Oct 17 | BYU

MeanGreenBeans · Oct 16, 2026

Gameday on campus for the first and last time ever.

zelezo vlk · Oct 16, 2026

IRISHDODGER said:
Weird stat I wasn’t aware of but ND hasn’t defeated a top 10 team on the road since upsetting OU at Norman in 2012. MF has only been here since 2022 so its not like they’re have been a ton of opportunities.

For a true road game? That sounds about right as BK didn't have many opportunities after 2012 and lost the few he had. I bet 2022 SC and Ohio State were the only two top 10 true road games in Freeman's tenure. But he won a dang Sugar Bowl and Orange Bowl.

TNUtoNotreDame · Oct 16, 2026

greyhammer90 said:
I think they'd all be 10+ point favorites just like we are, except for Texas. I think that line would be closer to 7.

Gemini AI says 3.5.4.5 favorite in Provo for Texas. Grok said 2.5-3...

FOTY977 · Oct 16, 2026

NDPhilly said:

There’s that priaprism everyone’s talking about!

IrishFanForever23 · Oct 16, 2026

Man, it is going to be rough on social media if these guys end up blowing this game. The amount of shit I'm reading going back and forth between ND fans and BYU fans and everyone else who hates ND is ridiculous.

IRISHDODGER · Oct 16, 2026

zelezo vlk said:
For a true road game? That sounds about right as BK didn't have many opportunities after 2012 and lost the few he had. I bet 2022 SC and Ohio State were the only two top 10 true road games in Freeman's tenure. But he won a dang Sugar Bowl and Orange Bowl.

I believe you’re correct on both accounts

jerseyborn1971 · Oct 16, 2026

IrishFanForever23 said:
Man, it is going to be rough on social media if these guys end up blowing this game. The amount of shit I'm reading going back and forth between ND fans and BYU fans and everyone else who hates ND is ridiculous.

I don't think it will be any worse. It's going to continue no matter what the outcome. If ND blows them out, there will be a myriad of excuses from LJ Martin being out to the refs stealing the game to the Pope putting a curse on BYU.

IrishLax · Oct 16, 2026

Kiss of death?

pumpdog20 · Oct 16, 2026

The recent teams that didn't have difficulty navigating the supposed hornet's nest in Provo:

2023: Iowa State, Oklahoma
2024: Kansas

P4 wins at home in same timeline...
2023: Cincinnati (3-9), Texas Tech (6-6)
2024: Kansas State (8-4), Arizona (4-8), Ok State (3-9), Houston (4-8)
2025: Stanford (4-8), West Virginia (4-8), Utah (10-2, finally a good win), TCU (8-4), UCF (5-7)
2026: Arizona, Iowa State

I'm going to leave the bed wetting for the Miami game, and enjoy a top 10 win Saturday night.

arrowryan · Oct 16, 2026

IrishLax said:
Kiss of death?

For Ohio State?

Dale · Oct 16, 2026

Kind of surprised by OSU. Everyone I follow is on Indiana

MeanGreenBeans · Oct 16, 2026

Dale said:
Kind of surprised by OSU. Everyone I follow is on Indiana

You're probably following sharper bettors then. Per www.vegasinsider.com, 70% of bets and 70% of money is on OSU.

allenm5333 · Oct 16, 2026

Just looked at byu’s schedule. Are they really shitting on our North Carolina performance? They beat tcu, byu’s second best win

Chino Cherokee · Oct 16, 2026

OK, I've had enough.

Bring on the damn game already!

/FFS

SportsingHard · Oct 16, 2026

MacIrish75 said:
Really, the only thing that makes me nervous at all about this game is the pure, unabashed confidence on this board. It’s almost jarringly opposite the norm lol.

This is the most loaded and well-constructed ND team I've ever seen, and I was in utero when Ara retired. Not assuming we're going to win a championship, but some exuberance seems warranted

Irish du Nord · Oct 16, 2026

Dale said:
Kind of surprised by OSU. Everyone I follow is on Indiana

Hoover playing a real defense would scare me if I was an IU fan.

irishken · Oct 16, 2026

North Carolina beat TCU by 5. BYU beat TCU by 7. Notre Dame beat North Carolina by 11. So of coarse BYU is better and going to win, don't you understand internet logic.

irishken · Oct 16, 2026

More internet logic. TCU scored 10 on North Carolina. TCU scored 10 on BYU. Notre Dame scored 37 on North Carolina, so of coarse BYU is going to shutout ND.

vicknd1982 · Oct 16, 2026

Has Leanord Moore been cleared of concussion protocol?

JamIrish · Oct 16, 2026

Freeman previewing game on McAfee show

Jimmy3Putt · Oct 16, 2026

JamIrish said:
Freeman previewing game on McAfee show

Holy shit. Pat looks more like Tom Hammond every day.

JamIrish · Oct 16, 2026

IrishLax said:
Kiss of death?

Sharps are on BYU moneyline banking ND not going undefeated. Across major books BYU getting major moneyline support and spread is 60/40 BYU. Them going from +385 to +310 is a little scare for me. Best case ND wins by 10 after BYU backdoor covers in the 4th.

Dale · Oct 16, 2026

Irish du Nord said:
Hoover playing a real defense would scare me if I was an IU fan.

Very true. But so does Sayin playing a real DL

Dale · Oct 16, 2026

JamIrish said:
Sharps are on BYU moneyline banking ND not going undefeated. Across major books BYU getting major moneyline support and spread is 60/40 BYU. Them going from +385 to +310 is a little scare for me. Best case ND wins by 10 after BYU backdoor covers in the 4th.

I see +350 still out there. Talking less than a 5% implied move

That fact that this was only -9.5 for like 2 hours is the most telling thing

vicknd1982 · Oct 16, 2026

Reading to much into the line, not enough significant movement. ND by 3 tds easy

JamIrish · Oct 16, 2026

Dale said:
I see +350 still out there. Talking less than a 5% implied move

That fact that this was only -9.5 for like 2 hours is the most telling thing

Yeah moneyline has moved a lot. It started at +385 got as low as +290 but went up to +310, back to +350. The spread like you referred went from -12.5 to -9.5 but has stayed at -10.5. Only way BYU wins is if ND/refs help them out...short field and costly penalties. I expect a few tricks from BYU to assist with moving the ball. Lower scoring game benefits BYU, but at the end of the day Irish get it done

ulukinatme · Oct 16, 2026

pumpdog20 said:
The recent teams that didn't have difficulty navigating the supposed hornet's nest in Provo:

2023: Iowa State, Oklahoma
2024: Kansas

P4 wins at home in same timeline...
2023: Cincinnati (3-9), Texas Tech (6-6)
2024: Kansas State (8-4), Arizona (4-8), Ok State (3-9), Houston (4-8)
2025: Stanford (4-8), West Virginia (4-8), Utah (10-2, finally a good win), TCU (8-4), UCF (5-7)
2026: Arizona, Iowa State

I'm going to leave the bed wetting for the Miami game, and enjoy a top 10 win Saturday night.

I'm not terribly worried about either game, but I'm less worried about Miami. Traditionally Miami can't beat us outside of Florida, and I don't think they've ever come up here in November. It's starting to get cold up here, and they're not going to like it.

MeanGreenBeans · Oct 16, 2026

JamIrish said:
Sharps are on BYU moneyline banking ND not going undefeated. Across major books BYU getting major moneyline support and spread is 60/40 BYU. Them going from +385 to +310 is a little scare for me. Best case ND wins by 10 after BYU backdoor covers in the 4th.

Per vegasinsider.com, 63% of bets and 60% of money on BYU plus the points with a line move from -11.5 down to -10.5. Then 7% of bets and 62% of money on BYU moneyline with a move from -455 down to -410. If those moneyline percentages are accurate, someone's placing big money on BYU to win.

SportsingHard · Oct 16, 2026

vicknd1982 said:
Has Leanord Moore been cleared of concussion protocol?

I believe the answer is yes.

Rudy89 · Oct 16, 2026

Just a hypothetical, say we lose tomorrow but beat Miami, are we still in the playoffs? Likewise say we win tomorrow but lose to Miami, same question?

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