2018 Week 6 Watch Party

[Irish YJ]

ND opponents in BLUE

Friday, October 5th

Georgia Tech -4.5 (2-3, 0-2 ACC) @ Louisville (2-3, 0-2 ACC) 7:00 PM ET ESPN
-Not great, but the only decent name recognition game pre-Saturday game.


Saturday, October 6th

Early Afternoon Games

#19 Texas (4-1, 2-0 Big 12) @ #7 Oklahoma -7.5 (5-0, 2-0 Big 12) 12:00 PM ET FOX
-Best in time slot
-Can TX's improving D make it game? Probably not.

Northwestern +10.5 (1-3) @ #14 Michigan State (3-1) Noon FS1
-NW has been disappointing this year. Can they make it game after a close loss to scUM?

Maryland (3-1) @ #15 Michigan -17.5 (4-1) Noon ABC

Syracuse -3.5 (4-1) @ Pittsburgh (2-3) 12:20 ACCN
-Interesting game of two ND opponents


Late Afternoon Games

#5 LSU -2.5 (5-0, 2-0 SEC) @ #22 Florida (4-1, 2-1 SEC) 3:30 PM ET CBS
-Best game of the timeslot
-ND's best chance at moving up a spot in the rankings. Go Gators

Ball State +3 (2-3) v Northern Illinois (2-3) 3:00 ESP3

Navy -3 (2-2) @ Air Force (1-3) 3:30 CBSSN

Florida State +13.5 (3-2) @ #17 Miami (4-1) 3:30 ABC

#4 Clemson (5-0) @ Wake Forest +19 (3-2) 3:30 ESPN

Arizona State (3-2, 1-1 Pac-12) @ 21 Colorado -2.5 (4-0, 1-0 Pac-12) 4:00 PM ET PAC12
-Will the Buffs finally be exposed as a paper tiger?
-Will Crazy Herm's boys continue to improve?


Night Games

#13 Kentucky (5-0, 3-0 SEC) @ Texas A&M -5.5 (3-2, 1-1 SEC) 7:00 PM ET ESPN
-Does KY come back to earth?
-Elko big game?

Vanderbilt +26.5 (3-2) @ #2 Georgia (5-0) 7:30 SECN

#8 Auburn -4 (4-1, 1-1 SEC) Mississippi State (3-2, 0-2 SEC) 7:30 PM ET ESPN2
-This should be a close one

#24 Virginia Tech +6 (3-1) v #6 Notre Dame (5-0) 8:00 ABC
-Can the new look O fight through the initial raucousness?
-Will the D continue to dominate?
-How will injuries to OL and RB impact ND?
-Will Metallica air live?


Late Night Games

#14 Stanford -5 (4-1) v Utah (2-2) 10:30 ESPN
-Hangover?


OFF
Southern Cal (3-2) BYE

 

[Greenore]

Thanks for the "watch party" breakdown. Would give reps if I could.

Cheers and Go Irish!!

 

[ACamp1900]

Kind of a shitty slate this weekend... I peaked at the entire D1 schedule and other than Red River and our game there isn't really a game out there that draws me in at all. I'll watch some of KU/WVU because I'm a Jayhawks fan and a masochist, but that's about it.

 

[Irish YJ]

Thanks for the "watch party" breakdown. Would give reps if I could.

Cheers and Go Irish!!

The thank you was more than enough. Only Koon cares about reps .

Kind of a shitty slate this weekend... I peaked at the entire D1 schedule and other than Red River and our game there isn't really a game out there that draws me in at all. I'll watch some of KU/WVU because I'm a Jayhawks fan and a masochist, but that's about it.

Yup, in terms of total slate. TX/OK, ASU/CO, and LSU/FL, are good early games. KY/TAMU and Aub/MSSt are interesting to me as well but during the ND game.

Most looking forward to LSU/FL. Mostly because I think LSU could stumble and ND move up a spot.

And,,,, something whacky always happens when you think it won't.

ewww.... KU/WVU won't be pretty. you are a masochist.

 

[Some Irish Bloke]

Would love to see TX pull off the upset to knock OU down a peg, and FL upset LSU for the same reason.

USC fans have to be relieved they have a 100% chance of not loosing this weekend.

 

[Irish YJ]

Would love to see TX pull off the upset to knock OU down a peg, and FL upset LSU for the same reason.

USC fans have to be relieved they have a 100% chance of not loosing this weekend.

I think the TX D will slow OK's O, I just don't think the TX can score enough regardless.

 

[Irish YJ]

Gonna stick this here as it speaks to multiple teams/confs... pasted the ND and SEC components. Not a bad piece on the TX/OK game as well.
Questions the CFP committee can get answers to this weekend

Can the SEC get two teams in again?
Some fans across the country will shudder at the thought. Again?! It's a real possibility, as four of those 11 undefeated Power 5 teams are SEC teams Alabama, Georgia, LSU and (gasp) Kentucky. The SEC has a 39 percent chance to send multiple teams to the playoff, nearly identical to the Big 12's chance to send a single team, but the SEC has at least one ranked team that might be eliminated this weekend.

LSU already has exceeded expectations, and it's as if everyone is watching to see when the Tigers' bubble will burst. Is this it? Beginning with No. 22 Florida this weekend, No. 5 LSU is entering a stretch of four straight games against FPI top-20 opponents, the third-toughest four-game stretch in FBS this season. There's an 86 percent chance the Tigers drop at least one of their next four games at No. 22 Florida then at home against No. 2 Georgia, Mississippi State and No. 1 Alabama. But if they emerge from the Alabama game with a 9-0 record, their chance to reach the playoff would jump from 6 percent currently to 55 percent. FPI gives LSU a 41.6 percent chance to beat Florida on Saturday.

It will be interesting to see if LSU can handle Florida -- like Kentucky did. Wait, what? No. 13 Kentucky has already knocked off the Gators and Mississippi State, but FPI only gives Kentucky a 31.6 percent chance to win at Texas A&M on Saturday. The rise of Kentucky has helped the perception of the SEC East, and it would obviously improve Georgia's résumé if it can beat a top-15 Kentucky team when the two meet Nov. 3. Kentucky-Texas A&M could also impact Clemson's strength of schedule in the eyes of the committee, since Clemson's Week 2 win at Texas A&M is its top highlight. As long as the Aggies finish above .500, the Week 2 win will still be helpful for Clemson, but if there is a complete unraveling (A&M still has to play at Mississippi State, at Auburn and LSU) the game's value would diminish.

No. 8 Auburn has already lost to LSU, which means a second loss to an SEC West opponent like Mississippi State this weekend would essentially eliminate the Tigers from playoff contention. It's a different scenario from last season, when two-loss Auburn (which also lost to LSU) remained a contender because one of its losses was to Clemson. Auburn still had a chance last year because it could have finished as a two-loss conference champion with wins over Alabama and Georgia. If the Tigers lose on Saturday, they also likely lose their shot at the SEC title game, and it's highly doubtful the committee would put a two-loss team that didn't win its division in the top four.

Can Notre Dame avoid the trap?
No. 6 Notre Dame has earned its two biggest victories of the season at home (against then-No. 14 Michigan and then-No. 7 Stanford). Now the Irish have a chance to show the selection committee they can win a road game in one of the ACC's most unforgiving atmospheres at No. 24 Virginia Tech. The Fighting Irish are 3-10 in road games against AP-ranked opponents under coach Brian Kelly.

"If we can't handle the environment, we can't prepare the right way this week because we're distracted because everybody's telling us how great we are, then we'll be in big trouble," Kelly said Tuesday. "But this team's shown an ability to prepare the right way, a maturity to stay away from the distractions. We've been preparing for this kind of environment for quite some time. So I'm confident we'll be able to handle the moment when it comes."

If it can't, Notre Dame's playoff chances will drop to 22.8 percent, according to Playoff Predictor.

Blacksburg's Lane Stadium is a notoriously difficult place to win, and it's unclear which version of the Hokies will show up -- the one that just earned an impressive road win against Duke or the one that suffered the biggest upset of the season at Old Dominion. Because of Virginia Tech's inconsistencies, it's difficult to tell at this point how valuable a win over the Hokies will ultimately be in the eyes of the committee.

 

[ickythump1225]

Kind of a shitty slate this weekend... I peaked at the entire D1 schedule and other than Red River and our game there isn't really a game out there that draws me in at all. I'll watch some of KU/WVU because I'm a Jayhawks fan and a masochist, but that's about it.

I'll be watching Florida/LSU because I like the Gators.

 

[irish2018]

some possible helpful upsets for the irish tomorrow on the watch party

some possible helpful upsets for the irish tomorrow on the watch party

TEXAS vs. Okl..... FLORIDA vs l.s.u. .....could give us a little help in the polls...And maybe even at WAKE FOREST vs clemson(although last week vs syracuse might have been it)

 

[Irish YJ]

TEXAS vs. Okl..... FLORIDA vs l.s.u. .....could give us a little help in the polls...And maybe even at WAKE FOREST vs clemson(although last week vs syracuse might have been it)

TX/OK could be a shocker given the history, but doubt heavily OK loses at home. I do think the Gators will make it very interesting.

Clemson will throttle them I think, but it will be interesting to grade our performance against them, vs Clemson's.

 

[arrowryan]

Louisville's defense, led by BVG, is getting absolutely gashed by GT's triple option.

 

[Irish YJ]

Louisville's defense, led by BVG, is getting absolutely gashed by GT's triple option.

not

 

[Irish YJ]

BYU was down 21-0 nothing early. Momentum changed at the end of the half and now BYU trying to fight back with TD and decent D.

GT hanging 66 on Louisville... toooooo funny

 

[Irish YJ]

Toby Keith is the guest game day picker today.

Not sure I ever envisioned ESPN having him on the show... They're a little more Dixie Chickish.

 

[ickythump1225]

Hook'em!

 

[Irish YJ]

Early games more interesting than I thought.
-TX hook'em some horns. That would be really nice to get OK out of the immediate mix.
-scUM struggling but starting to get it going. Patterson not looking good at all.
-Acamps Jayhawks just got screwed when an INT didn't count.

 

[arrowryan]

The Big 12 is about to be one WV loss away from pretty much being eliminated from the playoffs.

 

[bkess8]

ZERO defense being played in this backyard shootout oops I mean Texas Oklahoma game.

 

[arrowryan]

I took Texas +8. That is looking like easy money now.

 

[Irish YJ]

The Big 12 is about to be one WV loss away from pretty much being eliminated from the playoffs.

Part of me loves it, part of me does not. The part that does not, wants Bama, OSU, Clemson, OK or WV, UCF, Colorado, and ND to be undefeated. Add in UGA with a one point loss to Bama in the SEC CC.... I want pure F'ing chaos and people having lib like hysteria for their undefeated team not making it. Of course ND will be one of the 4 selected. #8TeamPlayoff

 

[zelezo vlk]

The Big 12 is about to be one WV loss away from pretty much being eliminated from the playoffs.

Idk man. If Texas wins out they'll probably get a big bump for being Texas.

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[Irish YJ]

ZERO defense being played in this backyard shootout oops I mean Texas Oklahoma game.

Fun stuff though.

 

[Irish YJ]

I took Texas +8. That is looking like easy money now.

easier than a LV casino bar girl after midnight

 

[arrowryan]

Part of me loves it, part of me does not. The part that does not, wants Bama, OSU, Clemson, OK or WV, UCF, Colorado, and ND to be undefeated. Add in UGA with a one point loss to Bama in the SEC CC.... I want pure F'ing chaos and people having lib like hysteria for their undefeated team not making it. Of course ND will be one of the 4 selected. #8TeamPlayoff

I think this is year we might see multiple one loss teams get into the playoff. If both are undefeated going into the SEC Championship, Bama and UGA probably make it. I don't see anyone in the Big 10, ACC, or Pac 12 going 13-0 either.

 

[arrowryan]

Idk man. If Texas wins out they'll probably get a big bump for being Texas.

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They have back to back games against Okie State and WV coming up. So we'll see.

 

[Veritate Duce Progredi]

ZERO defense being played in this backyard shootout oops I mean Texas Oklahoma game.

You can say that again. It is pitiful. It's not athletes making incredible plays, it's just bad defensive calls or blown assignments and poor effort.

 

[Irish YJ]

I think this is year we might see multiple one loss teams get into the playoff. If both are undefeated going into the SEC Championship, Bama and UGA probably make it. I don't see anyone in the Big 10, ACC, or Pac 12 going 13-0 either.

I do think Bama, OSU, and Clemson will be undefeated. UCF stands a great chance too again.

UGA is really good, but they are far from perfect. I can see them going down next week @LSU. Hopefeully LSU loses to the Gators here in a few, and then beats UGA next week.

If LSU wasn't comp for ND and ahead in the polls, I'd be cheering hard for Ed O. Not a LSU fan at all, just love the guy's personality. I can't help laughing when he talks. And he's been around a long time and deserves it IMO.

 

[ND88]

Texas is NOT good.

Oklahoma is NOT good.

Zero defense.

That is all.

 

[IrishSteelhead]

Holy shit is Murray fast


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[Circa]

Boston College just got hosed on a terrible non-whistle.