Path to the CFP?

[ab2cmiller]

https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf...&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=BrettMcMurphy

Peach Bowl versus Pitt lol

Clever

 

[BeatSC]

Clemson
UAB
South Carolina
Vanderbilt
Arkansas
Auburn
Kentucky

That's Georgia's slate so far.

Florida
Missouri
Tennessee
Charleston Southern
Georgia Tech

That's who they have left.

This is not an inspiring schedule but they're dominating it as they should.

These are The Who’s who of shitty offenses. Get ready for GA to blow it against Bama yet again.

 

[ACamp1900]

Georgia is the only team in the country that hasn't given up 100 points against yet. So far they've given up 47.

They're legit.

Who you plays matters too... not having to go all over the country and kill yourself to get to a title game is a huge bonus... one that often goes overlooked when coming from their neck of the woods.

 

[GATTACA!]

Who you plays matters too... not having to go all over the country and kill yourself to get to a title game is a huge bonus... one that often goes overlooked when coming from their neck of the woods.

I mean Arkansas, UK, South Carolina, Clemson, Auburn, aren't FCS teams. That schedule isn't significantly soft enough to explain away them being over 50% better than the next closest team.

 

[Irishize]

Clemson
UAB
South Carolina
Vanderbilt
Arkansas
Auburn
Kentucky

That's Georgia's slate so far.

Florida
Missouri
Tennessee
Charleston Southern
Georgia Tech

That's who they have left.

This is not an inspiring schedule but they're dominating it as they should.

Still can’t believe their offense only mustered a FG against Clemson’s defense. Granted, Venables D is still really good & it was the opener but we won’t know the full story until they play Bama in the CG. They should breeze through the remainder of that schedule.

 

[Irishize]

https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf...&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=BrettMcMurphy

Peach Bowl versus Pitt lol

Gross

 

[ACamp1900]

I mean Arkansas, UK, South Carolina, Clemson, Auburn, aren't FCS teams. That schedule isn't significantly soft enough to explain away them being over 50% better than the next closest team.

For sure but that wasn’t the point I was making

 

[ND88]

UC are frauds. If we played them 10 times we win 7-8/10.

We played the worst game of our season. Had how many unforced errors? Had an oline that had no idea what they were doing. Yet still made a game of it.

The team that beat SC Saturday beats Cincy easily. As do the rest of the top 10.

I agree UC is unworthy also, but it’s highly unlikely they lose again. They’re a lock whether they deserve it or not. We lost any realistic chance of a playoff run when we dropped that game to them.

 

[GATTACA!]

For sure but that wasn’t the point I was making

 

[BeatSC]

I agree UC is unworthy also, but it’s highly unlikely they lose again. They’re a lock whether they deserve it or not. We lost any realistic chance of a playoff run when we dropped that game to them.

So what you’re saying is we have a chance!

 

[condoms SUCk]

There is virtually no chance of ND making the playoffs because the schedule does not have any marquee games on it this year. A 2-loss conference champ will likely get in over ND, as will Cincinnati.

Basically, what we're headed towards is either:
1. Georgia or SEC Champ Bama
2. Whoever wins the Big Ten
3. Oklahoma
4. SEC Runner Up Georgia OR ACC Champ OR PAC12 Champ OR Cinci

A 1 loss ND is at best going to be ~8th in the pecking order. With total chaos, maybe 5th or 6th. But they have no ability to leapfrog Cinnci.

1. Yes, most likely UGA
2. B1G, most likely OSU
3. I think OU loses a game or 2, they still have to play @Baylor, ISU, @Bedlam. Hell, they could lose 2 of those 3. Not to mention out of OU/OSU/Baylor the top two will play again for the B12 CG.
4. Bama is the wildcard here, they actually are starting to backslide, yes they beat Tenn but that game was WAYYY closer than the score indicates. I think that Auburn game could get very spicy

• I think Oregon loses 1 more game.
• The Cincinati/ SMU game is looking rather tasty (Nov 20th I think). those two will play again for the AAC CG. I think Cincinnati may buckle under the pressure there.
• B12 knock each other out.
• B1G- I think Penn St, MSU, UM all have one lost to each other.
• ND is one of the best looking ($$$$) 1 lose teams remaining.

While I do not think ND is playoff worthy, if UGA, OSU run the table, that would knock out Bama, second B1G team. That's two spots in a chaotic year so who knows. I think it's definitely possible if ND wins out and a few breaks go their way.

 

[BeatSC]

1. Yes, most likely UGA
2. B1G, most likely OSU
3. I think OU loses a game or 2, they still have to play @Baylor, ISU, @Bedlam. Hell, they could lose 2 of those 3. Not to mention out of OU/OSU/Baylor the top two will play again for the B12 CG.
4. Bama is the wildcard here, they actually are starting to backslide, yes they beat Tenn but that game was WAYYY closer than the score indicates. I think that Auburn game could get very spicy

• I think Oregon loses 1 more game.
• The Cincinati/ SMU game is looking rather tasty (Nov 20th I think). those two will play again for the AAC CG. I think Cincinnati may buckle under the pressure there.
• B12 knock each other out.
• B1G- I think Penn St, MSU, UM all have one lost to each other.
• ND is one of the best looking ($$$$) 1 lose teams remaining.

While I do not think ND is playoff worthy, if UGA, OSU run the table, that would knock out Bama, second B1G team. That's two spots in a chaotic year so who knows. I think it's definitely possible if ND wins out and a few breaks go their way.

This guy gets it…..

 

[Dale]

1. Yes, most likely UGA
2. B1G, most likely OSU
3. I think OU loses a game or 2, they still have to play @Baylor, ISU, @Bedlam. Hell, they could lose 2 of those 3. Not to mention out of OU/OSU/Baylor the top two will play again for the B12 CG.
4. Bama is the wildcard here, they actually are starting to backslide, yes they beat Tenn but that game was WAYYY closer than the score indicates. I think that Auburn game could get very spicy

• I think Oregon loses 1 more game.
• The Cincinati/ SMU game is looking rather tasty (Nov 20th I think). those two will play again for the AAC CG. I think Cincinnati may buckle under the pressure there.
• B12 knock each other out.
• B1G- I think Penn St, MSU, UM all have one lost to each other.
• ND is one of the best looking ($$$$) 1 lose teams remaining.

While I do not think ND is playoff worthy, if UGA, OSU run the table, that would knock out Bama, second B1G team. That's two spots in a chaotic year so who knows. I think it's definitely possible if ND wins out and a few breaks go their way.

The problem is how long is this post and you still omitted a TON that would need to happen. The ACC would need to still bottom out still. Big 12 knock each other out is easier said then spelled out. With a hurt Clifford the Big Ten cannibalism is significantly less likely. Ole Miss would have to lose again. Kentucky would have to lose again. “well those are gonna happen”. If Ole Miss wins this weekend they will be favored in every game down the stretch. Kentucky will be favored in every game down the stretch. The SEC will not be denied 2 teams, especially in a year that Clemson is out. Not to mention Corral will be in a Heisman campaign. So the few breaks are actually a few more breaks and this becomes really just getting lost in the details and not seeing how deep we are. 2 SEC, 1 B1G, 1 Big 12. It’s gonna happen that way.

 

[Ndaccountant]

The problem is how long is this post and you still omitted a TON that would need to happen. The ACC would need to still bottom out still. Big 12 knock each other out is easier said then spelled out. With a hurt Clifford the Big Ten cannibalism is significantly less likely. Ole Miss would have to lose again. Kentucky would have to lose again. “well those are gonna happen”. If Ole Miss wins this weekend they will be favored in every game down the stretch. Kentucky will be favored in every game down the stretch. The SEC will not be denied 2 teams, especially in a year that Clemson is out. Not to mention Corral will be in a Heisman campaign. So the few breaks are actually a few more breaks and this becomes really just getting lost in the details and not seeing how deep we are. 2 SEC, 1 B1G, 1 Big 12. It’s gonna happen that way.

Agree 99%. The 1% disagree is that there will be 3 team combination among Big 10/SEC teams. I do see a path where a 11-1 Michigan gets in, assuming a close loss to a 12-1 OSU team. I also think the last spot is a toss up among Big12/PAC12. If OU and Oregon were to both go 12-1, I think Oregon would get the nod, assuming OSU is 12-1.

Side note, that would be a strange final 4 if it ended up being UGA / Michigan / Oregon / OSU. To avoid a repeat match-up, you would almost have to slate UGA and OSU in the semi's.

 

[Rogue219]

Notre Dame's remaining schedule seem to be a bunch of teams that really have nothing to play for. Bowl eligibility I suppose? I guess they'll all be amped up for a ranked ND team but from where I'm sitting a double digit win season is entirely within reach.

One week at a time, as silly as it sounds. Take care of UNC, stay healthy, onto the next. If this group goes 11-1 during a "reset" year I think that's a hell of a recruiting pitch.

 

[BeatSC]

Win and we’re in? Lose and we’re done. I thought I would make a bold edgy statement that cuts to the chase. As noted we do need to keep winning or we can shit can this thread and focus on Buchner should start the rest of the season.

 

[BeatSC]

So let’s see;

We win again albeit not overly impressive.
Michigan loses check
Ole Miss loses check
Iowa loses check
Pitt loses check
SMU loses
ND should move up to about #8 but where do we think he will be rated after the BCS comes out?

What happens next:
We beat Navy and it would be nice to do it convincingly.
Michigan State loses
Oklahoma should lose soon. One loss and they should be out.
so we need/want Cincy to lose one? Can we pull a 1993 FSU jump?
Bama will lose to someone at least GA who is ALL D
Ohio State can be beaten. Anyone with one loss and the Big 10 championship takes a space.
A one win Bama or GA is in. Two losses no way.
We have to beat VA. Our D sucks and so does Freeman and VA is like UNC so we better start tackling!
the way Cincy is playing they could lose 1 or 2 games. Too bad it took Rees and Kelly so ling to figure things out. 13 points was really a lame effort.
Oregon worries me since while they are overrated and been living off a bad day for OSU most of the season the PAC 12 is a hodge podge of inconsistent teams. They got beat by Stanford so we need some style points in that one to make our case. Still good chance Oregon we’re the bed somewhere along the way.
Wake Forest worries me. Good backstory and lots of offensive style points and great QB (why doesn’t he play for us?!)

Doesn’t look that far fetched. The offense is coming around while out D is stinking. Really need Hamilton back. Not having a JOK level player this year hurts and the D Play calling i.e. dropping Foskey back and rushing 3 can sink us.

Another week and more speculation and hope.

 

[Free Manera]

I’d be perfectly happy winning out but missing the playoff and getting a winnable BCS bowl matchup. I’d like to get that major bowl win monkey off NDs back.

 

[GATTACA!]

where do we think he will be rated after the BCS comes out?

 

[GATTACA!]

I’d be perfectly happy winning out but missing the playoff and getting a winnable BCS bowl matchup. I’d like to get that major bowl win monkey off NDs back.

And no one will remember or care about that game by the start of the next season.

Make the playoffs and give it a puncher's chance.

 

[BeatSC]

And no one will remember or care about that game by the start of the next season.

Make the playoffs and give it a puncher's chance.

And making a NY6 bowl game doesn’t insure we get a win. Rather lose a playoff than a bowl game. Go big or go home. We are peaking and should continue to get better. A better version of this team competes with most teams.

 

[GATTACA!]

And making a NY6 bowl game doesn’t insure we get a win. Rather lose a playoff than a bowl game. Go big or go home. We are peaking and should continue to get better. A better version of this team competes with most teams.

Would be very on brand for us to end up facing Alabama or TAMU in a NY6 bowl everyone here wants so desperately just to be blown out anyways.

 

[irishtrain]

Please no -not this year I love 'em like all of us but it would be ugly

 

[dad4aa]

I don’t understand people not wanting us in the playoffs but wanting a NY6 bowl. The top teams make the CFP AND the NY6 balls. If you think we’re going to get blown out in the CFP, then you might as well assume we’re going to get blown out in the NY6 so don’t wish for that either. I’m all in on hoping we make the CFP

 

[ab2cmiller]

I don’t understand people not wanting us in the playoffs but wanting a NY6 bowl. The top teams make the CFP AND the NY6 balls. If you think we’re going to get blown out in the CFP, then you might as well assume we’re going to get blown out in the NY6 so don’t wish for that either. I’m all in on hoping we make the CFP

There is only one dominant team this year and it is Georgia. We sneak into the CFP as #4 we get matched with Georgia and get destroyed. Everyone else we at least have a chance.

 

[Jimmy3Putt]

Georgia, Cincinnati, and Oklahoma are very likely to get in at this point. If Bama wins out, they are in too.

We need:
-UGA to beat Bama in the SEC championship game
-Sparty to split with OSU and Penn St, or lose the B10 if they get in especially if it's vs Wisconsin.
-OSU to lose one more game (Sparty, Wolverines, B10 Championship game)
-Oregon to drop a game or jump them in the polls. Our 1 loss is a lot better one than theirs.

The odds are not looking good. I have a feeling the B10 champ will either be undefeated or a one loss Buckeye.

 

[Irish2155]

Georgia, Cincinnati, and Oklahoma are very likely to get in at this point. If Bama wins out, they are in too.

We need:
-UGA to beat Bama in the SEC championship game
-Sparty to split with OSU and Penn St, or lose the B10 if they get in especially if it's vs Wisconsin.
-OSU to lose one more game (Sparty, Wolverines, B10 Championship game)
-Oregon to drop a game or jump them in the polls. Our 1 loss is a lot better one than theirs.

The odds are not looking good. I have a feeling the B10 champ will either be undefeated or a one loss Buckeye.

True but they have the OSU win. That will probably carry more weight than comparing losses. I’d feel much better if they lose again which I think will happen.

 

[Irish4life]

We will know for sure where we stand come Tuesday night. It's going to be very, very interesting to see where the committee has us (and the teams ahead of us) ranked.

 

[BeatSC]

There is only one dominant team this year and it is Georgia. We sneak into the CFP as #4 we get matched with Georgia and get destroyed. Everyone else we at least have a chance.

GA is only dominant on D and is living off of turnovers. Their offense is not top 20. Defenses do win championships (just ask Oklahoma). I guess that also means no chance for us since our D especially sans KH has sucked against a good offense.

 

[BobbyMac]

Hard pass on the playoffs this year. And I've never said that before.

Just give me a favorable Fiesta Bowl match up so I can see the boys win one here finally.