2020 Elections

[Irish YJ]

Nothing to see here folks

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Shot and chaser <a href="https://t.co/aBH8eSBIoC">pic.twitter.com/aBH8eSBIoC</a></p>— Adrian Vermeule (@Vermeullarmine) <a href="https://twitter.com/Vermeullarmine/status/1321064307258515458?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 27, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Partisan stuff like that should disqualify folks from being and "election official". Given Acamp's experience, and some of the stuff I've heard from neighbors about local stuff, pretty crazy.

 

[NorthDakota]

Wait until you find out a SC justice was used in a political ad! Scary stuff!

Not sure what you mean

 

[NorthDakota]

Partisan stuff like that should disqualify folks from being and "election official". Given Acamp's experience, and some of the stuff I've heard from neighbors about local stuff, pretty crazy.

these people don't belong within 50 miles of a polling place. Particularly in a swing state.

 

[yankeehater]

Project Veritas undercover video of this woman "vote flipping" seniors in Texas is disgusting. She and the people paying her need to be imprisoned. She claims to have switched over 7000 votes in one of the videos. Doesn't make you feel too confident in the vote count.

https://thepostmillennial.com/project-veritas-exposes-ballot-chaser-pressuring-seniors

 

[Irish#1]

Project Veritas undercover video of this woman "vote flipping" seniors in Texas is disgusting. She and the people paying her need to be imprisoned. She claims to have switched over 7000 votes in one of the videos. Doesn't make you feel too confident in the vote count.

https://thepostmillennial.com/project-veritas-exposes-ballot-chaser-pressuring-seniors

Oh Legacy?

 

[NorthDakota]

Project Veritas undercover video of this woman "vote flipping" seniors in Texas is disgusting. She and the people paying her need to be imprisoned. She claims to have switched over 7000 votes in one of the videos. Doesn't make you feel too confident in the vote count.

https://thepostmillennial.com/project-veritas-exposes-ballot-chaser-pressuring-seniors

Particularly troubling during hyper partisan times when both parties (im not gonna pretend its exclusively a lib thing) seem content to call this the most important election ever and you'll get weirdos who think they are being patriotic or "doing their part" to save the country.

 

[TorontoGold]

Project Veritas undercover video of this woman "vote flipping" seniors in Texas is disgusting. She and the people paying her need to be imprisoned. She claims to have switched over 7000 votes in one of the videos. Doesn't make you feel too confident in the vote count.

https://thepostmillennial.com/project-veritas-exposes-ballot-chaser-pressuring-seniors

Lmao a Republican operative taking advantage of old people to get her candidate to win.

I know the video is supposed to be inflammatory towards Dems, but literally her whole goal is to get her candidate (republican) to win a house seat.

 

[Legacy]

Project Veritas? Really? In his defense, James O'Keefe? Erik Prince was never prosecuted by the DOJ for his Russian contacts. It's a right-wing disinformation outfit.

Surely you know their history and ties to the Trump Admin. Does O'Keefe have that much money to settle all his lawsuits and pay lawyers? Or are their other sources willing to do that for the impact?

 

[ACamp1900]

Partisan stuff like that should disqualify folks from being and "election official". Given Acamp's experience, and some of the stuff I've heard from neighbors about local stuff, pretty crazy.

The problem is I believe you MUST have a registered Republican and Democrat on hand currently. I know that’s how it was in SB county in Cali and how it is here in Texas. I’m not sure off hand if that is a federal thing but I think it is,... and for good reason. Imagine my experience without the right winger there to balance things. In fairness my mother in law worked 2016 as the Republican pollster,... her experience with the Dem was great by all accounts.

 

[Irish YJ]

The problem is I believe you MUST have a registered Republican and Democrat on hand currently. I know that’s how it was in SB county in Cali and how it is here in Texas. I’m not sure off hand if that is a federal thing but I think it is,... and for good reason. Imagine my experience without the right winger there to balance things. In fairness my mother in law worked 2016 as the Republican pollster,... her experience with the Dem was great by all accounts.

I have zero issue with a registered whatever being there. They absolutely need rep from both sides. I just think an election official should have a level of decorum to carry out their jobs. Our poll workers here have always had to keep their leans in check when working. A neighbor here has always ran the poll in my area down at a local church. She's a very moderate dem and only really got involved years ago because it was at one of her church's buildings. She said things are pretty crazy this year all over with the poll workers.

 

[ACamp1900]

Well,... can confirm that last part locally,... lol

 

[Irish YJ]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">BREAKING IN MANHATTAN. Anti-Trump protesters rip flags off vehicles part of the <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/JewsForTrump?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#JewsForTrump</a> vehicle convoy. Throw red paint on vehicles, punch Trump supporters. <a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@realDonaldTrump</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@TrumpWarRoom</a> <a href="https://t.co/qbCeMKWWl9">pic.twitter.com/qbCeMKWWl9</a></p>— NYC Scanner (@NYScanner) <a href="https://twitter.com/NYScanner/status/1320425646800199682?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 25, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">More from brawl in Manhattan when anti-Trump protesters attack <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/JewsForTrump?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#JewsForTrump</a> vehicle convoy <a href="https://t.co/KUPratW4Mf">pic.twitter.com/KUPratW4Mf</a></p>— NYC Scanner (@NYScanner) <a href="https://twitter.com/NYScanner/status/1320426129405214723?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 25, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

 

[yankeehater]

Project Veritas? Really? In his defense, James O'Keefe? Erik Prince was never prosecuted by the DOJ for his Russian contacts. It's a right-wing disinformation outfit.

Surely you know their history and ties to the Trump Admin. Does O'Keefe have that much money to settle all his lawsuits and pay lawyers? Or are their other sources willing to do that for the impact?

Tell that to ACORN.

 

[drayer54]

Y’all watch that Bobulinski interview?

I believe him.

 

[Irish YJ]

Y’all watch that Bobulinski interview?

I believe him.

Nope. What was on the recordings?

 

[drayer54]

Nope. What was on the recordings?

The recordings weren’t earth shattering. Just the other non-biden sounding legit.

He had a complex story. Not as much involvement from Joe as I was hoping for.

He definitely tied all of the Bidens to the cash. He has documents.

The Navy stuff sounded fishy to me. I also went to Naval Nuclear Power Training Command and his description of the clearance was... a bit much.

 

[Legacy]

A week before the election, Texas National Guard prepares to deploy troops to cities (Texas Tribune)

Troops could be sent to five major cities: Houston, Dallas, Fort Worth, Austin and San Antonio, according to the San Antonio Express-News, which first reported the move. The newspaper reported that Guard members could arrive as soon as this weekend. Law enforcement agencies across the state have been preparing for protests or other unrest on election night. Police departments in Austin, El Paso, San Antonio and Fort Worth previously said officers were planning for demonstrations.

Retired Maj. Gen. James K. “Red” Brown, chief of staff to the guard’s commander said that the activation of troops was for “postelection” support of local law enforcement and the Texas Department of Public Safety.

Texas Guard spokesman Brandon Jones said,
“Right now we could go to 1,000 troops in support of civil disturbance operations. We’re going to guard buildings just like we did during the George Floyd protests earlier this year. We are not going anywhere near polling locations. That has not been requested.” Earlier, Jones said the scope of the mission might broaden. “We have not been asked to go to any polling locations as of yet. Now, that could change, leading up to the election or after the election.”

Officials in San Antonio said they weren’t consulted and didn’t think the move was necessary. The mayors of Dallas and Houston also said that they were unaware of any deployment nor been told about it by the Governor's office.

Law enforcement agencies across the state have been preparing for protests or other unrest on election night. Police departments in Austin, El Paso, San Antonio and Fort Worth previously said officers were planning for demonstrations.

Separately, the FBI’s field office in Dallas warned that far-right extremists could pose a violent threat in North Texas around the election.

Far-right extremists pose rising threat in North Texas around election, FBI’s Dallas office says
(Dallas Morning News)

The FBI’s Dallas field office warned law enforcement this week that far-right extremist groups are likely to expand their influence and could pose a violent threat in North Texas, especially between the Nov. 3 election and January’s presidential inauguration.

The field office’s report — marked “unclassified/law enforcement sensitive” — says the fringe boogaloo movement is likely to step up its violent anti-government rhetoric and criminal activities, increasing the threat of violence in North Texas. (cont)

As for early voting in Texas, forty-six percent of registered voters in Texas had cast their ballots through Monday. In 2016, the percentage was 43.5% for the entire early voting period. Texas has had 14 days of early voting so far and has four days left. The raw total of votes cast through Monday was 7.8 million, 1.2 million more than the 6.6 million who cast ballots early in all of 2016 and 87% of the total number of votes cast in the state during the last presidential election. There are 1.8 million more registered voters in Texas than in 2016, a 12.3% increase. But the percentage turnout indicates that population increases alone can’t account for the high number of early voters in the state.

 

[Legacy]

The only reason I can think of that Trump would not endorse Martha McSally for the Senate from Arizona is the lawsuit she won against the DoD when she served in S.A. The Saudis would not have looked kindly on their restrictions on all women appearing in public being changed for American service women. Trump may consider himself to be close to MSB. McSally returned to SA with these remarks through her Senate site.

On Project Veritas, James O'Keefe and ACORN,
ACORN 2009 undercover videos controversy

and
James O'Keefe Pays $100,000 To ACORN Employee He Smeared-Conservative Media Yawns (Forbes)

Unfortunately, O’Keefe and Hanna Giles were given immunity from criminal prosecution in exchange for turning over the complete and unedited tapes that O’Keefe shot in Los Angeles, San Francisco and National City where the doctored tape with Juan Carlos Vera was made.

 

[drayer54]

I fully expect violence after the election. Look at Philadelphia last night. People are excited, angry, and one side won’t be happy.

Left wing violence will be in every majory city if Trump pulls this out.

 

[Legacy]

Trump could absolutely win this. A narrow path, if we are to believe forecasts - but who knows with those. This link below is interactive so that you can change the outcome of states.

2020 President: Consensus Electoral Map
(270 to win, October 27, 2020)

270 does give Biden - Nevada, Colorado, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire. His total is 290 with those. Trump has 163.

Trump needs to take all their "Toss Up" states of Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio and Iowa, which gets him to 247. Flipping Pennsylvania gets him to 267 with Biden at 270. New Hampshire with 4 votes puts him at 271. He could lose Pennsylvania but win with Michigan and Wisconsin instead.

Winning Arizona seems like an outside chance for Trump. Texas may be close with all the early voting probably favoring Dems, but is Rep still.

 

[Blazers46]

With all the early votes and that favoring the dems and people expecting Republican votes to storm in on election day... does any fear or see a scenerio where voting is obstructed or shut down on election day? Or something to discourage voting on election day? Locally I saw on a liberal FB page where people were sort of hinting or asking the question what they could do to discourage voting on election day.

 

[Irish#1]

I don't see Trump winning, but if the early voting is predominantly Repub as reported, he may pull it out.

 

[NorthDakota]

I don't see Trump winning, but if the early voting is predominantly Repub as reported, he may pull it out.

Will need to see how the independents fall and how minorities go. Hopefully Don pulls it out but im not confident lol

 

[ulukinatme]

Is Texas really a possible blue flip? I remember all that talk in 2016 and 2018 that the blue wave was coming and people thought Texas could go blue for the first time in forever, but it didn't happen. I'm honestly asking because I don't know, how close was it the last two elections?

 

[NEIIrish]

Is Texas really a possible blue flip? I remember all that talk in 2016 and 2018 that the blue wave was coming and people thought Texas could go blue for the first time in forever, but it didn't happen. I'm honestly asking because I don't know, how close was it the last two elections?

It’s not happening. Maybe in a decade but still unlikely.

 

[Legacy]

Is Texas really a possible blue flip? I remember all that talk in 2016 and 2018 that the blue wave was coming and people thought Texas could go blue for the first time in forever, but it didn't happen. I'm honestly asking because I don't know, how close was it the last two elections?

Trump won Texas by 9% in 2016. Cruz beat Beto for his Senate seat by 2.6% in 2018. In that election, the top six Texas cities by population voted Democratic as did most of them in 2016. The demographics are changing. In addition to the growing metropolitan populations, Hispanics are now 30% of the state population.

Over 8.3 million Texans voted in the 2018 midterm elections when about 4.6 million voted in the 2014 midterms.
The 2020 turnout so far has been huge. As of Monday, raw total of votes cast was 7.8 million, 1.2 million more than the 6.6 million who cast ballots early in all of 2016 and 87% of the total number of votes cast in the state during the last presidential election. There are 1.8 million more registered voters in Texas than in 2016, a 12.3% increase.

The Dems have an outside chance to take the Texas House of Reps, which would mean they would be involved in redistricting after the census results. The expectation is that Texas will gain two more Districts. Dems may flip a couple of House seats this year. Four supreme court justice seats of the nine are being heavily contested by Dems and that would rule on any redistricting.

Trump may well win by a much smaller margin. It would be a big upset if Cornyn did not win his Senate seat.

 

[Legacy]

Currently, the Texaas delegation for the House consists of 36 members, with 23 Republicans, and 13 Democrats after the 2018 election. All the Dems are favored to keep their seats.

Three Republican incumbents' seats are rated Toss Ups. Their winning margins in '18 are in the column after their names followed by Trump's margin in '16.
TX 21 Toss-Up. Chip Roy (R) 2.80% (incumbent margin '18) 10.0% (Trump margin)
TX 22 Toss-Up Pete Olson (R) 4.90% 7.9% (Trump)
TX 24 Toss-Up Ken Marchant (R) 3.20% 6.2% (Trump)

Texas 21 represents an area north of San Antonio
Texas 22 represents Suburban and S. Central Houston
Texas 24 represents the area betw FW and Dallas

The incumbent from Texas 23 - Will Hurd (R) - retired. He won in '18 by 0.4%. The district went for Clinton by 3.4%. The district represents SW Texas - 68% Hispanic. It's rated "Lean Democratic". So, it's a possibility that the Dems could flip four seats in the House leaving the delegation with 19 Reps and 17 Dems.

Some of those districts certainly seem to be gerrymandered but make up your own minds. For instance, the 2nd wraps around Houston and the 6th takes in the area between Fort Worth and Dallas and then a big section south of their metro. So redistricting will be important to maintaining that advantage for the Reps.

 

[drayer54]

Currently, the Texaas delegation for the House consists of 36 members, with 23 Republicans, and 13 Democrats after the 2018 election. All the Dems are favored to keep their seats.

Three Republican incumbents' seats are rated Toss Ups. Their winning margins in '18 are in the column after their names followed by Trump's margin in '16.
TX 21 Toss-Up. Chip Roy (R) 2.80% (incumbent margin '18) 10.0% (Trump margin)
TX 22 Toss-Up Pete Olson (R) 4.90% 7.9% (Trump)
TX 24 Toss-Up Ken Marchant (R) 3.20% 6.2% (Trump)

Texas 21 represents an area north of San Antonio
Texas 22 represents Suburban and S. Central Houston
Texas 24 represents the area betw FW and Dallas

The incumbent from Texas 23 - Will Hurd (R) - retired. He won in '18 by 0.4%. The district went for Clinton by 3.4%. The district represents SW Texas - 68% Hispanic. It's rated "Lean Democratic". So, it's a possibility that the Dems could flip four seats in the House leaving the delegation with 19 Reps and 17 Dems.

Some of those districts certainly seem to be gerrymandered but make up your own minds. For instance, the 2nd wraps around Houston and the 6th takes in the area between Fort Worth and Dallas and then a big section south of their metro. So redistricting will be important to maintaining that advantage for the Reps.

Where will Texans flee to when the people who fled California ruin Texas?

 

[NorthDakota]

Where will Texans flee to when the people who fled California ruin Texas?

The southeast probably. Or rise up and throw the degenerates out.

 

[Irish#1]

Where will Texans flee to when the people who fled California ruin Texas?

The southeast probably. Or rise up and throw the degenerates out.

They're talking about you ACamp!