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Seems pretty glass half empty. Not sure why we believe in the boogeyman so much now just because he’s out in public. Not every elite kid decides based off NIL nor is it the instant reason we lose a recruitment. I think you’re actually dead wrong on many elite kids, they will decide less based off NIL than “the leftovers” because choosing the wrong school for their development, playing time etc to make NIL money now will cost them NFL money in the future. Caleb Williams for example, why risk less a chance to go 1-1 and make the average salary at that position to go 1-15 and cash a mil of NIL? These kids (and their families) can see that. Tate said as much just the other day. That leads back to the easier truth here, Clemson and OU make more sense for Arnold and Vizzina, on paper (and maybe in reality).
On QBs, the truth is I worry that the whole Vizzina and Arnold recruitments was a bit of a facade that Tommy botched in pursuit of his Day 1, Dante Moore.
I think that more teams are doing it and the dollar amounts are larger and more kids are willing to seek money whereas before they often wouldn’t want to do something illicit. Clearly, Texas A&M showed how you can harness NIL to its full potential and my concern is what happens if there are a dozen A&Ms this year.
For example, Dabo complained about NIL. Does anyone really think that Clemson… who founded their current program on buying players… isn’t going to have their stuff figured out for this class?
Plus, all of these kids have agents now, and the agents are only getting paid if they’re taking as much $$$ as possible.
It’s too early to say how exactly everything shakes out, but I would think we’ll have a clearer picture by the summer and a very clear one by next winter.