2025 College Football Playoffs

IrishTusker

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Devil's advocate here: Let's scrap March Madness then too. Only 16 teams deserve to be there.

If we are going to have a playoff this large, we need to include the G5 teams whether we all like it or not.
I don't agree with that. The football playoff is much smaller than the basketball tournament, relative to the number of teams.

Football has 12 teams among 136 FBS teams. So 9%.
Basketball has 68 teams among 363 D1 programs. So 19%.

If we had 19% of FBS teams in the playoff (26) letting the G5 teams get an auto-bid is less of an issue.
 

PutuporShutup

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Devil's advocate here: Let's scrap March Madness then too. Only 16 teams deserve to be there.

If we are going to have a playoff this large, we need to include the G5 teams whether we all like it or not.
You need to ensure you get the teams capable of winning a NC in the field. With college basketball the National championship 90% of the time comes from first 3 seeds (12 teams), and 95% of the time from the top 4 seeds (16 teams). You need to ensure your system gets those top 12-16 teams in. March madness does that. The march madness argument of who gets left out is amongst teams that have 0% chance of winning. Now, there's things march madness can improve on IMO especially with the last 15-20 teams in but that doesn't have much of an impact on who wins it all.

College football is still broken, ND is what, 4th most likely to win it all and may be left out of a 12 team playoff. Absolutely criminal
 

TracyGraham

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Yes. We want Virginia W, Boise State W, Georgia W, Tech W
How about puling for our boy War Daddy at Troy against JMU. That way potentially either winner of Duke and Virginia could be ahead of JMU and it might be less likely for the ACC getting shut out. Not sure if it would work out, but can't hurt to pull for them. Imagine if he was resposible for saving our season....
 

Bane

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Yep, it started only like two weeks ago too. Before cringe Miami fans/media, this crap was beyond the pale. Then Desantis started tweeting, so then people told Greg Abbott to start tweeting for Texas, and then Rubio went on TV sitting next to Trump, so then of course you see a Utah guy stumping for his constituents...

WITH THAT BEING SAID -- this IS why you need to blow up the current system and go back to something like the BCS which isn't susceptible to lobbying. And I would argue that we DO need federal regulation to reign in ESPN's conflict of interest/bias here. It's insane that they are in charge of a "playoff" .... no other college sport is run this way.
Yeah, I never wanted to move away from the BCS. The problem wasn't the computers, it was the limited access. I mean to be honest, I never wanted the playoffs at all. I was actually totally fine with the BCS system and it still made the traditional NY6 bowl games very valuable.

My only gripe with the system to the point I'd call it broken is why must they put in James Madison/North Texas or Tulane. Those three teams have ZERO chance of winning 4 games in a row against a big program, so it's just pointless. What does putting Tulane in and leaving out Miami prove? That a team like OSU essentially gets two byes.

"But what about the kids at JMU that went 11-1 they deserve a chance"

I'd say... "No, they don't, if your kid really wanted to compete for a natty...tell him to work harder and go somewhere that he can actually compete for one...because JMU making the playoffs isn't truly them competing for a Natty"
I think the G5/6 should have their own playoffs to crown their own champion.

They included the G6 conferences so they wouldn't get sued.

That won't change until there are separate leagues or a super conference where G6 and P4 aren't ostensibly on the same level (FBS).
They didn't explicitly include the G6 though. The "G6" and "P4" distinction doesn't exist technically. They worded the language as the 5 highest ranked conference champions getting autobids (and last year the top 4 got byes) but the system was designed when the Pac12 still existed. I think autobids in general are a bad idea and for the good conferences they're not needed and for everyone else (the B12, ACC, etc.) it's just a form of welfare.
 

GowerND11

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I don't agree with that. The football playoff is much smaller than the basketball tournament, relative to the number of teams.

Football has 12 teams among 136 FBS teams. So 9%.
Basketball has 68 teams among 363 D1 programs. So 19%.

If we had 19% of FBS teams in the playoff (26) letting the G5 teams get an auto-bid is less of an issue.

You need to ensure you get the teams capable of winning a NC in the field. With college basketball the National championship 90% of the time comes from first 3 seeds (12 teams), and 95% of the time from the top 4 seeds (16 teams). You need to ensure your system gets those top 12-16 teams in. March madness does that. The march madness argument of who gets left out is amongst teams that have 0% chance of winning. Now, there's things march madness can improve on IMO especially with the last 15-20 teams in but that doesn't have much of an impact on who wins it all.

College football is still broken, ND is what, 4th most likely to win it all and may be left out of a 12 team playoff. Absolutely criminal
I don't disagree with either of you. My biggest issue with the playoff is it leads to these discussions over and over.

I hate the playoff, I'm of the unpopular opinion of going back to the BCS while also reducing conference sizes. But that won't ever happen.

Part of me will be mad if ND is left out. The other part will be mad at ND for losing both of those games resulting in being left out.
 

Kingbish01

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I don't disagree with either of you. My biggest issue with the playoff is it leads to these discussions over and over.

I hate the playoff, I'm of the unpopular opinion of going back to the BCS while also reducing conference sizes. But that won't ever happen.

Part of me will be mad if ND is left out. The other part will be mad at ND for losing both of those games resulting in being left out.
Historically speaking any team that loses their first two games isn't really a true threat to win the Natty. This year is different because I'd take ND against the top 6 seeds with confidence. Ya, even OSU
 

Bane

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Devil's advocate here: Let's scrap March Madness then too. Only 16 teams deserve to be there.

If we are going to have a playoff this large, we need to include the G5 teams whether we all like it or not.

I don't agree with that. The football playoff is much smaller than the basketball tournament, relative to the number of teams.

Football has 12 teams among 136 FBS teams. So 9%.
Basketball has 68 teams among 363 D1 programs. So 19%.

If we had 19% of FBS teams in the playoff (26) letting the G5 teams get an auto-bid is less of an issue.

You need to ensure you get the teams capable of winning a NC in the field. With college basketball the National championship 90% of the time comes from first 3 seeds (12 teams), and 95% of the time from the top 4 seeds (16 teams). You need to ensure your system gets those top 12-16 teams in. March madness does that. The march madness argument of who gets left out is amongst teams that have 0% chance of winning. Now, there's things march madness can improve on IMO especially with the last 15-20 teams in but that doesn't have much of an impact on who wins it all.

College football is still broken, ND is what, 4th most likely to win it all and may be left out of a 12 team playoff. Absolutely criminal
Yeah, I completely agree with IrishTusker and Putup here. If we're going to make the playoffs a participation trophy charity case than we need to expand it to 24 and be done with it. As Putup said, March Madness is big enough that in gets every team with a realistic shot at winning in the field, the CFP is absolutely not doing that and is sacrificing teams with a theoretical shot (Miami) or perhaps even a team with an actual shot (us) for teams with ZERO shot (JMU, NT, maybe even Duke or Boise).

Yeah, maybe they could pull an upset and move on one round, but that would be their absolute ceiling. Even then, they're going to be the 5 12 seed and be matched up with either Oregon, or maybe UGA if they lose the SECCG. Imagine them between the hedges against the Bulldogs. They would get fucking murdered.
 

greyhammer90

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Not that he would know anything more than the average person following this stuff, but Prister basically stated he thinks we're out regardless of the BYU game in his Thursday column.
 

PutuporShutup

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Malachi Fields - WE need to get in for him!

It would be so awful for him to leave Virginia to grow and be on a better team, both things happen, but Virginia gets in CFP and ND left out.

GET ND IN THE PLAYOFF! We're too good not to be in!
 

IrishTusker

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Historically speaking any team that loses their first two games isn't really a true threat to win the Natty. This year is different because I'd take ND against the top 6 seeds with confidence. Ya, even OSU
Because teams almost never play the two best opponents on their schedule as the first two games of the season. That was an all-time scheduling mistake. Would be helpful to know who is responsible for that. The timing of A&M probably couldn't be fixed (we would have to play them early to play at all) and I don't know how Miami works with the ACC deal. Maybe we don't control when we play them, either. Playing them later in the season would have been better, and playing BC or someone else early instead.

In addition, having a bye after Miami rather than after A&M was foolish. If we had switched the bye with Purdue (and so played Miami, Purdue, A&M, and then had a bye instead of Miami, bye, A&M, Purdue) maybe the defensive issues are worked out and we will still win despite playing badly, as happened against Purdue. And then the A&M fiasco on defense is less likely to happen.

Discussing scheduling isn't an "excuse" for poor play. But it's obviously relevant, especially when the timing of the toughest games is an extreme outlier among ND's historical schedules and among other teams' schedules.
 

Kingbish01

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Not that he would know anything more than the average person following this stuff, but Prister basically stated he thinks we're out regardless of the BYU game in his Thursday column.
I'm hoping some of that is to save face. We are a big ND family and most are hellbent on them not making it, I have to think it's because they don't wanna look silly or feel stupid if/when they don't.
 

Huntr

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They didn't explicitly include the G6 though. The "G6" and "P4" distinction doesn't exist technically. They worded the language as the 5 highest ranked conference champions getting autobids (and last year the top 4 got byes) but the system was designed when the Pac12 still existed. I think autobids in general are a bad idea and for the good conferences they're not needed and for everyone else (the B12, ACC, etc.) it's just a form of welfare.


You're right, but it was the bone they threw to the small programs to cover their asses, since it gave at least one of them a chance of appearing.

The BCS was good, but immature. Sports analytics weren't as advanced and the lack of development and understanding led to some shitty inputs, i.e., Billingsley's model.

I said from the beginning the ideal was 8 best teams, however that would be determined, no auto bids. They could create an improved BCS rankings and go with that

That conflicts with making as much money as possible, though, so here we are.
 

irish2104

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ISD seems fairly confident if BYU loses we are in.. just from reading 6 Thoughts on a Thursday.. I don't understand why ESPN is having going on Golics show either and having Price and Love on and having them in now and all the Freeman press and then exclude them but what do I know... this is maddening!!
 

Kingbish01

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Because teams almost never play the two best opponents on their schedule as the first two games of the season. That was an all-time scheduling mistake. Would be helpful to know who is responsible for that. The timing of A&M probably couldn't be fixed (we would have to play them early to play at all) and I don't know how Miami works with the ACC deal. Maybe we don't control when we play them, either. Playing them later in the season would have been better, and playing BC or someone else early instead.

In addition, having a bye after Miami rather than after A&M was foolish. If we had switched the bye with Purdue (and so played Miami, Purdue, A&M, and then had a bye instead of Miami, bye, A&M, Purdue) maybe the defensive issues are worked out and we will still win despite playing badly, as happened against Purdue. And then the A&M fiasco on defense is less likely to happen.

Discussing scheduling isn't an "excuse" for poor play. But it's obviously relevant, especially when the timing of the toughest games is an extreme outlier among ND's historical schedules and among other teams' schedules.
Great points, but I'd change my argument from "most team that drop their first two aren't a threat" to "most teams that drop their two biggest tests aren't a threat" although I'll be the first to say I don't think they lose either of those games in November.
 

NDFAN2008

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If Bama and BYU both lose regardless of score I don't think you can move one team down and not the other. Either both move or stay put. So best case scenario to avoid drama I think for the committee would to have both lose, you drop Bama to 10, Move ND to 9, Miami moves to 11 and BYU to 12.
 

KMac151993

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The more I think about it the more I think the committee was setting itself up to avoid conflict after the final reveal...bumping Alabama was more about their assumption that both Alabama and BYU lose in their respective title games...that allows both to drop one spot. If they didn't move Bama then it was going to be Bama vs. Miami for that last spot...as Miami would pass BYU. If you look at the current match-ups you have two rematches in the first round with Bama/OU and ND/A&M...I would assume the committee wants to avoid that so by making this move you then swap ND and Bama and get fresh match-ups while still allowing the SEC to get that last spot. Of course all this hinges on UGA and Tech doing their jobs.

Go Texas Tech, Boise State, Virginia, and Georgia!
 

burmafrd1944

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Was that Twain? I love Twain. Just finished Huck Finn and its the best book I've read in ages. Some consider Twain the first stand up comedian. He once travelled to Australia and came to Newcastle which is where I live. He was born the year Haley's comet was here and died the year of the next time it was here.
he did say it; whether he was the first is debatable; but since statistics had only been known recently there is a decent chance he invented it
 

Bane

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If Bama and BYU both lose regardless of score I don't think you can move one team down and not the other. Either both move or stay put. So best case scenario to avoid drama I think for the committee would to have both lose, you drop Bama to 10, Move ND to 9, Miami moves to 11 and BYU to 12.
Well the committee can do whatever it wants, it sets out and thinks about what teams it wants in and then constructs a post-hoc rationalization to fit their narrative. That being said, until I turn on the selection show on Sunday and see otherwise, I'll continue to believe that so long as BYU loses we're in (Bama losing and a few other results going our way wouldn't hurt either).

What I think is the jump of Bama over us was to lock in Bama. If Bama wins, they're of course autolocked in and might even get a bye. If they lose and BYU wins, the committee will move up BYU and bumps down Bama a spot and just says "we don't punish conference title game losers that harshly." If Bama and BYU both lose they might slide Bama behind us and move BYU down below Miami, keeping the "buffer" between us and Miami and locking us both in. Obviously if both Bama and BYU win our season is over and those are the breaks.

The one interesting scenario is BYU losing and Bama winning. What you think will happen depends on if you have a bias towards paranoia or not. While most of the ND fanbase has started to believe the committee is conspiring against us (for some reason they really fucking hate us and are waiting to twist the knife in the most painful way possible at the very last minute), I believe the committee really likes us and is going to look for a way to keep us in the fold. They could have at anytime moved Miami ahead of us, they just showed on Tuesday they don't really need any real reason to do it, and who would have complained? ND fans? That's about it. But they've stuck to their guns. Now, if BYU and Alabama win their hands are tied and that's whatever. Maybe I'm proven wrong and I can live with that, but we'll find out in a few days.
 

Kingbish01

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If Bama and BYU both lose regardless of score I don't think you can move one team down and not the other. Either both move or stay put. So best case scenario to avoid drama I think for the committee would to have both lose, you drop Bama to 10, Move ND to 9, Miami moves to 11 and BYU to 12.
Can this even happen? I'll be the first to admit I'm not sure how the small schools factor in or what happens if Duke wins I didn't know their was a true path for both Miami and ND to be in....All I'm confident on is if all chalk win saturday the final 10 look something like this:

1. OSU
2. UGA
3. Indiana
4.) TT
5.) Oregon
6.) Ole Miss
7.) A&M
8.) Oklahoma
9.) ND
10.) Bama

If Bama/Indiana win:

1.) Indiana
2.) OSU
3.) TT
4.) Bama
5.) Oregon
6.) A&M
7.) UGA
8.) Ole Miss
9.) Oklahoma
10.) ND /Miami
 

PutuporShutup

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Best case is Bama and BYU lose, and BAMA looks bad AGAIN!

Someone should have called out the CFP on tuesday night when he said how bama looked good. They had 280 yds of total offense vs a 5-7 team, and auburn had over 400 yds of total offense.

Bama recently has been bad

squeaked by LSU, Came back in the last minute to beat south carolina, lost to oklahoma, squeaked by auburn. Ridiculuos.

Bama loses and looks bad again they need to drop 2 spots and get the 2 better teams in.

OSU
Georgia
Indiana
TT
Oregon
Ole Miss
A&M
Oklahoma (should be ND)
ND
Miami
Virginia
Tulane

They can even flip flop ND/Miami in this situation and make the morons happy even though ND has a better resume.
 

burmafrd1944

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Devil's advocate here: Let's scrap March Madness then too. Only 16 teams deserve to be there.

If we are going to have a playoff this large, we need to include the G5 teams whether we all like it or not.
what was the lowest seed to ever win it all?
think on that
 

Kingbish01

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Well the committee can do whatever it wants, it sets out and thinks about what teams it wants in and then constructs a post-hoc rationalization to fit their narrative. That being said, until I turn on the selection show on Sunday and see otherwise, I'll continue to believe that so long as BYU loses we're in (Bama losing and a few other results going our way wouldn't hurt either).

What I think is the jump of Bama over us was to lock in Bama. If Bama wins, they're of course autolocked in and might even get a bye. If they lose and BYU wins, the committee will move up BYU and bumps down Bama a spot and just says "we don't punish conference title game losers that harshly." If Bama and BYU both lose they might slide Bama behind us and move BYU down below Miami, keeping the "buffer" between us and Miami and locking us both in. Obviously if both Bama and BYU win our season is over and those are the breaks.

The one interesting scenario is BYU losing and Bama winning. What you think will happen depends on if you have a bias towards paranoia or not. While most of the ND fanbase has started to believe the committee is conspiring against us (for some reason they really fucking hate us and are waiting to twist the knife in the most painful way possible at the very last minute), I believe the committee really likes us and is going to look for a way to keep us in the fold. They could have at anytime moved Miami ahead of us, they just showed on Tuesday they don't really need any real reason to do it, and who would have complained? ND fans? That's about it. But they've stuck to their guns. Now, if BYU and Alabama win their hands are tied and that's whatever. Maybe I'm proven wrong and I can live with that, but we'll find out in a few days.
I think if Bama wins and BYU loses, we lose our buffer between ND and Miami. That gets dicey to say the least.
 

Kingbish01

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I've not seen or heard of a scenario that ND and Miami can both make the playoffs. So I've been under the impression it's one or the other. If that's not the case, can someone please share with me how they can both make it.
 

CoachB

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I've not seen or heard of a scenario that ND and Miami can both make the playoffs. So I've been under the impression it's one or the other. If that's not the case, can someone please share with me how they can both make it.
Bama and BYU both lose and drop below ND and Miami
 

burmafrd1944

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I don't agree with that. The football playoff is much smaller than the basketball tournament, relative to the number of teams.

Football has 12 teams among 136 FBS teams. So 9%.
Basketball has 68 teams among 363 D1 programs. So 19%.

If we had 19% of FBS teams in the playoff (26) letting the G5 teams get an auto-bid is less of an issue.
there are many more competitive basketball teams then there ever will be football teams because instead of starting 22 you have a starting 5. So comparing the sports is nothing but deflection

true competitors for the football championship are at most 8 in any year; occasionally you might get more. which is why 12 is as big s it needs to be
 

Kingbish01

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Bama and BYU both lose and drop below ND and Miami
AH...You're saying in this scenario Bama doesn't make it?? That's not happening IMO, having a team miss the playoffs all together because of losing a CCG (before the BYU chat comes in....I'm talking mainly SEC or B10) isn't even a question.
 

rikkitikki08

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AH...You're saying in this scenario Bama doesn't make it?? That's not happening IMO, having a team miss the playoffs all together because of losing a CCG (before the BYU chat comes in....I'm talking mainly SEC or B10) isn't even a question.
Then conference championship games need to be eliminated all together. If a team can’t be punished for losing a conference championship game then they shouldn’t be rewarded for winning it either
 

PutuporShutup

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AH...You're saying in this scenario Bama doesn't make it?? That's not happening IMO, having a team miss the playoffs all together because of losing a CCG (before the BYU chat comes in....I'm talking mainly SEC or B10) isn't even a question.
If Bama loses and doesn't look good again they absolutely should drop 2 spots. They would have 3 losses (yes one in the conf champ game), and they also would STILL have lost to the worst team of any potential playoff team, and they didn't just lose to FSU they got whipped.
 
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