Degenerate Gambling Thread

Dale

Dale

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I loaded up on Tennessee -9.5 Thursday night or Friday morning before it moved. Don’t like chasing an obvious move but I don’t think this is a trap, I think Tennessee runs for 300 and even if their D isn’t up to speed it won’t matter.

I’ll probably look to play over on OSU/Texas live after seeing the game plans. I think a more aggressive Texas offensively and defensively should lead to a more open game script both ways. I just see an objectively better Texas offense, worse OSU defense, and more aggressive - not better - Texas D as the 3 knowns right now.
 
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NotKoon

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I’m going with Villanova +36.5 tonight. Louisville is on 5 day rest after leaving it all out on the field Sunday. Think they’ll be looking to be as vanilla as possible and get the game over as soon as possible
 
zelezo vlk

zelezo vlk

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The Oklahoma/Michigan over/under is 43.5? Two inept offenses tells me hit the under. I'd also look to Michigan's o/u and probably hit the under.
 
Dale

Dale

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I have laid a substantial wager on Missouri TT O27.5

- I think KUs defense is likely bad again
- I don’t love Austin Simmons but like most of the rest of the roster on offense. Green expected healthy.
- not sure about the Missouri D and Kansas O, but points from Isaiah Marshall and KU should only help
- Missouri put up 42 last year, and has a pattern of playing possum early in seasons offensively only to go out big in their first real game. The only way this isn’t their A+ offensive effort is if they don’t think Kansas is very good, in which case 28 still should be easy
 
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MeanGreenBeans

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Final week 2 picks:

1. Kentucky +10.5 (and moneyline)
2. Florida Atlantic +5 (and moneyline)
3. Kansas +5.5 (and moneyline)
4. Texas moneyline
5. Purdue +3 (and moneyline)
6. Oregon -23
7. FIU -10
8. Air Force +3 (and moneyline)
9. Oregon State +26.5
10. Fresno State -16.5 (bought 1 point)
11. Rutgers +3.5 (and moneyline)
12. Virginia Tech -18.5
13. UCLA/San Diego State o54.5
14. Texas State/UTSA o66
15. Michigan/Oklahoma u43.5

Also have a round robin underdog moneyline parlay with Florida Atlantic, Kansas, Purdue, Air Force, and Minnesota.
 
Dale

Dale

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Like Mason McKenzie O57.5 Rushing Yards

- He actually ran for 104 yards last week, eaten into by sacks.
- I expect Rutgers will play better but gave up 40 yards to Pop last week, and McKenzie will likely double the attempts. Most importantly, he was only sacked once.

If this was the NFL where sacks don’t count, this number is easily 80+
 
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NDFAN2008

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Dale said:
Like Mason McKenzie O57.5 Rushing Yards

- He actually ran for 104 yards last week, eaten into by sacks.
- I expect Rutgers will play better but gave up 40 yards to Pop last week, and McKenzie will likely double the attempts. Most importantly, he was only sacked once.

If this was the NFL where sacks don’t count, this number is easily 80+
Click to expand...
Good call hes at 43 yards already
 
Dale

Dale

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Dale said:
I have laid a substantial wager on Missouri TT O27.5

- I think KUs defense is likely bad again
- I don’t love Austin Simmons but like most of the rest of the roster on offense. Green expected healthy.
- not sure about the Missouri D and Kansas O, but points from Isaiah Marshall and KU should only help
- Missouri put up 42 last year, and has a pattern of playing possum early in seasons offensively only to go out big in their first real game. The only way this isn’t their A+ offensive effort is if they don’t think Kansas is very good, in which case 28 still should be easy
Click to expand...

Complete loser. OL is a disaster.

EDIT: easy money, just don’t run.
 
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Pete

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Dale said:
I have laid a substantial wager on Missouri TT O27.5

- I think KUs defense is likely bad again
- I don’t love Austin Simmons but like most of the rest of the roster on offense. Green expected healthy.
- not sure about the Missouri D and Kansas O, but points from Isaiah Marshall and KU should only help
- Missouri put up 42 last year, and has a pattern of playing possum early in seasons offensively only to go out big in their first real game. The only way this isn’t their A+ offensive effort is if they don’t think Kansas is very good, in which case 28 still should be easy
Click to expand...
Thanks on the Mizzou o27.5
 
FightingIrishLover7

FightingIrishLover7

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This post is not to be viewed as judgemental or condescending, strictly informative.

As someone that doesn't sports gamble, but is generally interested in business and economics, I was curious how people generally fare when it comes to wins and losses.

Is it similar to casinos where "the house always wins" and where the experience itself is part of the fun (how long can I make the money last and enjoy myself, and maybe I'll come up ahead sometimes). Aka - does the betting itself just make other games more fun and entertaining?

Not asking for ledgers of wins and losses. I just have a couple of much younger brothers that are pretty big into it and not sure if they're always honest about their performance.
 
Dale

Dale

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notredomer23 said:
Did you forget to switch burners?
Click to expand...

VyBDoL.gif
 
Dale

Dale

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ASU - Texas A&M not a real edge but lean over and these 3 props I can’t not bet out of principle. Not a big rec like yesterdays though:

- Reed Harris is O37.5 on Bet365, 47.5 elsewhere
- Omarion Miller is O45.5 on Bet365, 54.5 elsewhere
- Isaiah Horton is O43.5 on FD, 49.5 elsewhere

Can even just middle it if you want
 
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CoachB

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FightingIrishLover7 said:
This post is not to be viewed as judgemental or condescending, strictly informative.

As someone that doesn't sports gamble, but is generally interested in business and economics, I was curious how people generally fare when it comes to wins and losses.

Is it similar to casinos where "the house always wins" and where the experience itself is part of the fun (how long can I make the money last and enjoy myself, and maybe I'll come up ahead sometimes). Aka - does the betting itself just make other games more fun and entertaining?

Not asking for ledgers of wins and losses. I just have a couple of much younger brothers that are pretty big into it and not sure if they're always honest about their performance.
Click to expand...
For me it just makes the games more fun to watch.
 
Irish2155

Irish2155

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I don’t need to bet ND games as I already have a rooting interest. It’s the other games I don’t give a shit about…throw some money down, now I have a dog in the hunt.
 
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CoachB

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Here's my crazy parlay. $10 to win $22,038

I picked BYU over 8.5 regular season wins before the year. Seemed like easy money.

This week I have..
Oklahoma -4.5 vs. Michigan
Under 43.5
Sategna anytime TD (Michigan might take him away)
Oregon -23 over OK State.
Dakorien Moore anytime TD
Texas A&M -14.5 over Arizona St.
BYU -7.5 over Arizona
LJ Martin anytime TD
Tennessee -12 vs. GT
LSU -35.5 over LT
Syracuse -3.5 over Cal
Cuse and Cal over 56.5

However, I didn't parlay. I don't want to give money away. I bet $10 on each bet, lol.
 
Dale

Dale

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Took Purdue - WF 1H U26.5

- Early kick and offenses suck. Wake’s D was good last year, Purdue portal class more defensive focused, Wake had some retention there as well. Honestly main worry would be TOs leading to an easy score or two. Bad offense can still lead to points
 
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