Lax makes some good points. The SEC has so many recruiting advantages over us that we can't afford to go through a season with fewer than 85 on scholarship. Thus, he suggests we recruit under the assumption that we'll lose 2-3 guys to attrition every year (which is probably close to the average) in order to fill up on NSD.
But doing so raises some uncomfortable questions. What do we do in those years when we lose fewer than 2-3 guys to attrition? Do we force a kid like Luke Massa onto a medical scholarship? Do we pull someone's scholarship offer at the last minute? Doing so would be unethical, and it may also hurt our recruiting sales pitch that we do things the right way.
There are legitimate issues worth debating here, but it will be very difficult (maybe impossible) to close the recruiting gap with 'Bama while maintaining the program's integrity. There's no obvious solution here.
Conventional wisdom holds that roughly 1/3 of your roster contributes (either on offense, defense or ST), 1/3 provides quality depth, and 1/3 will never see the field in any meaningful capacity. The SEC's advantage is in being able to freely transfer a large portion of that bottom 1/3 to academic scholarship every year. That's what gives them the freedom to oversign while maintaining respectable GSR figures and the appearance of proprietary (such kids still get a free education, or can transfer to pursue playing time elsewhere).
See
this post by NOLAIrish for why it's possible. In short, it's because the standard for qualifying for an academic scholarship at big state schools is pretty low, so most football players can make it. Here's the specific rule:
Honorary Academic Award
This is an award for a continuing student and must meet the following criteria:
- The award or grant is a standing scholarship or established research grant;
- The basis for the award is due to the candidate’s academic record at the institution;
- The candidate is competing among other students of a particular class or college to receive the award.
That last one is the killer for schools like Stanford and ND. Our football players can't compete with the general student population for academic scholarships, so we have to carry that bottom 1/3 of our roster for all four years as "counters" against our 85. That makes our margin of error in recruiting extremely thin.
Unless the NCAA changes that rule, I don't see how ND can close the recruiting gap without compromising the program's integrity (and hurting our stellar GSR figures in the process).