2016 Presidential Horse Race

2016 Presidential Horse Race


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kmoose

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You think Trump is getting a pass? Seriously? The very article you posted to bring this topic up in the first place is proof that he's not getting a pass. He's even getting it from the right. Glenn Beck has been ripping him for months, most recently about how he claims to be a religious guy but is a total fraud.

I don't think he's been getting a pass, either, but he better get smart, and realize that the business of politics is not a business that he can dominate simply by being supremely confident and flying by the seat of his pants. It's not that he must be able to recognize the names of all of these terrorist leaders; it's that if he was seriously prepping for the job, he should probably have heard enough about them by now to know exactly who is who. So if he doesn't, then it's logical to wonder if he is prepping enough.
 

ACamp1900

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I'm still waiting for someone to rip the mask off of Trump and reveal he's actually one of the crab people...
 

RDU Irish

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Trump is a pompous, opportunistic ass. He gins up the media to get ratings. "The only bad press is no press" is probably written on his bathroom mirror.

One thing he is stealing from the Clinton/Obama playbook, mocking your attackers and the issue. "Vast right wing conspiracy" sound familiar? "Clinging to their guns and religion" sound a bit divisive? Obama only responded to those issues with a dismissive "you must be with Fox" type of response or an outright denial (because even if you can prove it I can say you forged it). The media ran with that b/c they damn sure weren't going to ask him to name any world leaders or put him on the spot with any questions of substance.
 

IrishJayhawk

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Trump's quote from that interview:

“I will be so good at the military, your head will spin.”

He gave no other policy specifics.
 

EddytoNow

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...I figure liberals treat conservatives like we are possessed, why not really make our heads spin? wander if he'd throw in some green pea soup...just for effect.

It's not that conservatives are possessed or evil. It's just that the conservative wackos are the ones getting all the attention from the press and from Republicans themselves in the primary polls. These far right conservatives keep shooting the whole conservative movement in the foot with their outlandish rhetoric.

Trump misidentifies the silent majority. He thinks the silent majority agrees with the outlandish things he keeps saying. His supporters are neither silent nor the majority. Unfortunately, the majority of conservatives do remain silent. As a whole the conservatives are much more accepting and tame in their rhetoric than it appears. The sad fact is that those who speak the loudest and say the most absurd things get the most attention.

I'm not a big fan of Jeb Bush, but I do admire his courage in calling out Trump.
 

BGIF

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Question... when Obama was running for Prez the first time, experience (especially foreign policy experience) was a major concern for conservatives. Would not being able to name a single leader of any terrorist organization gotten him slayed?

Why does Trump seemingly get a pass and can excuse it as a "gotcha" question? Poor guy... everybody is always treating him unfairly.

Trump: Asking who terrorist leaders are is 'ridiculous' - CNNPolitics.com


When Obama was running for Prez the first time? He still thinks they're the Junior Varsity.
 

phgreek

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It's not that conservatives are possessed or evil. It's just that the conservative wackos are the ones getting all the attention from the press and from Republicans themselves in the primary polls. These far right conservatives keep shooting the whole conservative movement in the foot with their outlandish rhetoric.

Trump misidentifies the silent majority. He thinks the silent majority agrees with the outlandish things he keeps saying. His supporters are neither silent nor the majority. Unfortunately, the majority of conservatives do remain silent. As a whole the conservatives are much more accepting and tame in their rhetoric than it appears. The sad fact is that those who speak the loudest and say the most absurd things get the most attention.

I'm not a big fan of Jeb Bush, but I do admire his courage in calling out Trump.

Most conservatives on this board who dare to say anything are not fans of extreme policies, although you'd think they were. Trump will continue to be because "news" agencies keep choosing his entertainment value over people trying to be serious and pragmatic. When you cover politics that way...you create the problem/perception. Trump is ratings gold with the added bonus of fucking over Conservatives by association...seriously, what news agency could resist? (save the fox news shit...I get it).

In terms of conservatives remaining silent...again, how are people who respond covered? Has Rand Paul been helped or Hurt when he went at Trump...why? Bush will also be hurt...why? Because when you give the guy who calls Trump out 22 seconds and Trump 8 minutes...whats the message?
 

Grahambo

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Again... If Obama would have been asked this question and didn't have an answer, he would have been slayed. If Obama would have called Mexicans rapists, he would have been slayed. If Obama would have said McCain wasn't a war hero, he would have been slayed.

The list goes on and on. Any one of those comments would have been a Howard Dean scream for Obama. But it's standard quo for Trump.

Is it really such a surprise that a guy who is a career businessman doesn't know the names of some evil leaders? Not a pass but I mean, when has he really ever had to know...ya know?

And, you think Obama knows these names even today? He surrounds himself with people who know which is what Trump would/will do.
 

GoIrish41

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Most conservatives on this board who dare to say anything are not fans of extreme policies, although you'd think they were. Trump will continue to be because "news" agencies keep choosing his entertainment value over people trying to be serious and pragmatic. When you cover politics that way...you create the problem/perception. Trump is ratings gold with the added bonus of fucking over Conservatives by association...seriously, what news agency could resist? (save the fox news shit...I get it).

In terms of conservatives remaining silent...again, how are people who respond covered? Has Rand Paul been helped or Hurt when he went at Trump...why? Bush will also be hurt...why? Because when you give the guy who calls Trump out 22 seconds and Trump 8 minutes...whats the message?

But giving Trump 8 minutes only provides more opportunities to say stupid shit. When will all his supporters wake up? They don't need Rand to call out Trump. Can't they see what everyone else sees? 30 percent still gobble up the racist hate and stupidity. If 30 percent of your part supports such things, you are going to be viewed as an extreme party. If Kasich or even Rand was getting the support, people might view the GOP as something other than out of touch. I find most of the conservatives who post here thoughtful and well reasoned, but I don't think I have seen many instances where those thoughtful conservative posters have disagreed openly with the less enlightened of their political persuasion. I think that is what is going to change minds about the Republican brand ... Demonstrate by candidate and by policies and by standing up to extreme points of view that those candidates are advocating -- that the party is not what idiots like Trump and Cruz are selling.
 
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GoIrish41

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Is it really such a surprise that a guy who is a career businessman doesn't know the names of some evil leaders? Not a pass but I mean, when has he really ever had to know...ya know?

And, you think Obama knows these names even today? He surrounds himself with people who know which is what Trump would/will do.

Yes, I do.
 

BGIF

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Is it really such a surprise that a guy who is a career businessman doesn't know the names of some evil leaders? Not a pass but I mean, when has he really ever had to know...ya know?

And, you think Obama knows these names even today? He surrounds himself with people who know which is what Trump would/will do.

Well, that and a teleprompter.
 

BGIF

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Bernie Sanders is building a real campaign organization - CNNPolitics.com

By Betsy Klein and Suzanne Malveaux, CNN
Updated 12:47 PM ET, Fri September 4, 2015


"So what we are doing now is hiring on people. We have now dozens of people on the ground here in Iowa. Great crowds are wonderful, but that does not necessarily translate into votes. People need to be organized and know how to come out and participate in the caucuses," Sanders said.

Sanders said his campaign is not only hiring in Iowa, but also in New Hampshire and elsewhere, creating an organization structure to handle volunteers.

"We're doing it all over this country. Creating a political infrastructure with organizers, with volunteers, to make sure that supporters come out and vote. And that's how I think we're going to win this thing. We will be outspent -- let me just say this -- I know we will be outspent by our opponents. We don't have a Super PAC. We're dependent on small, individual contributors. But I think the grassroots movement that you saw out there -- that's what's going to win it for us."
 
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Cackalacky

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phgreek

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But giving Trump 8 minutes only provides more opportunities to say stupid shit. When will all his supporters wake up? They don't need Rand to call out Trump. Can't they see what everyone else sees? 30 percent still gobble up the racist hate and stupidity. If 30 percent of your part supports such things, you are going to be viewed as an extreme party. If Kasich or even Rand was getting the support, people might view the GOP as something other than out of touch. I find most of the conservatives who post here thoughtful and well reasoned, but I don't think I have seen many instances where those thoughtful conservative posters have disagreed openly with the less enlightened of their political persuasion. I think that is what is going to change minds about the Republican brand ... Demonstrate by candidate and by policies and by standing up to extreme points of view that those candidates are advocating -- that the party is not what idiots like Trump and Cruz are selling.

3 in 10 at this point is mostly name recognition and frustration with politicians who will not do the will of the people. Just remember...I'm hanging the Dems with your boy Kanye in 2020...hehehehe.

The only way to overcome Trump is covering people that actually have a point to make...or can pick apart Trump...but it doesn't happen. The only way it will is when the election is getting closer (sense of urgency), and he has the debate track record I expect him to have...and people are forced to drop the reality TV paradigm, and get real.
 

GoIrish41

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3 in 10 at this point is mostly name recognition and frustration with politicians who will not do the will of the people. Just remember...I'm hanging the Dems with your boy Kanye in 2020...hehehehe.

The only way to overcome Trump is covering people that actually have a point to make...or can pick apart Trump...but it doesn't happen. The only way it will is when the election is getting closer (sense of urgency), and he has the debate track record I expect him to have...and people are forced to drop the reality TV paradigm, and get real.

Trump does not need to be picked apart. The party does not care that he has no answers on anything. This is not a media issue. This is an appetite issue. They like what the Donald is cooking and are eating it up right now (30 percent anyway). He is ridiculous all by himself ... What could the media get him to say that he won't blurt out on his own? The more ridiculous he is the more support he gets. It the sane world, the more he talks the more he would drop in the polled. Clearly that is not happening. If other candidates put out solid policy ideas that will help people and they will get coverage. Don't take my word for it, ask Bernie Sanders. On the right, it appears the same old ideas aren't good enough anymore. 2016 is apparently the year hate, anger and being an ignorant pig. The GOP can either call this out or get on the Trump Train. As his numbers grow it seems many are choosing the latter. If I were a Republican I would worry less about Trump and more about the fact that a sizable chunk of the party supports his rhetoric.
 
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Irish8248

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Trump is leading because of a divided/diverse field. Once the field starts to narrow, Trumps gap will tighten significantly. You either love him or hate him. If you don't love him now, you're not going to love him over time... Anyone from NY knows this dog and pony show. Same thing happened when he wanted to run for governor. Once a "sure thing" turned into him falling by the wayside.. Like a supernova, he starts out big and bright then dissipates quickly. F Trump. Vote Kasich.
 
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phgreek

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Trump does not need to be picked apart. The party does not care that he has no answers on anything. This is not a media issue. This is an appetite issue. They like what the Donald is cooking and are eating it up right now (30 percent anyway). He is ridiculous all by himself ... What could the media get him to say that he won't blurt out on his own? The more ridiculous he is the more support he gets. It the sane world, the more he talks the more he would drop in the polled. Clearly that is not happening. If other candidates put out solid policy ideas that will help people and they will get coverage. Don't take my word for it, ask Bernie Sanders. On the right, it appears the same old ideas aren't good enough anymore. 2016 is apparently the year hate, anger and being an ignorant pig. The GOP can either call this out or get on the Trump Train. As his numbers grow it seems many are choosing the latter. If I were a Republican I would worry less about Trump and more about the fact that a sizable chunk of the party supports his rhetoric.

I totally disagree with your characterization of the basis of Trump's support. And its not about what the media can get him to say...its that they devote no time to anyone else...

solid policy ideas, shit... when have you seen a Republican candidate other than trump get a shot at articulating something. It is most certainly a media problem...for hell sake look at the comparative coverage times...and if the media is judging "solid" policy ideas, and determining air time based upon that assessment...I believe that would be the bias that is reflexively denied around these parts. In Trump's case, its ratings gold not bias.

Dude...I'm trying to refrain from tit-for-tat here...but seriously. Stop making this about the republicans or their base...and how they have a moral problem. Look at Hillary's numbers (while falling still insanely high for someone in her position). What does that say about MORE than 1/3 of the Democrat party. You realize she'll get the nomination right? And many will vote for her, right? This nation's best hope is that she indeed gets indicted, and Trump settles in to the 10-15% I think might actually vote for him.
 

Bluto

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I totally disagree with your characterization of the basis of Trump's support. And its not about what the media can get him to say...its that they devote no time to anyone else...

solid policy ideas, shit... when have you seen a Republican candidate other than trump get a shot at articulating something. It is most certainly a media problem...for hell sake look at the comparative coverage times...and if the media is judging "solid" policy ideas, and determining air time based upon that assessment...I believe that would be the bias that is reflexively denied around these parts. In Trump's case, its ratings gold not bias.

Dude...I'm trying to refrain from tit-for-tat here...but seriously. Stop making this about the republicans or their base...and how they have a moral problem. Look at Hillary's numbers (while falling still insanely high for someone in her position). What does that say about MORE than 1/3 of the Democrat party. You realize she'll get the nomination right? And many will vote for her, right? This nation's best hope is that she indeed gets indicted, and Trump settles in to the 10-15% I think might actually vote for him.

What it says is there are just as many corporate suck ups in the Democratic Party as the GOP. That's a "moral problem" both parties face in my opinion. Bernie Sanders (love him or hate him) is tackling that issue head on.

As to the question of the GOP's other moral problem that party has pandered to racist jerks since as long as I can remember. That being said the Trump phenomena should not come as some big surprise to anyone who has followed GOP national campaign strategy since Nixon. I'm sure many will dismiss my opinion off hand so here's something to consider. Micheal Steele and Colin Powell (two of the most prominent African Americans involved in the GOP machine of which there are not many) have been highly critical of the GOP in recent years for this very reason.

Oh yeah....happy Labor Day comrades! lol.
 
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kmoose

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2016 is apparently the year hate, anger and being an ignorant pig. The GOP can either call this out or get on the Trump Train.

Pot.......... meet kettle.

Trump speaks in rather plain terms, and that pisses the "PC" crowd off. There's no proof that he is a racist, as you have REPEATEDLY claimed. He's brusque, truculent, and pugnacious. And it is the rest of the country that should be taking note. I would bet that most people don't support Trump because they are racists, as you allude to. I would bet that they support Trump because he is refusing to play by the "traditional" political rules. Rules which have brought us to the sad state of politics that we are in, today. Trump may not win the election. Heck, he may not win the nomination....... But if he starts a trend of candidates breaking from the "career politician" mindset, then it will turn out to be a good thing for the country.
 

BGIF

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Clintons personally paid State Department staffer to maintain server - The Washington Post

By Rosalind S. Helderman and Carol D. Leonnig September 5 at 12:07 AM

Hillary Rodham Clinton and her family personally paid a State Department staffer to maintain the private e-mail server she used while heading the agency, according to an official from Clinton’s presidential campaign.

The unusual arrangement helped Clinton retain personal control over the system that she used for her public and private duties and that has emerged as an issue for her campaign. But, according to the campaign official, it also ensured that taxpayer dollars were not spent on a private server that was shared by Clinton, her husband and their daughter as well as aides to the former president.

That State Department staffer, Bryan Pagliano, told a congressional committee this week that he would invoke his Fifth Amendment rights against self-incrimination instead of testifying about the setup.

The private employment of Pagliano provides a new example of the ways that Clinton — who occupied a unique role as a Cabinet secretary who was also a former and potentially future presidential candidate — hired staff to work simultaneously for her in public and private capacities.

Huma Abedin, a close confidant who served as deputy chief of staff, also spent time working for the State Department, the Clinton Foundation and Hillary Clinton personally.

Pagliano’s employment by the Clintons was confirmed by a campaign official in response to questions from The Washington Post. The official spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the matter. A campaign spokesman declined to provide a statement.

Pagliano had served as the IT director of Clinton’s 2008 presidential campaign and then worked for her political action committee.

The Clintons paid Pagliano $5,000 for “computer services” prior to his joining the State Department, according to a financial disclosure form he filed in April 2009.

But even after arriving at State in May 2009, Pagliano continued to be paid by the Clintons to maintain the server, which was in their Chappaqua, N.Y., home, according to the campaign official and another person familiar with the arrangement. That person spoke on the condition of anonymity because the matter is under investigation.

The private pay arrangement has not previously been reported. The State Department has declined to answer questions about whether the private system was widely known within the agency or officially approved.

Asked in early August about whether Pagliano had been paid privately to maintain the server, a State Department official said that the agency had “found no evidence that he ever informed the department that he had outside income.”


This week, a different State Department official said he could not clarify Pagliano’s pay situation, citing “ongoing reviews and investigations” of Clinton’s e-mail setup.

Pagliano did not list the outside income in the required personal financial disclosures he filed each year. The State Department has said Pagliano concluded his full-time service in February 2013, which coincides with Clinton’s departure as secretary. He remains a State Department contractor doing work on “mobile and remote computing functions,” according to a State Department spokesman.

Pagliano’s attorney, Mark MacDougall, declined to comment.

MacDougall sent a letter Monday to the House Select Committee on Benghazi, which had subpoenaed Pagliano, informing the panel that his client would invoke his constitutional rights not to answer questions.

There are multiple congressional inquiries into Clinton’s e-mail use, and the FBI is looking into the security of the setup.

A spokeswoman for the Senate Judiciary Committee said that Pagliano informed the committee that he would not testify after his lawyer was told that he might face questions about outside employment.

Lawmakers interested in hearing Pagliano’s account of the server’s setup and security protocols are considering whether to offer him immunity in exchange for his testimony. If they take the step, Pagliano would be compelled to appear.

State Department officials have declined to explain which agency officials knew about Clinton’s server and whether any had raised questions or concerns about how it was being handled.

“My unsatisfactory but necessary answer to that is, again, that’s not our role in this process to really answer that question publicly; that there are reviews and investigations underway that will look at possibly some of these issues is for other entities to speak to,” State Department spokesman Mark Toner told reporters this week.

Asked by NBC’s Andrea Mitchell on Friday whether anyone in her inner circle ever expressed concern about the setup, Clinton responded, “I was not thinking a lot when I got in.”

“There was so much work to be done,” Clinton continued. “We had so many problems around the world. I didn’t really stop and think — what — what kind of e-mail system will there be?”

E-mails released this week show that members of the State Department IT department’s help desk were unaware of the setup and sought information about why a correspondent was getting a “fatal error” when sending messages to Clinton’s address. The tech support team “didn’t know it was you,” an aide e-mailed Clinton.

Federal regulations allow employees at Pagliano’s level to have outside employment but require that the extra income not exceed 15 percent of their government salary. Employees must also ensure that their outside work not create a conflict of interest with their government job.

By early 2013, as Clinton was preparing to conclude her time as secretary of state, she was looking to upgrade the system’s security and durability, people briefed on the server have said. The system had crashed for days during Hurricane Sandy in October 2012, disrupting her e-mail abilities.

To find a company to take over for Pagliano, the Clintons turned to Tania Neild, a technology broker whose company, InfoGrate, is in Bronxville, N.Y., about 20 miles from their home.

In January 2013, weeks before Clinton’s departure from Foggy Bottom, Neild alerted a small Denver-based technology firm, Platte River Networks, to a possible contract, according to Andy Boian, a spokesman for the tech firm.

Boian said Neild’s notice included no reference to the Clintons and the company submitted a proposal for the work without knowing the identity of the famous potential client.

Boian said the company only learned that it might be working for the former president and former secretary of state in mid-February of 2013, when executives were told that they were finalists for the work. The Clintons hired Platte River that June. The company has said it moved the Clintons’ server at that time from the couple’s home to a data storage facility in New Jersey, where it sat until it was turned over to the FBI last month.

Neild said in an interview with The Post that she could not confirm that she worked for the Clintons because all of her clients have non-disclosure agreements about their work.

But she said her business is helping wealthy families manage private servers and e-mail systems, and she confirmed that she works regularly with Platte River Networks.

“They are a company with the utmost integrity,” Neild said.

###

Rosalind Helderman is a political enterprise and investigations reporter for the Washington Post.

Carol Leonnig covers federal agencies with a focus on government accountability.
 
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BGIF

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“I was not thinking a lot when I got in.”

“There was so much work to be done,” Clinton continued. “We had so many problems around the world. I didn’t really stop and think — what — what kind of e-mail system will there be?”


It was a matter of National Security. Well, it was supposed to be.


What does it matter, anyhow?
 

Grahambo

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Yes, I do.

Without being told? He knows a lot less then people think.

Point I'm trying to make is that when it coms to the POTUS, its about WHO they surround themselves with and not so much who the POTUS is.
 

IrishJayhawk

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Without being told? He knows a lot less then people think.

Point I'm trying to make is that when it coms to the POTUS, its about WHO they surround themselves with and not so much who the POTUS is.

To a certain extent, that's absolutely true. It certainly was a major reason we invaded Iraq. Bush surrounded himself with Neo-Con hawks who were mad that we hadn't gone into Iraq during Desert Storm (Cheney, Wolfowitz, Rumsfeld, etc.).

But I bet this POTUS knows much more than you think.
 

BGIF

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Without being told? He knows a lot less then people think.

Point I'm trying to make is that when it coms to the POTUS, its about WHO they surround themselves with and not so much who the POTUS is.


And who takes the phone call at 3am ... or doesn't.
 

Grahambo

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To a certain extent, that's absolutely true. It certainly was a major reason we invaded Iraq. Bush surrounded himself with Neo-Con hawks who were mad that we hadn't gone into Iraq during Desert Storm (Cheney, Wolfowitz, Rumsfeld, etc.).

But I bet this POTUS knows much more than you think.

Part of why, IMO, Bush gets more of a bad rap then he deserves.

As for the bold, I'll re-word myself and say that when it comes to strength and weaknesses, foreign policy is in the weaker column.

And who takes the phone call at 3am ... or doesn't.

The answering machine. haha
 

IrishJayhawk

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Part of why, IMO, Bush gets more of a bad rap then he deserves.

As for the bold, I'll re-word myself and say that when it comes to strength and weaknesses, foreign policy is in the weaker column.

Why does that mean Bush gets a bad rap? He surrounded himself with those guys. He gave them too much control. He listened to them. He was "the decider," right?

Don't get me started on giving FEMA to the arabian horse guy...
 
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