2014 NCAA football Real $$$ Bets

[DomeX2 eNVy]

On a horrible run, so I'm going with teams that still seem to be over or under rated.
Northwestern is horrible, so I took Penn State at home.
Kentucky was a team I was high on to begin with (see above) and Vanderbilt sucks. So Kentucky at home.
Texas A&M will look good in their first decent test.
And why does Duke get no love? Getting points.
UTSA is much better than their 1-2 record when compared to weaker competition.

Penn State -10.5 for $60
Kentucky -17 for $40
Texas A&M -8 for $50
Duke +6.5 for $80
Texas San Antonio -4.5 for $70



Running total: Win = $386; Loss = $750; Net = - $364; Pending = $550; record (8-12)

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

WOW, another horrible week. 1-6 with frickin UTSA my only win. (2-10 the past two weeks - which is actually really hard to do . . . try it!) Wanna makes some money - I'm giving you the tips on what not to do.

A really interesting stat from last week's Top 15 - ND and UCLA were the only 2 to cover. (2 pushes, 3 byes, and 9 losses against the spread). So while this board likes to bash the Irish's little imperfections; the reality is that none of the top teams are meeting expectations - and Vegas is happy.

This week, I'm looking hard at Purdue getting 11.5 against Illinois.

Running total: Win = $449; Loss = $980; Net = - $531; Pending = $250; record (9-16)

 

[gkIrish]

WOW, another horrible week. 1-6 with frickin UTSA my only win. (2-10 the past two weeks - which is actually really hard to do . . . try it!) Wanna makes some money - I'm giving you the tips on what not to do.

A really interesting stat from last week's Top 15 - ND and UCLA were the only 2 to cover. (2 pushes, 3 byes, and 9 losses against the spread). So while this board likes to bash the Irish's little imperfections; the reality is that none of the top teams are meeting expectations - and Vegas is happy.

This week, I'm looking hard at Purdue getting 11.5 against Illinois.

Running total: Win = $449; Loss = $980; Net = - $531; Pending = $250; record (9-16)

Might be time to hang it up there buddy. Also I would never ever put money on Purdue no matter what the spread is.

 

[IrishLax]

Hindsight is so easy in gambling... but I never would've given Northwestern a whopping 10.5 against Penn State. I don't ever bet on bad teams who are favored to cover more than a TD as a rule of thumb... it's bet underdog or stay away. And PSU is a very bad team who was incredibly lucky to be 4-0 heading into that game. They've looked like absolute dogsh*t against every team they've played but UMASS.

I bet Syracuse +10.5 and lost, and I bet Clemson -14.5 and the OVER against UNC... and eeked out a cover by half a point and got the over with ease. Only games I bet this week... I've been out of the country the last two weekends so I haven't gambled much this year.

Fun fact... ND is 3-1 ATS this year. We're basically the only highly ranked team that is also "exceeding" expectations on the scoreboard with regularity game-by-game. Question is whether Vegas has us pegged right and we'll come back down to earth, or if we're flat out better than people thought we were.

 

[RDU Irish]

I took ND to win more than 7.5 before the season started also, of course the academic issue surfaced the week after I was in Vegas making the bet. I thought the line was 8.5 so happy to look at the ticket a few games into the season and see I actually got 7.5.

Took ND to beat Rice by more than 23.5 as well. Sweat that one out a bit especially since we lost all those guys after my bet.

 

[RDU Irish]

Had I known the line was 7.5 wins I probably would have done at least $200 instead of $100. BCS champ odds were only 25-1 which I found too ridiculous to even bet.

 

[IrishLax]

This week I'm putting $100 on each of:
UNDER 45.5 for Stanford/ND

Alabama -4.5 against Ole Miss (heavy public bet, which is a bit scary)

Utah +13 against UCLA

Still a bit torn on taking Stanford -1.5... but I think I'm going to do that as well. This one I haven't locked in yet though (and I might've missed my chance as the line seems to be moving).

 

[gkIrish]

This week I'm putting $100 on each of:
UNDER 45.5 for Stanford/ND

Alabama -4.5 against Ole Miss (heavy public bet, which is a bit scary)

Utah +13 against UCLA

Still a bit torn on taking Stanford -1.5... but I think I'm going to do that as well. This one I haven't locked in yet though (and I might've missed my chance as the line seems to be moving).

Dude never bet against ND as the underdog at home.

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

This week I'm taking 4 games.
I have to agree with Lax and ND under. Too much defense, weather, and illnesses.
ND/SU under 47 for $40

But I differed on the next one. I've been hating on Ole Miss for years(rightfully); but this year I think they are for real. At home as a dog - and maybe wishful thinking.
Ole Miss +5.5 for $50

I decided Purdue is good value (ie Illinois is horrible); and look for Baylor to roll with vengeance and state pride of Texas.
Purdue +9 for $60
Baylor -14.5 for $80

Really interested in the USC/ASU game. Go Irish!

 

[IrishLax]

This week I'm taking 4 games.
I have to agree with Lax and ND under. Too much defense, weather, and illnesses.
ND/SU under 47 for $40

But I differed on the next one. I've been hating on Ole Miss for years(rightfully); but this year I think they are for real. At home as a dog - and maybe wishful thinking.
Ole Miss +5.5 for $50

I decided Purdue is good value (ie Illinois is horrible); and look for Baylor to roll with vengeance and state pride of Texas.
Purdue +9 for $60
Baylor -14.5 for $80

Really interested in the USC/ASU game. Go Irish!

If I had listened to you on Ole Miss I would've gone 3 for 3! It was such a heavy public play on Bama I knew I should've stayed away... never, ever go with the public unless you have a specific reason to do so.

Nailed the under and the UCLA game though and still made some scratch.

 

[gkIrish]

There are some extremely juicy spreads this week.

FSU -22.5 @Syracuse
MSU -22.5 @Purdue
Oklahoma -14.5 @Texas (neutral site)
Miss. St +3 vs. Auburn
TCU +10 @ Baylor
ND -16.5 vs. UNC
Oklahoma St. -20 @ Kansas
Arizona +3 vs. USC

I like all of those. Will probably pick 7 and do a round robin.

 

[Mr. McGibblets]

ND line is on the move---coming off an emotional game and sitting in between FSU, a 17 point fav can't be in a contention for a trap game, right?

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

4-0 last week - should have parlayed those beauts . . .

There are some really intriguing lines this week.
Stanford is a 17 point favorite over Washington State. Excluding Cal-Davis and Army (who lost to an Ivy); Stanford has scored 10, 13, and 14 points in their other 3 games (USC, Washington, ND). I think they'll win, hope they win, but by 17?
I'm taking WSU +17 for $40

I've been anti-Texas all year and think Oklahoma wants to bounce back and make a statement. Oklahoma -14.5 for $30

Rice is a slight dog to Army - not touching it, but found that both interesting and disturbing.

Indiana has been bet down from +7 to +3 at Iowa. Hoosiers getting love, so my disdain for popular trends is pushing me to the value in Iowa -3 for $40

Michigan is favored over Penn State - LMAFO at Penn State

I'm looking for a big hangover from Mississippi this week. I like A&M big in this one. Texas A&M -2 for $80

And ND to go under again. I don't see UNC scoring, and hopefully our offense start to find a rhythm going into next week. I think this one will be closer than any of us like, but the under should be strong.
ND/UNC under 65 for $100


Running total: Win = $656; Loss = $980; Net = - $324; Pending = $540; record (13-16)

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

ND line is on the move---coming off an emotional game and sitting in between FSU, a 17 point fav can't be in a contention for a trap game, right?

At the start of the season, this game I thought was a sure loss just for this reason. I expect a poor ND performance on offense, but UNC is so bad we should win.

I think if the defense can get a couple quick stops that UNC will lose confidence. (or at least I am hoping that).

 

[Ndaccountant]

The most interesting line of the week - USC favored by 3 @ Arizona. So, Zona jumps to the #10 team in the nation and is a dog at home to a 3-2 team.

 

[bkess8]

The most interesting line of the week - USC favored by 3 @ Arizona. So, Zona jumps to the #10 team in the nation and is a dog at home to a 3-2 team.

We need to get this game so I can win some Vbucks on it!

 

[IrishLax]

Only taking one this week for $100 per usual:

Georgia -1 over Missouri. Going to try to get it down to "pick em." Both teams aren't great, but I think Georgia rallies around Gurley's absence, and Missouri lost to fucking Indiana.

 

[IrishLax]

Only taking one this week for $100 per usual:

Georgia -1 over Missouri. Going to try to get it down to "pick em." Both teams aren't great, but I think Georgia rallies around Gurley's absence, and Missouri lost to fucking Indiana.

Welp... called this one lol...

 

[Mr. McGibblets]

Annoyed that ND/FSU is the only college game on the board without an Over/Under and one of the few games without money lines posted---at least that's what the site I use has.

Edit: I know they're waiting for the JW decision. Wouldn't make sense since action would swing toward Irish.

 

[Mr. McGibblets]

Speaking of that Over/Under, what do you guys think it'll be. I'll guess 59-61.

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

Another brutal week - I can't believe 93 points in an ND game - ouch. That game was played faster than I thought it would - and the missed tackles didn't help me.

Starting off easy with some Thursday night action. I put money on Pitt at home and Utah on the road.

I don't think Va Tech is as good as people are acting (and betting), and Pitt is a team that can put it together - but for 4 quarters? Anyway:
PITT +1.5 for $40

Utah is 4-1 against the spread and undefeated on the road with nice wins at Michigan (yes, they suck) and UCLA. Oregon State is 2-3 on the spread and got pounded by the Trojans. Should be an interesting game of two 4-1 teams. The over should be easy at 52.5; but I didn't bet it (so it will come in). The thing I don't like is OSU opened a favorite so I with the public on this one = bad value; but I'm getting even money at least.
Utah -2 EV for $60

Running total: Win = $692; Loss = $1190; Net = - $498; Pending = $350; record (14-19-1)


*Interesting side note: FSU has moved from -8 to -8.5; so maybe people are starting to bet that Winston will play???

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

Got a couple of games today following a successful Thursday night.

While I was very tempted to just bet against top 20 teams not playing each other - an amazing trend this year. I'm mostly going back to my anti-public picks.

Baylor -7.5 for $50 This game opened at -9.5 and I think WVU is not a good team. Baylor should be able to win on the road if they can get through the first quarter and the emotions cleanly.

Duke -3 for $50 Virginia is playing pretty well versus expectations, but Duke just doesn't get any respect on the lines. This one opened at -5. A field goal spread seems save at home.

North Carolina St +18.5 for $50 This one opened +14.5 at Louisville. NCS has the potential to play well in big games; and I'm not sold on Louisville yet. I think the Cardinals win a close one, but the Pack covers.

UTSA +12.5 for $60 One of my favorite teams to bet on, this one opened +6.5 and moved due to QB and backup QB uncertainty. I don't think it will matter against La Tech.

I wanted to take OSU/Rutgers over, but the line moved up to 63.5 so I stayed away.

Colorado +21 for $50 Money is on USC, and I think this is a trap game in which they just barely survive. Coming off games against ASU, a big win against Arizona last week, and Utah next week - how can this depleted squad be up to play Colorado?

Georgia State +20 for $40 Game opened +17. Good value here.

LSU -10 for $80 I've been a Kentucky cheerleader all year, but I think they crash this week as people are starting to like them - as the line has moved down from -13.

And the last one goes against the others. Tennessee +16.5 for $70 against Mississippi Like USC, I don't see a quality performance after the last two weeks from the Rebels with LSU up next week.


Running total: Win = $788; Loss = $1190; Net = - $402; Pending = $700; record (16-19-1)

 

[IrishLax]

Little late today but I took the OVER 56 for ND FSU, OVER 54 in Stanford ASU, and OVER 54 for Oklahoma KSU.

Think all of those lines are criminally low... except Stanford/ASU but in that game I've just got a feeling that ASU's up tempo is simply going to lead to more scoring than anticipated both ways.

 

[IrishLax]

One down. Currently sitting at 6-for-8. If I hit both OVERs tonight I'll be sitting at 8-for-10 which I think will be the best I've ever started a CFB season.

EDIT: Stanford's offense really is terrible. Looks like I went 2-for-3 bringing me to 7-for-10.

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

One down. Currently sitting at 6-for-8. If I hit both OVERs tonight I'll be sitting at 8-for-10 which I think will be the best I've ever started a CFB season.

EDIT: Stanford's offense really is terrible. Looks like I went 2-for-3 bringing me to 7-for-10.

2/3 and 7/10 is pretty damn good. Well played $$$$.

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

My big mistake was going against my theory and taking Tennessee. Anyway, still ended up 5-3 today and 7-3 this week. If ND would have won, my season bets would be getting me close to even.



Running total: Win = $1040; Loss = $1360; Net = - $320; Pending = $250; record (21-22-1)

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

A little late posting this week - been very busy, and didn't get my over bet in on Cal/Oregon last night. Anyway, I got a couple bets in this morning.

Stanford has Oregon next week, and I think OSU plays to the level of their competition, so I like the points (and even money on my phone app).
Oregon State +14 EV for $50

LSU +3.5 EV for $50 Loving the even money from Cantor. LSU at night at home with points - that doesn't happen too often.

Kent State's defense is not good. There should be some points in that one.
Kent State/Miami (OH) over 53 for $40

Nevada traditionally doesn't travel well to Hawaii, but they are favored on the road; and the line has dropped to -3 and even money. I like what the Pack are doing, so I'll take them tonight.
Nevada -3 EV for $100

Running total: Win = $1040; Loss = $1360; Net = - $320; Pending = $490; record (21-22-1)

 

[IrishLax]

Hated all of the lines this week. All seem like traps. Only took ASU -3 against Washington for the standard $100. I believe in that ASU offense.

 

[Irish Insanity]

Where do you guys bet at?

 

[Who'saWildManNow]

Got $200 on a 3 game parlay.. Bama -19.5. OSU -11 and USC -1.. Utah scares me at home though.