Irish Envy Gambling Thread - Sponsored by Brendan Sorsby

[Irish2155]

What’s the odds that Boone gets canned at the end of the year?

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

General advice- don't bet over/under season win totals. You tie up your money for months and rarely get more than +150 odds unless you're playing alternate totals.

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

What’s the odds that Boone gets canned at the end of the year?

Probably -200 (67% probability) at this rate, but I don't even think Kalshi or Polymarket are offering that right now.

 

[Dale]

General advice- don't bet over/under season win totals. You tie up your money for months and rarely get more than +150 odds unless you're playing alternate totals.

But it’s fun.

The money is really immaterial to me in sports betting. I like the sport of it.

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

I'm probably too serious about it. I've been doing this for almost 25 years now, and I kinda miss having that approach.

 

[RDU Irish]

Just keep pouring $ on ND to win it all and Carr for Heisman. I'm up to $1k each on both. A couple months ago, I bet on Spurs to win the west and the title. It looks like the odds are down to around +300 (west) and +500 (title) now, but I still like both. Spurs match up well against OKC and went 4-1 against them this season. I'm also on Wemby for western conference finals MVP, and the odds on that are down to around +300 now.

I like that - mainly b/c I hate OKC and their FT merchant.

 

[Irish2155]

My goodness this Knicks game. 50 point lead in the second. Never seen a blow out like this. Ouch. Just need the Hawks to score enough to cover the over in this parlay.

 

[Henges24]

My goodness this Knicks game. 50 point lead in the second. Never seen a blow out like this. Ouch. Just need the Hawks to score enough to cover the over in this parlay.

Just seen that score. What a mess.

 

[Irishcop]

My goodness this Knicks game. 50 point lead in the second. Never seen a blow out like this. Ouch. Just need the Hawks to score enough to cover the over in this parlay.

I absolutely can’t wait for sports talk radio in the morning. I live just outside of Atlanta.

 

[Irish2155]

They were leading by 61 at one point.

 

[Dale]

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

View attachment 3063544

ND's odds to reach the title game are basically in line with their odds to win to win it all. There's some value on Georgia, Indiana, and Texas to reach the title game though.

Edit: LSU too

 

[Dale]

ND's odds to reach the title game are basically in line with their odds to win to win it all. There's some value on Georgia, Indiana, and Texas to reach the title game though.

Edit: LSU too

All these odds are criminal, I just found them interesting enough to post as comparisons.

They also posted alt win totals, so bad.

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

All these odds are criminal, I just found them interesting enough to post as comparisons.

They also posted alt win totals, so bad.

Some of those odds to reach the title game compared against odds to win it all are assuming that a team will be a considerable underdog in the title game.

 

[RDU Irish]

Just keep pouring $ on ND to win it all and Carr for Heisman. I'm up to $1k each on both. A couple months ago, I bet on Spurs to win the west and the title. It looks like the odds are down to around +300 (west) and +500 (title) now, but I still like both. Spurs match up well against OKC and went 4-1 against them this season. I'm also on Wemby for western conference finals MVP, and the odds on that are down to around +300 now.

Owe you a beer. I got +335. Good call. Happy I settled for conference champ.

 

[Me2SouthBend]

So which degenerate in this thread is Sorsby?

 

[Irish2155]

Spurs -5.5. What’s the play? I’m torn

 

[NorthDakota]

Spurs -5.5. What’s the play? I’m torn

I'll call my guy in Lubbock and get back to you

 

[Irish2155]

I'll call my guy in Lubbock and get back to you

Surely bet the opposite, right.

 

[RDU Irish]

I was chasing Knicks lines since Spurs always flash then crash. Kept pushing since they were shooting 70% from three and had to go cold. Gave up and went to bed when Spurs were up damn near 30 in the third quarter. Woke up to a bunch of money in my account - even the MLs paid off, what a shitshow. Would have hedged TF out of it had I stayed awake.

 

[Dale]

Fanduel’s bonus bet deal is great if you’re a small timer like me

$5 bonus bets for every goal on a game you bet. Ex. $25 yesterday

 

[Dale]

Fanduel’s bonus bet deal is great if you’re a small timer like me

$5 bonus bets for every goal on a game you bet. Ex. $25 yesterday

I have seen folks with this bonus be as high as $25, not $5. Even at $5, $40 and counting already today thanks to the Germans. Unreal promotion

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

Owe you a beer. I got +335. Good call. Happy I settled for conference champ.

I also had Spurs to win it all at +1500 and Wemby for Finals MVP at +1300. Thought the series would be Spurs in 7 games, so I hedged both of those to guarantee a profit with Knicks to win series +175 and Brunson for Finals MVP +208. Spurs lack of experience was the crucial factor, but they'll be back.

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

With basketball season officially done, I'm focused on baseball betting now. In honor of our thread sponsor, I'll start off with a bet on the Reds -1.5 at +150 odds. I'll also take it a degenerate step further and go with:

Phillies -1.5 at +106 odds
Cardinals -1.5 at +137 odds
Cubs -1.5 at +102 odds
Dodgers -1.5 at +116 odds

I'll post my baseball plays here daily to help get us through the summer. Could be good, could be bad, will probably be somewhere in the middle.

 

[rtrn2glory]

Great title rename

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

Went 3-2 yesterday (Cubs and Dodgers both missed the run line by half a run). Made 1.93 units for a 38.6% ROI. Today I'm on:

1. Mets ML at -123
2. Braves -1.5 at +113
3. Padres ML at +100
4. Rangers -1.5 at +151
5. Pirates ML at +118

All listed bets are for 1 unit unless stated otherwise. Don't fade me bro!

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

Went 1-3 yesterday (Braves game was rained out and will resume today). Lost 1.82 units. Today's picks:

1. Braves -1.5 at +113 (from yesterday)
2. Tigers ML at -110
3. Diamondbacks -1.5 at +122
4. Red Sox ML at -128
5. Guardians ML at +103
6. Cubs -1.5 at +104

Season total: 4-5 (+0.11 unit)

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

Another rough day yesterday but that's how it goes sometimes. Went 2-4 and lost 1.74 units. Onto the next one:

1. Mariners -1.5 at +143
2. Phillies ML at -124
3. Braves -1.5 at +153
4. Cardinals ML at -104
5. Athletics ML at -135

Season total: 6-9 (-1.63 units)

EDIT: I'm including all picks with a + in front of them in a round robin parlay, which does not count toward the listed season total numbers regardless of whether the parlays hit or not.

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

Went 2-2 yesterday (Braves game was rained out again) and made 0.17 unit. Feels like a big day coming with Skubal on the mound...

1. Tigers -1.5 at -101 (**2 units)
2. Rangers -1.5 at +135
3. Cardinals ML at -126
4. Angels ML at +141
5. Red Sox ML at +110

Just to clarify- my round robin parlays do not just include 2 team parlays. Example: if I have 5 picks on my list with + odds, then I arrange those 5 picks into all possible combinations of 2 team parlays and 3 team parlays and bet 0.1 unit on each individual parlay. I usually don't bother with anything beyond a 3 team parlay.

Season total: 8-11 (-1.46 units)

 

[MeanGreenBeans]

Fuck it Friday... Let's have some fun. I just took the 5 picks above and added the 5 picks below to create a 10 team parlay for 0.05 unit.

6. Cubs ML
7. Yankees -1.5
8. Rays -1.5
9. Guardians ML
10. Diamondbacks -1.5

Odds are +217,571.