2025 College Football Playoffs

MPClinton22

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They should. 100% agree. But, the committee didn't punish teams last year for losing in the conference championship games...
There was only one team conceivably in position to be bumped out, and that was SMU who was 11-2. Bama is already right on the cusp, and would be picking up their third loss. They won't move up with a loss - and 2 spots will be taken by ACC/G5. So they either will get in by the skin of their teeth, or be dropped one spot and out. I can see an argument either way.
 

NDFAN2008

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I hope we somehow drop to 10 I’d rather play IU in the second round than Ohio State
 

IrishTusker

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I hope we somehow drop to 10 I’d rather play IU in the second round than Ohio State
If we can beat OSU at all (unclear) we have as good or better a chance in the second round than later on. And if we can't beat them, I'm not sure anyone else can. I wouldn't think the odds of them getting bumped are much better than the odds of us beating them.
 

Bane

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Playoff related in that it’s a ND opponent but Boise made their conference title game (against my alma mater so sorry I won’t be pulling for those stupid assholes).
 
I

irishu

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If Duke wins the ACC championship, do we think the committee will select two G5 teams?
 

Rudy89

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They should. 100% agree. But, the committee didn't punish teams last year for losing in the conference championship games...
I don’t follow other teams as closely but did any conference championship game loser have more than two loses last year?
 

IrishinSyria

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No. If you bet $100 you get $900 total.

That's not punishing them. THEY'RE ALREADY BEHIND. That would be rewarding them for losing a conference championship game.
This is obviously right and how most people understand the process but technically it’s a blank slate each week, and it’s not crazy to think that we land further back the list when they redo the rankings with our loss to A&M and our win against Pitt looking a lot worse than they did last week.
 

IrishinSyria

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No, "destroyed" has nothing to do with the spread, cetainly not when you get to 4-5 TD spreads.

My team got destroyed often in high school. No idea how often the metaphorical spread was covered, but being behind 42-3 in the second half is destruction pretty well regardless of what comes next
Irishffffuckingnegativeabouteverythingallthetime being a degenerate better who slams the line on ND no matter how absurd makes so much sense.
 

MPClinton22

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This is obviously right and how most people understand the process but technically it’s a blank slate each week, and it’s not crazy to think that we land further back the list when they redo the rankings with our loss to A&M and our win against Pitt looking a lot worse than they did last week.
Our win against USC is looking better, Miami's loss to SMU is looking worse, our win against Boise looks better, Miami's loss to Louisville looks better, and on and on. You can tie yourself up into knots trying to extrapolate results out that way. I just don't see any results yesterday that could be used to justify dropping us - especially when the actual on-field performances by two teams around us were visibly below average.

A&M losing is annoying but won't make a week 2 loss to them suddenly "bad" because they lost in a tough environment to a decent UT team.
 

rikkitikki08

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If lane takes the offensive staff with him today and some of the players bail as well the committee will most likely not have any choice but to drop ole miss out of the field of 12.
 

IrishinSyria

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Semi related note, I’m glad Love got a few snaps in after getting hurt because given the hype around him I could see the committee using an injury to him as a reason to leave us out.
 

irishfan

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I'm in a group text hot debate about Bama right now and I'm the only one saying if UGA blows them out...they should be left out. So everyone on the planet besides me has Bama a lock??
I also don’t understand. Media/fans are talking like Miami jumping ND would mean ND also gets jumped by Bama. I’m not sure what has possibly changed since last week for Bama to be over ND. I guess maybe the Vandy win looking better, and our Pitt win and A&M loss looking worse? Doesn’t seem like enough. I do think Bama would of course jump us if they beat UGA next week
 

Bane

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I'm in a group text hot debate about Bama right now and I'm the only one saying if UGA blows them out...they should be left out. So everyone on the planet besides me has Bama a lock??
I don't think Bama is a lock at all. Everyone points to last year but unless I'm forgetting something, no conference title game loser that made the playoffs entered into the game with 2 losses and already on the bubble. If Bama takes a third loss how do you justify keeping them ahead of Miami? Maybe they'll point to Miami's bad losses, I'm not sure. I'm not saying they're for sure out, but Bama is not a lock to me.
 

thekid33

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I can see them dropping all the way to 11 or 12 depending on how the ACC title game goes.
 

NDPhilly

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Updated Sargarin - still at 2.

OSU, IU, ND, and Oregon have separated themselves as the 4 best teams in the country in pretty much every advanced ratings system. SEC is just a bunch of 9-3 / 10-2 type teams this year.

Most concerning is that Miami has made a jump in recent weeks, mostly bc the 5-10 teams have shown that they aren’t that good, but they also have been playing better.
 

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Ndaccountant

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Updated Sargarin - still at 2.

OSU, IU, ND, and Oregon have separated themselves as the 4 best teams in the country in pretty much every advanced ratings system. SEC is just a bunch of 9-3 / 10-2 type teams this year.

Most concerning is that Miami has made a jump in recent weeks, mostly bc the 5-10 teams have shown that they aren’t that good, but they also have been playing better.
SMU losing to a team that the week prior lost bigly to Stanford, certainly helps.
 

Dale

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The idea that Alabama is a lock makes zero sense. If BYU wins and Alabama loses, the idea that Alabama is a lock would mean moving UP after a loss. That makes zero sense.

The only way the committee can tell Alabama that are in no matter what is by having them above ND this week. Which they won’t. And that is exactly why they put Alabama behind ND weeks ago.
 

GowerND11

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I hate punishing the kids, but I don't know how you can put a team with only half a coaching staff in the playoff.
It’s the same issue as FSU a few years back. This is why I dislike the committee. Regardless of what happens with Kiffin and staff, you cannot punish them despite success for the season.

Deserving of a spot based on the season should still resonate.

If Matthew Stafford got hurt in week 16, the NFL wouldn’t refuse the Rams a playoff spot.
 
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