Are we definitely in if Alabama loses?
No, but then the door is open for any of:
- Alabama dropping behind us
- Alabama stays put but so does BYU, providing a buffer between us and Miami
- Alabama stays put, BYU drops, but we still stay above Miami because we were just ahead of them and no new information has been gained to jump them ahead of us.
All would have to go wrong for us to miss. Which is possible, but unlikely. Feels like we’d have like a 90% chance of making playoffs.
I really think Bama would drop behind us. Committee bumped Bama up last week to this reason. If there was no concern about them dropping with a loss, they wouldn’t have.