'23 MA WR Ronan Hanafin (Clemson Verbal)

IrishLion

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Georgia had a roster stocked with NFL talent. That was a one year ordeal. You wont see it again for a good while.
Georgia is not an AL or OSU.
Georgia has been recruiting like that for a while though. They might not quite get to Alabama's level in terms of simply having year-after-year reloads, but they aren't going away, either. Too many blue chips to fail despite their underwhelming QB position, which was a point Alabama was at once upon a time... and then they figured out how to develop superstar QB's, too.
 

Irish#1

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I really, really want Marcus Freeman to be Lou Holtz (since my first year of following ND was Holtz’s in 1986), but people are acting like BK was Ty.
Charlie Weis recruited like Marcus Freeman is now & Charlie couldn’t coach.
Marcus didn’t impress in his debut. (F-)

So before we all get too excited, let’s watch Marcus coach. Winning games is the goal. Not winning recruiting battles. BK won a lot of games despite his negatives.
Too late. I'm already excited.
 

Luckylucci

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Georgia has been recruiting like that for a while though. They might not quite get to Alabama's level in terms of simply having year-after-year reloads, but they aren't going away, either. Too many blue chips to fail despite their underwhelming QB position, which was a point Alabama was at once upon a time... and then they figured out how to develop superstar QB's, too.
Yea, UGA is recruiting for staying power. They should be in that group with how they recruit. The last 4 cycles, from ‘19-‘22, their recruiting finishes are 2, 1, 3, and 3. They had 11 top 100 players last cycle. For comparison, ND has 4 right now. And if we use where everyone is ranked right now, could finish with 9 (adding Jason Moore, Love, Gray, Ausberry, and Jagusah). We feel like this is elite recruiting for ND. This is where UGA has been living. Their roster is loaded from the last few/several cycles.
 

Jiggafini19Deux

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I think T-Boone was saying from a recruiting point of view, and I agree. While Clemson has absolutely been on par or better than anyone over the last 6 years or so, they've been doing it by punching well above their recruiting weight and through outstanding quarterback play. Their team talent composite has been on par with ours most of the last six years.
Fair enough, but I think we all agree that National Championships are what we want versus recruiting championships.

And outstanding QB play is a major portion of winning that battle. Having the triggerman can often mask a lot of the other areas where you're average.
 

Dale

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Yes Clemson isn’t in the OSU, UGA, Bama tier which is its own. Above ND who should really be in that second tier under Freeman not third. The separator for Clemson from the rest of their tier has been A) it frequently includes a 5 star QB and B) the 3 stars they do take are usually intentional by Dabo to maintain the culture he wants.
 

NDPhilly

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Yes Clemson isn’t in the OSU, UGA, Bama tier which is its own. Above ND who should really be in that second tier under Freeman not third. The separator for Clemson from the rest of their tier has been A) it frequently includes a 5 star QB and B) the 3 stars they do take are usually intentional by Dabo to maintain the culture he wants.

Tough to not look at this and appreciate purely the coaching job Kelly did.
 

TNUtoNotreDame

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Tough to not look at this and appreciate purely the coaching job Kelly did.
I get this view, but a lot of it was his fault. He is a lazy recruiter and could have moved up that chart with a little effort.
 

Irish4life

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Yes Clemson isn’t in the OSU, UGA, Bama tier which is its own. Above ND who should really be in that second tier under Freeman not third. The separator for Clemson from the rest of their tier has been A) it frequently includes a 5 star QB and B) the 3 stars they do take are usually intentional by Dabo to maintain the culture he wants.
For what it's worth, ND was #4 in Blue Chip Ratio in 2015. Championships: for elite recruiters only

5th in 2016. The Blue-Chip Ratio, 2016 season edition
 

IHateMarkMay

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How many teams would you say have been better than ND in the past five years? Obviously the top four. I'd venture and say Oklahoma as well. However, the others seem debatable.
 

NDMatt91

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Yes Clemson isn’t in the OSU, UGA, Bama tier which is its own. Above ND who should really be in that second tier under Freeman not third. The separator for Clemson from the rest of their tier has been A) it frequently includes a 5 star QB and B) the 3 stars they do take are usually intentional by Dabo to maintain the culture he wants.
Dumb question, but what constitutes a blue-chip recruit? 4* and above? Top 150 player?
 

Irish4life

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That is true. Clark Lea gutted the recent roster of recruiting talent. The old rankings are a good showing of how OSU, Bama have only made the gap bigger as well.
Agreed. It's honestly pretty shocking how poorly we recruited under him. As much as I loved Lea as a coordinator, what Freeman has done on the trail has made me reconsider his tenure as our DC a little bit.
 

Pops Freshenmeyer

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Just for fun, blue chip ratio since Kelly (and class rank) per 247 composite and allowing for the fact that I'm probably making a few mistakes doing this quickly:

2010: 7/23 30.4% 15th
2011: 11/23 47.8% 9th
2012: 10/16 62.5% 17th
2013: 19/23 82.6% 5th
2014: 16/23 69.6% 11th
2015: 14/23 60.9% 13th
2016: 10/23 43.5% 15th
2017: 10/21 47.6% 10th
2018: 14/27 51.8% 10th
2019: 16/22 72.7% 15th
2020: 9/17 52.9% 18th
2021: 12/27 44.4% 9th
2022: 18/22 81.8% 7th
2023: 13/15 86.7% 2nd*
 

Whiskeyjack

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Idk, how many of the teams above us in BCR did we play over the last 5 years? And how many of those games did we win?
Here's Kelly's record against each team currently ahead of us in BCR:
'Bama - 0 - 2
Georgia - 0 - 2
OSU - 0 -1
Clemson - 1 - 3
LSU - 2 - 0
Oklahoma - 1 - 1
Texas - 1 - 1
Michigan - 3 - 4
8 wins and 14 losses, including 0-5 against the top three. 36% win rate in marquee matchups and zero victories against the big boys is quite a legacy!
 

NDPhilly

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For what it's worth, ND was #4 in Blue Chip Ratio in 2015. Championships: for elite recruiters only

5th in 2016. The Blue-Chip Ratio, 2016 season edition

The 247 team talent composite is a better gage of overall "talent" IMO. Kelly's low 4 star's shouldn't be compared evenly to Bama's & Georgia's army of 5 stars.

Our Team Talent Composite Ranking by Year:
2015: 8
2016: 10
2017: 10
2018: 10
2019: 14
2020: 8
2021: 12

While we were well under our max scholarships, 2015 looks like when we were closest to elite based off avg. player ranking. Stagnated since then.
 

TNUtoNotreDame

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Here's Kelly's record against each team currently ahead of us in BCR:

8 wins and 14 losses, including 0-5 against the top three. 36% win rate in marquee matchups and zero victories against the big boys is quite a legacy!
Plus, so many of those games were blowouts, shellacking's, embarrassments.
 

Pops Freshenmeyer

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The 247 team talent composite is a better gage of overall "talent" IMO. Kelly's low 4 star's shouldn't be compared evenly to Bama's & Georgia's army of 5 stars.

Our Team Talent Composite Ranking by Year:
2015: 8
2016: 10
2017: 10
2018: 10
2019: 14
2020: 8
2021: 12

While we were well under our max scholarships, 2015 looks like when we were closest to elite based off avg. player ranking. Stagnated since then.
That 2016 season was a real kick in the balls to recruiting efforts.
 

SouthSideChiDomer

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Tough to not look at this and appreciate purely the coaching job Kelly did.
The problem is that at that ratio, we needed a ridiculously high hit rate on 3 stars or an elite QB to put us over the top. The first option has too much luck to really count on and Kelly was basically incapable of getting the second option.
 

Whiskeyjack

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Just for fun, blue chip ratio since Kelly (and class rank) per 247 composite and allowing for the fact that I'm probably making a few mistakes doing this quickly:

2010: 7/23 30.4% 15th
2011: 11/23 47.8% 9th
2012: 10/16 62.5% 17th
2013: 19/23 82.6% 5th
2014: 16/23 69.6% 11th
2015: 14/23 60.9% 13th
2016: 10/23 43.5% 15th
2017: 10/21 47.6% 10th
2018: 14/27 51.8% 10th
2019: 16/22 72.7% 15th
2020: 9/17 52.9% 18th
2021: 12/27 44.4% 9th
2022: 18/22 81.8% 7th
2023: 13/15 86.7% 2nd*
So Kelly's BCR mean over his entire tenure at ND was 55.5%, which is right where the most recent figures on the chart above put us. That's not remotely close to good enough. The only team with more talent that he managed to "out coach" more than once was LSU. He had a losing record against Michigan (/barf), drew even in the home and home series against Texas and Oklahoma, and was basically abysmal against everyone else.
 

notredomer23

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I’d argue Balis deserves a ton of credit in this. Weis’s blue chip ratio for the 2009 season I would guess was around 60%. Poor coaching, but moreso horrendous development.
 

NDMatt91

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So Kelly's BCR mean over his entire tenure at ND was 55.5%, which is right where the most recent figures on the chart above put us. That's not remotely close to good enough. The only team with more talent that he managed to "out coach" more than once was LSU. He had a losing record against Michigan (/barf), drew even in the home and home series against Texas and Oklahoma, and was basically abysmal against everyone else.
I'll always appreciate Kelly for turning the program around from the end of the Weis era. However, it's frustrating to think about what could have been had he not been lazy on the recruiting trail.
 

Irishnuke

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I’d argue Balis deserves a ton of credit in this. Weis’s blue chip ratio for the 2009 season I would guess was around 60%. Poor coaching, but moreso horrendous development.
Isn’t this just based off recruiting rankings?
 

notredomer23

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Isn’t this just based off recruiting rankings?

In this, I meant Kelly’s success especially the last few years. Blue chip ratio of around 55%, yet outperformed most of the teams in front of him and won over 50 games the last 5 years. Compare that to Weis in 2009 who had a BC ratio over 60% but couldn’t win 6 games. Simply put, I think Balis ensures that the players are maximizing their physical potential which was not always the case with prior strength staffs, especially in the trenches.
 

arahop

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Tough to not look at this and appreciate purely the coaching job Kelly did.
My spin is that BK didn't recruit hard enough. I appreciate that BK could beat the teams that we have a roster advantage over. He couldn't beat a team that had a roster advantage... ever. Maybe Oklahoma 2012? Hard to count Clemson 2020. Missing best Players on both sides of the ball.

Marcus Freeman gets it and goes after dime pieces driving a Ferrari.
BK targeted 6s-8s driving a Honda Pilot.
Freeman gets what it takes to beat and compete against Tier 1 elite teams.
 
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