shopping increases. FedEx has had a hard time staying up with the current demand. They are also trying to gouge companies right now. We've had them try to charge us $3K for a pallet to be delivered where they normally charge us $600.

My biggest fear is sports as we know it today may go way. The one area that remained fairly removed from politics is sports. It's one place where all of us regardless of color or sex could come together to escape the burdens of life for a few hours, including politics. I can see things changing enough where people will find other things to do rather than have their last escape embroiled in turmoil.

I think people will have shorter memories once a vaccine is available and we get past this. Admittedly I'm still terrified for my mother and have altered my life habits because of her, but if it wasn't for her, I would not fear this virus. And once there is a vaccine, I'm not going to worry at all about the next virus.

Retail was already trending south, but some folks will always want to buy certain things in person. At some point it will level off and stabilize. Covid hurried that, but it was going to happen regardless. As far as insurance and oil is concerned, folks will be back out in force when we are clear of this. Perhaps some elder folks will remain skiddish about going back out, but the rest will be back. My mother's younger sister (72 I think) is still running around almost daily (irritating as hell, and I told her to stay away from my mom's house).

I'm a little surprised Fedex is pushing up rates that bad. We really have never used them a lot for LTL/pallet anyway. There were always cheaper options, so long as they weren't ultra time sensitive. Under the current situation, not shocked I guess.

The sports issue also concerns me. Not really because of Covid, but more because of protests and politics. It was one of the rare places of escape and folks could stand side by side and forget about the world for a while.
 

Irish#1

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So long as the game still gets played I am fine with that. Just accept it. I tend not to watch pre or post game stuff anymore. However if players start to strike it will ruin sports (or at least sports as we know it at the moment).

Its not like college sports forces anyone to play. Does the NCAA set the rule that players cant go to the draft until they are 3 years out of high school - if players are upset by that they should protest the NFL.

It took a long time for MLB to recover from their strike. I'm not sure who is more to blame, MLB players union or the owners, but if they don't get this figured out to have an abbreviated season, they will be in deep do do. TV contracts will be a fraction of what they are now. When there is considerably less money to share, both will point the blame at each other.
 

NDohio

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It took a long time for MLB to recover from their strike. I'm not sure who is more to blame, MLB players union or the owners, but if they don't get this figured out to have an abbreviated season, they will be in deep do do. TV contracts will be a fraction of what they are now. When there is considerably less money to share, both will point the blame at each other.


Baseball attendance was already in the toilet. If they don't play at all this year it will be very difficult for them to recover.
 

Legacy

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COVID-19 And The Financial Viability Of US Rural Hospitals
(Health Affairs, JULY 1, 2020)

Approximately 30 percent of general acute care hospitals in the US are rural hospitals, serving sixty million people. Rural hospitals are relatively small (median number of beds: 25). In our recent study published in Health Affairs, we found that between 2011 and 2017, both median overall profit margins and the proportions of profitable hospitals declined for all rural hospital types except for non-profit critical access hospitals (CAHs). (CAHs are rural hospitals that have no more than twenty-five inpatient beds and are located more than 35 miles from another hospital. The Medicare program pays CAHs at 101 percent of their cost for treating Medicare patients.)

Looking state by state, we also found that the median profit margins and the proportions of profitable rural hospitals in most states declined between 2011 and 2017. This is in contrast to the improvement of financial status of urban hospitals during this period. In 2017, rural hospitals had less than half the median overall profit margin of urban hospitals (2.7 percent vs 5.6 percent) and a smaller proportion of profitable ones (64 percent vs. 74 percent).

The COVID-19 pandemic has amplified existing financial pressures on rural hospitals. Below, we discuss our research in more depth. We then describe the impact of COVID-19 on rural hospitals and lay out possible policy responses.

The Financial Impact Of COVID-19 On Rural Hospitals

The financial impact of COVID-19 pandemic on hospitals is twofold. First, similar to urban hospitals, elective services have been cancelled or deferred, due to government executive orders and patients’ concern for exposure to potential coronavirus infection. Second, spending for personal protective equipment (PPE) and other equipment has increased. Lower revenue combined with higher expenses has created financial challenges for hospitals. Rural hospitals, especially non-CAHs, are likely to be particularly vulnerable, considering their small size and the fact that they already had low occupancy rate and thin margin prior to COVID-19. Although rural hospitals have not treated as many COVID-19 patients as compared to their urban counterparts, they too experienced service volume drop, revenue decrease, and higher spending on medical supplies.

To address these financial challenges, the CARES Act authorizes $100 billion of financial relief to hospitals and other health care providers, including a special allocation of $10 billion for rural providers (allocated based on operating expenses). The CARES Act also increases Medicare payments for treating COVID-19 patients, removes the “Medicare sequester,” and expands the Medicare Accelerated and Advanced Payments Program. The Paycheck Protection Program and Health Care Enhancement Act authorizes $75 additional relief funds for hospitals and other health care providers (not yet allocated as of June 7, 2020).

It is unclear whether congressional relief, designed to provide fast liquidity to recipients’ cash flows, will be sufficient to compensate for COVID-19’s short-term financial impact on rural hospitals. Even if it is sufficient, certain financial risks imposed by COVID-19 will likely remain for a longer period of time. First, the demand for some elective procedures might decline persistently, affecting hospital revenue. Second, hospital operating expense might increase due to higher PPE spending and newly imposed social distancing restrictions. Third, the expansion of telemedicine might lead to lower revenue for rural hospitals as in-person care decreases.

453 rural hospitals are failing — Medicare for All would save them (The Hil, 3/11/20 - prior to COVID impact)

Our for-profit health care system isn’t working for rural Americans. More than 120 rural hospitals have closed since 2010. According to a new report from Chartis Center for Rural Health, another 453—almost one in four—are at risk of failing. Corporate health insurers can’t provide coverage to meet rural patients’ needs, and it’s endangering the bottom line of rural hospitals. Medicare for All would save them. (cont)
 
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