Jan 2 | Georgia

IrishSteelhead

IrishSteelhead

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Georgia fans have every right to go into the game expecting to bully their opponent, regardless of team.

They have essentially done it for almost a decade now under Kirby.

However, they are overestimating a clear recency bias, and equating the team they have this season to ones that were far better in previous years.

The SEC is undefeated in hypothetical matchups this season, we will find out soon enough how they fare in practical ones.


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InKellyWeTrust

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I think the SEC has pretty much proven to have been overrated this year. Georgia have played a daunting schedule but a lot of it is propped up by SEC bias. Believe what you want but expecting Georgia to just run it down our throats ignores pretty much everything we've seen from both teams this year. You could make a better argument for ND lining up and "running it down their throats".
 
IrishSteelhead

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InKellyWeTrust said:
I think the SEC has pretty much proven to have been overrated this year. Georgia have played a daunting schedule but a lot of it is propped up by SEC bias. Believe what you want but expecting Georgia to just run it down our throats ignores pretty much everything we've seen from both teams this year. You could make a better argument for ND lining up and "running it down their throats".
Click to expand...

Current trend 82% bets on UGA.

Line isn’t moving much, if at all, which roughly translates to:

People are placing more bets on Georgia.

People are placing more big ticket bets on ND to keep it in check.

It’s shaking out nicely from a Vegas standpoint so far.


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wizards8507

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InKellyWeTrust said:
I think the SEC has pretty much proven to have been overrated this year. Georgia have played a daunting schedule but a lot of it is propped up by SEC bias. Believe what you want but expecting Georgia to just run it down our throats ignores pretty much everything we've seen from both teams this year. You could make a better argument for ND lining up and "running it down their throats".
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I feel like nobody is talking about our secondary enough. Even if they have the size advantage up front, we can afford to crowd the box because our defensive backfield is so good. Combine that with a rookie QB and I think we win the turnover battle and therefore the game even if we lose on total yards and time of possession.
 
Crazy Balki

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InKellyWeTrust said:
I think the SEC has pretty much proven to have been overrated this year. Georgia have played a daunting schedule but a lot of it is propped up by SEC bias. Believe what you want but expecting Georgia to just run it down our throats ignores pretty much everything we've seen from both teams this year. You could make a better argument for ND lining up and "running it down their throats".
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Texas and Tennessee were their best wins by far, and Tennessee went out and crapped the bed against Ohio State in the worst way possible.

Texas is a good team, but I think they match up very poorly against Georgia. They don't have a strong or consistent run game, so if Ewers isn't on his game, their offense is in trouble. When he is, that opens things up a bit, as we saw v. Clemson (who btw, wtf happened to Clemson's defense? Did they really just go to shit when Venables left?)
 
forkbeard3777

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Crazy Balki said:
Texas and Tennessee were their best wins by far, and Tennessee went out and crapped the bed against Ohio State in the worst way possible.

Texas is a good team, but I think they match up very poorly against Georgia. They don't have a strong or consistent run game, so if Ewers isn't on his game, their offense is in trouble. When he is, that opens things up a bit, as we saw v. Clemson (who btw, wtf happened to Clemson's defense? Did they really just go to shit when Venables left?)
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What? They average like 175 a game and almost ran for 300 against Clemson. They’re pretty damn good…they ran it on everyone except for Georgia (29 yards and 31 yards). Vanderbilt was the only other team strangely to slow them down and they still rushed for over 100.

I think this is a game where all 3 backs have to bring it. Strangely, unless Love can break one here and there, I could envision Price or Williams being more effective. I know that sounds crazy, but watching the IU game, Williams just runs freaking hard, never quits, and always falls forward.

Leonard has to make plays and run hard as well.
 
RDU Irish

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JolietJack305 said:
i've got 4 tickets in section 644 which is marked as the "Georgia side" per seatgeek/stubhub. Does anyone know if tickets are actually allocated in that fashion? Should I expect primarily UGA fans on that side?
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Mine from ND are section 616 and another buddy was same corner endzone. That sounds somewhat opposite side of field so would not surprise me if they are UGA allotment.
 
Hautian Domer

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This game is extremely easy. Unless we go out, shit the bed, piss our pants, make a bunch of turnovers, commit a bunch of stupid penalties, fumble kickoffs, shank punts and field goals or, simply said, the moment is too big, it boils down to this:

  • DEFENSE: As long as the QB isn’t the second coming of Tom Brady, Georgia will not score a bunch of points. They haven’t all year, they don’t have the talent and they are not built for that offensively. Losing Mills sucks, but at the end of the day, he’s likely a 4th - 6th round pick, and it won’t make too much of a difference
  • OFFENSE: We must win the first down battle. We cannot afford to get stuffed, throw incompletions or take sacks. We cannot face 2nd and 10+ and consistently convert against the defense. Winning the first down battle equates to more time off the clock, more plays the Georgia defense is on the field, better field position and, hopefully, more points. It is imperative that we win the first down battle. Do that, and we win.
 
Crazy Balki

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forkbeard3777 said:
What? They average like 175 a game and almost ran for 300 against Clemson. They’re pretty damn good…they ran it on everyone except for Georgia (29 yards and 31 yards). Vanderbilt was the only other team strangely to slow them down and they still rushed for over 100.

I think this is a game where all 3 backs have to bring it. Strangely, unless Love can break one here and there, I could envision Price or Williams being more effective. I know that sounds crazy, but watching the IU game, Williams just runs freaking hard, never quits, and always falls forward.

Leonard has to make plays and run hard as well.
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Big deal. Clemson's run defense has been awful all year. Stanford ran for 240 yards on them. STANFORD. This isn't the Clemson defenses of old

Texas played very few legitimately decent run defenses and struggled against all of them and some that weren't even good.
 
IRISHDODGER

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wizards8507 said:
I feel like nobody is talking about our secondary enough. Even if they have the size advantage up front, we can afford to crowd the box because our defensive backfield is so good. Combine that with a rookie QB and I think we win the turnover battle and therefore the game even if we lose on total yards and time of possession.
Click to expand...
You’re right. But like the SC game, it will be dependent on the front 7 getting some QB hurries. If they can’t get to the QB, you can’t expect the secondary to cover man-to-man forever. We saw how that worked out in the SC game. Yes, that kid was much more experienced passer but this Stockton kid is allegedly mobile so the LB will need to clean things up if/when he’s flushed.
 
InKellyWeTrust

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IRISHDODGER said:
You’re right. But like the SC game, it will be dependent on the front 7 getting some QB hurries. If they can’t get to the QB, you can’t expect the secondary to cover man-to-man forever. We saw how that worked out in the SC game. Yes, that kid was much more experienced passer but this Stockton kid is allegedly mobile so the LB will need to clean things up if/when he’s flushed.
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Even if Stockton finds an open receiver, chances are they drop the ball. We are going to rattle this kid early in this game.
 
IrishSteelhead

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I’ve seen a few posts online about KVA being out. Has that been verified?


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IrishSteelhead

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New Orleans after dark offers a thousand different ways for a player to be sidelined for their game.

Who was the player, I think Holtz era, that showed up the next morning beat to all hell by the police? Think that game was in Florida, but a good cautionary tale.


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NDPhilly

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College Football Insiders

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Parker Fleming (CFP Insiders) advanced stats preview - does not adjust for Mills / Beck's injuries.

As I said earlier in this thread, we are slightly ahead of UGA is essentially every advanced ratings system, even with a healthy Beck.

Really feels like Vegas is about to feast on the public's perception of UGA being a juggernaut + ND's inability to win a "big game"... meaning a ND win. Maybe that's hopium tho.
 
IrishSteelhead

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NDPhilly said:

College Football Insiders

www.collegefootballinsiders.com www.collegefootballinsiders.com

Parker Fleming (CFP Insiders) advanced stats preview - does not adjust for Mills / Beck's injuries.

As I said earlier in this thread, we are slightly ahead of UGA is essentially every advanced ratings system, even with a healthy Beck.

Really feels like Vegas is about to feast on the public's perception of UGA being a juggernaut + ND's inability to win a "big game"... meaning a ND win. Maybe that's hopium tho.
Click to expand...

My mindset is if people who truly have a bead on things thought this was gonna be a 4 hour torture show like years past, the spread would be 6.5+ by now.

To take it further, when two teams are seemingly equal, it is customary for a line to be set around 3 points for the home team. Georgia is probably considered the home team.

I bet people not putting their emotions into their prediction see this game a coin flip.


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I

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NDPhilly said:

College Football Insiders

www.collegefootballinsiders.com www.collegefootballinsiders.com

Parker Fleming (CFP Insiders) advanced stats preview - does not adjust for Mills / Beck's injuries.

As I said earlier in this thread, we are slightly ahead of UGA is essentially every advanced ratings system, even with a healthy Beck.

Really feels like Vegas is about to feast on the public's perception of UGA being a juggernaut + ND's inability to win a "big game"... meaning a ND win. Maybe that's hopium tho.
Click to expand...
I wanna believe!!
 
F

fightingirish595

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NDPhilly said:

College Football Insiders

www.collegefootballinsiders.com www.collegefootballinsiders.com

Parker Fleming (CFP Insiders) advanced stats preview - does not adjust for Mills / Beck's injuries.

As I said earlier in this thread, we are slightly ahead of UGA is essentially every advanced ratings system, even with a healthy Beck.

Really feels like Vegas is about to feast on the public's perception of UGA being a juggernaut + ND's inability to win a "big game"... meaning a ND win. Maybe that's hopium tho.
Click to expand...
I think ND will go off the fave.
 
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