Uh, Elmer is so unique.
He knew from the beginning where he wanted to go to college. Not a lot of young high school people know that early in the process.
Mackenzie is such an elite talent that he can wait until NSD and almost any program would make room for him/hold room for him in their class.
It benefits elite players in no way to commit early. People who know what school they want or like a school and are afraid the coaches like other prospects better commit early to hold their spot.
Its almost always preferable to wait until closer to NSD for these kids
1) Elmer is becoming less of an exception, and more kids are comitting before their senior year- we had, what, 18? Its true that a lot of kids don't know where they want to go at this point- that's my point: they need to start and end "the process" earlier. Its a numbers game and a process is only good insofar as it achieves the best result.
2) This year, USC, Michigan, and ND will likely have to turn kids away. Those are 3 pretty attractive schools. I am not sure if the process is so great if it closes those doors even if the FSUs, and Alabama's of the world can always squeeze you in. Frankly, the fact that those schools will have a spot for you no matter what should send up a red flag about those schools.
3) It benefits the kid, obviously, by assuring him a spot. But it also makes the class more attractive to other recruits (as I said above). Michigan sure proved that this off-season. Better recruits helps achieve better results which gets you better exposure. You don't think Michigan's QB recruit this year benefitted himself by energizing that recruiting class?
4) Why is it almost always preferable? What do they get? More exposure from the 1% of us fans who care about this stuff? Meanwhile, if they are good no one will care if they were a 5 star who signed on signing day or not. Not to mention that many of them become big time primadonnas in the process and pay for that over the next few years.