2025 College Football Playoffs

[ND88]

It's a MAJOR problem if the committee leaves ND out. It can't happen. No way in hell.

 

[tussin]

We are at a point where it might actually be best to completely blow up the conferences, create a 32 team super league where everyone is independent (or maybe you do 8 team divisions with 5 games of scheduling freedom), and host a 16 team playoff for that group. Because I actually sympathize with the SEC/Big Ten that it is definitely not "apples to apples" trying to compete to Big 12 or ACC teams. The idea that Oregon could get left out if they lose to USC but BYU (who is ass) and Georgia Tech, UVA, Pitt all have clear paths is crazy. 12 is too few of a number in the new era of parity where you are giving away autobids to unworthy G5 and ACC teams.

EDIT: Who says no to this? Top 4 teams from each division go to playoffs, no OOC games factor into standings so you can play as many tough games as you want without consequence. 9 teams each division for 8 round robin games.

WEST
USC
Oregon
Washington
Utah
Texas
Texas A&M
Oklahoma
Colorado
UCLA

MIDWEST
Notre Dame
Ohio State
Michigan
Nebraska
Indiana
Minnesota
Iowa
Illinois
Michigan State

SOUTHEAST
Bama
LSU
Florida
Georgia
Tennessee
Ole Miss
Arkansas
Missouri
Kentucky

EAST
Penn State
Clemson
North Carolina
South Carolina
Virginia Tech
Florida State
Miami
Pitt
Maryland

I like this idea somewhat but I would want the “super conference” to be bigger (like 50-60 teams) with divisions largely mapped to classic conferences. Then I’d have some sort of mid-major-esque path to the playoffs to not entirely exclude small conferences.

 

[Bane]

It's a MAJOR problem if the committee leaves ND out. It can't happen. No way in hell.

I think the committee loves us tbh and are looking for reasons to put us in.

 

[MacIrish75]

It's a MAJOR problem if the committee leaves ND out. It can't happen. No way in hell.

The only entity that could leave ND out at this point is ND.

 

[burmafrd1944]

It's a MAJOR problem if the committee leaves ND out. It can't happen. No way in hell.

If we thump Stanford like we should they really have no choice.
I have said for weeks as long as we win 10 in a row and do it well we are in

 

[Old Man Mike]

Not important, I guess, but Miami beat this same Syracuse roster 38-10. Solid win, but .... not 70-0.

My bias says we're better.

 

[rtrn2glory]

One could argue were a top 3 team right now. At worst were top 5

I for one can't think of 4 teams playing better

 

[Bane]

Not important, I guess, but Miami beat this same Syracuse roster 38-10. Solid win, but .... not 70-0.

My bias says we're better.

Well we almost doubled their score and more than doubled their margin of victory. 38-10 is solid, 70-7 is another level. Especially since this game was functionally in garbage time before the offense even stepped foot on the field. Miami was tied 0-0 at the end of the first and up 14-0 at half.

 

[IrishLax]

One could argue we're a top 3 team right now. At worst were top 5

I for one can't think of 4 teams playing better

Pretty much all advanced stats say we are top 5ish at worst. Only thing I worry about is injuries adding up.

 

[Notre Dame Joe]

Well the SC winning the BUG10 dream is over. I don't know if it ever really started.

Now we would prefer anOSU to eliminate Michigan. A Michigan win not only puts them 95% in the playoffs but then OU rides in because of an early season H-H win over Michigan.

 

[NDPhilly]

Our title odds improved from +1000 yesterday to +800 post game on DraftKings, tied for 3rd with A&M.

Considering A&M is a lock, pretty likely we are right behind OSU and IU in title odds once the bracket is set.

 

[NDWarrior]

Even if Pitt ends up knocking Miami out, we're likely stuck around 9 maybe 8. I do hope either Michigan or I guess IU knocks off OSU to kick them out of #1 spot so we are matched with a new #1 and not OSU if we make it to the 2nd round.

 

[Notre Dame Joe]

Our title odds improved from +1000 yesterday to +800 post game on DraftKings, tied for 3rd with A&M.

Considering A&M is a lock, pretty likely we are right behind OSU and IU in title odds once the bracket is set.

Can you bet on ND just to make/miss the playoff?

 

[IrishEyesAreSmiling]

Seems like we are destined to play Ohio state in the second round

 

[burmafrd1944]

Pitt is working GT pretty good. That makes us look better.

 

[NDWarrior]

If MI beats OSU next week, how does the tie breaker work for Big 10 Championship? Obviously IU assuming they win next week is in, but what about between OR (assuming OR bears WA next week) and MI?

 

[MrNimbus]

I would do unspeakable things to get miami at nd in round 1.

 

[Notre Dame Joe]

If MI beats OSU next week, how does the tie breaker work for Big 10 Championship? Obviously IU assuming they win next week is in, but what about between OR (assuming OR bears WA next week) and MI?

The 1st tiebreaker is H-H. (that's why USC screwed the pooch) So Mich would go over anOSU to play IU.

 

[jprue24]

If MI beats OSU next week, how does the tie breaker work for Big 10 Championship? Obviously IU assuming they win next week is in, but what about between OR (assuming OR bears WA next week) and MI?

Possible Big Ten Championship Game matchups (2025) and how they happen:

1. Indiana vs Ohio State
   • Any scenario where Ohio State beats Michigan.
   • Indiana vs Purdue result doesn’t matter.
   • Oregon vs Washington result doesn’t matter.
2. Indiana vs Oregon
   • Indiana beats Purdue.
   • Oregon beats Washington.
   • Michigan beats Ohio State.
3. Indiana vs Michigan
   • Indiana beats Purdue.
   • Oregon loses to Washington.
   • Michigan beats Ohio State.
4. Oregon vs Michigan
   • Indiana loses to Purdue.
   • Oregon beats Washington.
   • Michigan beats Ohio State.
5. Michigan vs Ohio State
   • Indiana loses to Purdue.
   • Oregon loses to Washington.
   • Michigan beats Ohio State.

 

[bcole2]

I don't think we need to worry about Miami anymore to be honest, especially if they don't make the ACCCG. Pitt may make it a moot point anyway. Regardless, I think the only possible scenario for us to miss would be Alabama over Georgia/TAMU in the SECCG and BYU/Utah over TTU in the B12CG with losers kept in. But one could argue that TTU should be kicked out if they lose that. That would also require Ole Miss, Oregon, Oklahoma, Alabama, and maybe even Georgia to all win next week.

 

[Huntr]

Sports Illustrated projects ND moving up to 8 and hosting vs OU...


... one week after bitching about ND being ranked ahead of Miami.

 

[317Irish]

Sports Illustrated projects ND moving up to 8 and hosting vs OU...


... one week after bitching about ND being ranked ahead of Miami.

OU picked up their (FBS leading) 5th win over a ranked opponent. It would certainly be strange to penalize them this week.

 

[SDIrishFan]

OU picked up their (FBS leading) 5th win over a ranked opponent. It would certainly be strange to penalize them this week.

Sure, but Mizzou being ranked is just a prop holder for SEC strength of schedule…

 

[jprue24]

Possible ACC Championship Game matchups (2025) and how they happen:

1. Virginia vs SMU
   • UVA beats VT (7–1)
   • SMU beats Cal (7–1)
   • Pitt beats GT (assumed)
   • Pitt can either beat or lose to Miami; in both cases, 7–1 UVA and 7–1 SMU go.
2. Virginia vs Pitt
   • UVA beats VT (7–1)
   • SMU loses to Cal (6–2)
   • Pitt beats both GT and Miami (7–1)
     → UVA and Pitt are the only 7–1 teams; common-opponent tiebreak puts UVA “home”, Pitt “road”.
3. SMU vs Pitt
   • UVA loses to VT (6–2)
   • SMU beats Cal (7–1)
   • Pitt beats both GT and Miami (7–1)
     → SMU and Pitt are the only 7–1 teams.
4. Chaos 6–2 scenarios (Miami/Duke/GT still barely alive)
   • Require Miami to beat Pitt
   • At least one of UVA or SMU to lose
   • Then a huge 6–2 pileup where ACC’s multi-team tiebreak (common opponents, SOS, analytics rating) picks 2 out of UVA / SMU / Pitt / Miami / GT / Duke.

In practice, with your Pitt > GT assumption, the clean, realistic matchups are:

• Virginia vs SMU
• Virginia vs Pitt
• SMU vs Pitt

Everything else is “everyone finishes 6–2 and tiebreaker spreadsheets go berserk” territory.

 

[Free Manera]

Can you bet on ND just to make/miss the playoff?

Yes. -1300 to make. +730 to miss.

 

[FalcoBro]

You don’t leave a 2 loss ND team out, plain and simple not even being a fan here, you want ratings and eyes on your product and if your the committee not only does Notre dame pass the eye test they more than pass the “will people watch” test as well. No doubt this is a different team compared to the first 2 weeks off the season when the training wheels were still on but if there’s a team that can compete with Ohio State (which is overrated IMO) it’s this Irish team right here, because we haven’t seen the best of what they can be yet.

 

[IrishLax]

ND should absolutely be ranked above Oklahoma. They are ass. Their offense is a total joke.

 

[MacIrish75]

ND should absolutely be ranked above Oklahoma. They are ass. Their offense is a total joke.

What you mean John Mateer running around and slinging the ball like Temu Taysom Hill isn’t representative of great offensive prowess?

 

[317Irish]

In looking at the remaining schedules, I believe ND’s best chance of moving up the rankings and hosting a game comes from BYU losing today and then beating TTU in the Big 12 Championship.

 

[InKellyWeTrust]

This week solidifies ND as a playoff team. They simply cant be left out because they are a top 5 team in the country if you watch football.