There has been a lot of references to last year the conference champion not being punished. A few things on that need to be said. First, it’s a one year sample size. Second, there was zero viable 2 loss teams on the outside looking in. The SEC teams all had 3 losses, Miami had lost WK 14 to Syracuse and BYU had lost in WK 12 and 13. Third, SMU lost on a walk off FG to a perceived good Clemson team. The important ranking in this was SMUs. It went as the following in the CFP rankings prior to the weekend:
SMU: 13 - 14 - 13 - 9 - 8
The teams that you would be eying as “won’t fall out” ACC or Big 12 losers would be: BYU, Texas Tech, Virginia, Georgia Tech and Louisville. BYU - Texas Tech will receive a loss this weekend, does that push the loser out of the Top 15ish? Georgia Tech will either deserve an at large with a win versus UGA or won’t. They will not be in the Top 12 with a WK 14 loss. UVA and Louisville are the two biggest problem cases.