2024 College Football Playoffs

[Katzenboyer]

They will fall behind ASU and ISU this week. How are they going to jump the winner of that game?

by winning the ACC.

It doesn’t matter where they are in the rankings. If they win the ACC, they’re in and get the bye. If they lose, they’re out with four losses.

 

[Terry Jillery]

My current playoff seeds (assuming recklessly that favorites win)

1.) Oregon
2.) Texas
3.) SMU
4.) Boise St.
5.) Notre Dame
6.) Penn St.
7.) Georgia
8.) Tennessee
9.) Ohio St.
10.) Indiana
11.) Alabama
12.) Iowa St.

First round games:

#12 Iowa St. @ #5 Notre Dame
#11 Alabama @ #6 Penn St.
#10 Indiana @ #7 Georgia
#9 Ohio St. @ #8 Tennessee

If higher seeds win:

#4 Boise St vs. #5 Notre Dame
#3 SMU vs. #6 Penn St.
#2 Texas vs. #7 Georgia
#1 Oregon vs. #8 Tennessee

But we all know a lot will change...just how I would have it currently.

I want Alabama. I want to see them break in 12 degree weather. But I’m a sicko.

 

[InKellyWeTrust]

There are 6 remaining 0 or 1 loss power 4 teams after the last week of the regular season. We all need to remember this the next time we are all freaking out about an early season loss. 11-1 ND is always in the playoffs in this format. 10-2 ND is usually in the playoffs.

 

[IA4irish]

1 Oregon
2 Texas
3 SMU
4 Boise State
5 ND
6 Penn State
7 Georgia
8 Tennessee
9 Ohio State
10 Indiana
11 Bama?
12 Iowa State/Arizona State

This is assuming Oregon and Texas win. Clemson could become the 3 or 4 seed with a win and SMU would probably stay in at 11 and knock Bama out. Thoughts?

Bama would get in over smu. Not saying that’s fair but that’s reality

 

[Terry Jillery]

I'm unironically excited. I've always wanted to know what ND stadium could sound like in a big game if NBC isn't doing the mix. ESPN puts in way more crowd noise in their sound mix.

Holy shit. So NBC is out of the picture at home? This will be epic.

 

[IA4irish]

There are 6 remaining 0 or 1 loss power 4 teams after the last week of the regular season. We all need to remember this the next time we are all freaking out about an early season loss. 11-1 ND is always in the playoffs in this format. 10-2 ND is usually in the playoffs.

We lost to niu and are still in a great spot to get the 5 seed. In the current format, we have a mulligan loss built in to still be able to host a playoff game. Thanks savvy Jack

 

[Terry Jillery]

ND doesn't get a bye because they will play one less game than conference champions. That's the reason, fin.


It's a good deal that increased ND's chances of getting into the playoff.

We basically get a bye bc we don’t have to play a conference game. I’m cool with the setup.

Ps. Anyone have a clue what day we will play? I’m seriously considering buying a ticket or two.

 

[notredomer23]

We basically get a bye bc we don’t have to play a conference game. I’m cool with the setup.

Ps. Anyone have a clue what day we will play? I’m seriously considering buying a ticket or two.

It’s sounding very likely Friday night.

 

[IrishSteelhead]

Heather Dinich this morning shared HER updated rankings.

ND was 7, hosting Miami who was 10

PSU/Oregon loser was 5, Georgia/Texas loser was 6


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[SDIrishFan]

by winning the ACC.

It doesn’t matter where they are in the rankings. If they win the ACC, they’re in and get the bye. If they lose, they’re out with four losses.

I could be wrong but don’t think that’s true. It’s the highest rated conference champs, not P4 conference champs. So if Boise is rated higher than the Big 12 champ, they would get the bye and the Big 12 champ becomes the 12 seed I believe.

 

[NDFAN2008]

Heather Dinich this morning shared HER updated rankings.

ND was 7, hosting Miami who was 10

PSU/Oregon loser was 5, Georgia/Texas loser was 6


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So Georgia is gonna lose again and still be 6th not happening

 

[SDIrishFan]

Heather Dinich this morning shared HER updated rankings.

ND was 7, hosting Miami who was 10

PSU/Oregon loser was 5, Georgia/Texas loser was 6


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I don’t see us being behind either games loser UNLESS it’s Oregon.

 

[NDFAN2008]

If Penn State loses they drop

 

[Rockin’Irish]

If Penn State loses they drop

I think a lot will depend on how they lose. If they lose and the game is close, they may not drop much or at all. If they get whipped then it will definitely cause some drop.

 

[IA4irish]

Heather Dinich this morning shared HER updated rankings.

ND was 7, hosting Miami who was 10

PSU/Oregon loser was 5, Georgia/Texas loser was 6


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You lost me at “Heather Dinich”

 

[IrishSteelhead]

So Georgia is gonna lose again and still be 6th not happening

Miami getting in ain’t happening either


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[Jimmy3Putt]

I want Alabama. I want to see them break in 12 degree weather. But I’m a sicko.

Just because it's cold now doesn't mean it will be in three weeks. It could be a balmy 45 degrees.

 

[IA4irish]

Just because it's cold now doesn't mean it will be in three weeks. It could be a balmy 45 degrees.

According to us weather data, average high in south bend on December 21st is ~33 degrees with a low of ~21. When the sun goes down, it’s not going to be 45 degrees. Speaking as a person with family from Texas, they legitimately wilt when it’s less than 40 degrees.

 

[SDIrishFan]

Just because it's cold now doesn't mean it will be in three weeks. It could be a balmy 45 degrees.

That would be perfect, those southern boys will be ice sculptures at night in those temps.

 

[Katzenboyer]

I could be wrong but don’t think that’s true. It’s the highest rated conference champs, not P4 conference champs. So if Boise is rated higher than the Big 12 champ, they would get the bye and the Big 12 champ becomes the 12 seed I believe.

Ah, I see what you're saying. Misunderstood the point being made earlier. My bad.

 

[INLaw]

New FPI rankings

I mean did reggie bush sneak in and fiddle with this to get a 6-6 USC @18

 

[Irish2155]

So Georgia is gonna lose again and still be 6th not happening

She’s not the sharpest tool in the shed

 

[INLaw]

You lost me at “Heather Dinich”

Misspelled Dinich it’s Dumbbitch

 

[MacIrish75]

I mean did reggie bush sneak in and fiddle with this to get a 6-6 USC @18

This is FPI ⬇️

FPI is a predictive rating system designed to measure team strength and project performance going forward. The ultimate goal of FPI is not to rank teams 1 through 128; rather, it is to correctly predict games and season outcomes. If Vegas ever published the power rankings it uses to set its lines, they would likely look quite a lot like FPI.

Correctly predicting game outcomes can’t be done by evaluating teams’ records because some teams are stronger than their records (lots of close losses), and others have favorable schedules, which are reflected in the game- and season-level projections.

 

[INLaw]

This is FPI ⬇️

I actually did know that I was just being smarmy 😉

 

[JadedDomer]

So basically if PSU loses Big Ten championship we likely grab the #5 seed. If they win, we likely get the #6.

If that's the case, the committee needs to move ND past PSU now rather than wait for the inevitable loss to Oregon then deal with the backlash "punished PSU while ND sits at home". I'm very skeptical we pass PSU, I've held that the time to do that was last week, but if they're going to this has to be on committee's mind.

 

[NDRock]

If that's the case, the committee needs to move ND past PSU now rather than wait for the inevitable loss to Oregon then deal with the backlash "punished PSU while ND sits at home". I'm very skeptical we pass PSU, I've held that the time to do that was last week, but if they're going to this has to be on committee's mind.

I actually thought that would be the play, especially if we beat USC by 21 (last touchdown annoyed me). That way we could stay ahead of them if they lost (and they couldn’t complain having to play in a CCG is unfair) but would move ahead of us if they won.

 

[IrishSteelhead]

According to us weather data, average high in south bend on December 21st is ~33 degrees with a low of ~21. When the sun goes down, it’s not going to be 45 degrees. Speaking as a person with family from Texas, they legitimately wilt when it’s less than 40 degrees.

I think it would definitely be the day game. They will account for weather as much as they can when scheduling, I would THINK


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[IrishLax]

I mean did reggie bush sneak in and fiddle with this to get a 6-6 USC @18

Advanced stats suggest USC should be 9-3 not 6-6. They got "unlucky" (re: bad coaching from Lincoln Riley) in many games that they "should have" won. I don't make the rules, but computers are looking at opponent adjusted drive-by-drive or -play-by-play metrics.

 

[KPENN]

I think it would definitely be the day game. They will account for weather as much as they can when scheduling, I would THINK


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John Brice thinks ND gets the Friday night game