Oct 17 | BYU

[MacIrish75]

This is the one where Denbrock earns his $$$.

 

[peadeam]

All year this offense has felt like they know they could spread the field and throw at will. They’ve been refining everything else for this game. Now they’ve showed they can be finesse and physical. Pick your poison

 

[irishff1014]

This is the one where Denbrock earns his $$$.

I hope so.

 

[GTB]

The only way we lose this game is if we lose it; BYU cannot beat us if we are on our game

 

[sportallyr]

Gameday to be in Provo for the first time since 2009! Love it! Hopefully they'll be in South Bend 2 weeks later

 

[echowaker2.0]

Byu is better than unc and will have a much better crowd

Are they really ? I don't see that. Definitely a better QB but nothing else shows me that.

 

[echowaker2.0]

Yeah, Irish need an early 'shot' by Adon that knocks the lips off 'ol Bear.

He's been surprisingly quiet the last few games.

 

[Jimmy3Putt]

You obviously haven’t been to Crumbl Cookie lately….

I just looked it up and there are a bunch of them near me.


I seem to have reached my hermit stage of life.

 

[Jimmy3Putt]

I remember last December when BYU called this team a bunch of pussies for not playing in the bowl.

Let's teach them to keep our team's name out their fucking mouths!











*- I'd demand the Earth to be salted, but their soil is already is.

 

[stlnd01]

Are they really ? I don't see that. Definitely a better QB but nothing else shows me that.

Imperfect indicator obvs but UNC is almost 20 spots higher in 247’s team talent indicator.

https://247sports.com/season/2026-football/collegeteamtalentrating/

 

[IrishLax]

Line is officially -12.5, -520 at most books. Implied win probability of ~80% considering the juice.

 

[Irish#1]

I remember last December when BYU called this team a bunch of pussies for not playing in the bowl.

Let's teach them to keep our team's name out their fucking mouths!











*- I'd demand the Earth to be salted, but their soil is already is.

BYU has not been impressive their last two games. I wonder if they’ve been looking ahead?

 

[stlnd01]

BYU has not been impressive their last two games. I wonder if they’ve been looking ahead?

Another distinct possibility is that they're not all that good.

 

[echowaker2.0]

Another distinct possibility is that they're not all that good.

Agree. I also think the Big 12 is garbage.

 

[Redbar]

Regardless of how good they actually are, (which I am not convinced they are very good) we will undoubtedly get their best effort. We have to come out fast and put them away early. I think they lose their zeal as soon as they realize they aren’t as close as they think they are to the top programs. If we let them hang around they will give us an effort that they could probably not duplicate any other week. We need to snatch their hearts!

 

[IrishLax]

Another distinct possibility is that they're not all that good.

I'm kinda torn on this because the metrics basically say they're extremely solid. Legit Top 20 team, borderline top 10, and ND should only be a small favorite on the road.

With that being said:
1. Their score lines have been rough because they don't really finish drives well. Their yardage/efficiency numbers are good.

2. The way they play offense is overly dependent on "Bear" being a hero. They are a completely one dimensional team.

3. Vegas thinks that BYU is substantially worse than their metrics which is why they keep covering and why the betting line this game is higher than it really should be for a top 10 matchup.

Hoping Vegas is correct and BYU just simply isn't that good, and in that case ND defense should shut them down. Hold them below 20 and hard to see ND losing.

 

[402puck]

Their score lines have been rough because they don't really finish drives well.

Not the best recipe for success against this ND team. They’ll let you dip and dunk all day long and then cut your head off in the red zone

I can’t help but to look back at their two matchups against TTU where they scored a combined 14 points. The talent gap was massive in those games, it should be even more apparent in this one.

 

[402puck]

14 points, 455 yards, and 6 turnovers in two games against Texas Tech last year

If Notre Dame is who we think they are, this shouldn’t be particularly close

 

[peadeam]

My only concern is I think our zone defense is suspect and you really don’t want to play a ton of man with a running QB

 

[irishff1014]

Line is officially -12.5, -520 at most books. Implied win probability of ~80% considering the juice.

almost a 2 TD line. That’s crazy.

 

[peadeam]

So what’s up with the injuries? I’m pretty sure Moore will be back. KVA had a huge wrap, didn’t look promising. And what’s the deal with Johnson and Onye?

 

[stlnd01]

I can’t help but to look back at their two matchups against TTU where they scored a combined 14 points. The talent gap was massive in those games, it should be even more apparent in this one.

This is what I'm thinking.

BYU is solid and well-coached enough to consistently beat most Big 12 teams. They're not bad. But I watched those Texas Tech games last year - especially the Big 12 title game - and saw a team that couldn't really move the ball against a good defense. And I would wager our defense is better than Texas Tech's was last year. Then there's our offense for them to contend with.

They could win, sure. Stranger things have happened. Maybe the altitude and crowd are factors. But if we avoid turnovers and play fundamentally sound defense, we'll keep them under 20 points, and I just don't see how they keep us under 20.

 

[Wild Bill]

BYU seems bigger than most teams in 12, so they can bully them. They're not bullying ND - they're just as big and far more athletic.

 

[allenm5333]

BYU seems bigger than most teams in 12, so they can bully them. They're not bullying ND - they're just as big and far more athletic.

I think I saw they have a smallish OL

 

[TNUtoNotreDame]

I think I saw they have a smallish OL

No, they’re actually pretty big.

Overview


BYU's average offensive lineman size is 6-foot-5.0 inches tall and 311.0 pounds.

• • Average Height: 6'5.0"
  • Average Weight: 311.0 lbs

 

[402puck]

PEAR has updated, Notre Dame is the #1 team, #2 offense #4 defense

BYU #13, #23 offense, #9 defense. Wisconsin is the next best team they’ve played for comparison: #28 overall, #37 offense #14 defense

PEAR prediction has ND -8.8 with a score of 35.4-26.6

All that said, if BYU scores more than 21 against this defense, I would be shocked

 

[jprue24]

They started a true frosh at RT against Iowa St.

https://247sports.com/player/bott-mulitalo-46135951/

 

[rtrn2glory]

Really hope KVA is out there next Saturday

 

[Dale]

https://gameonpaper.com/game/401756945

BYU 7, Texas Tech 34 | Big 12 Championship 2025 EPA & advanced box score | Game on Paper

BYU 7, Texas Tech 34 on Dec 6, 2025: college football advanced box score with EPA per play, success rate, explosiveness, win probability chart, drives and every play.

gameonpaper.com

Both Texas Tech games last season above

- First game in Lubbock both offenses were completely shutdown. BYU turned it over 3 times though.

- 2nd time around BYU still did nothing on offense. Down to down TTU still struggled on offense, but hit some explosives this time around, only to struggle in the red zone. BYU again, turned it over 4 times.

 

[arrowryan]

Texas Tech wasn’t good last year either. They played one team worth a fuck OOC and got shutout.