2020 Elections

[ulukinatme]

I'm not nervous. I totally thought Biden would win, and I thought he'd win early. Same feeling I had in 2016.

That's not happening though, again lol. Poll were shit again. Pretty funny.

I was kinda hoping it would be called early so I could go to bed early... Looks like I'll be staying up late.

This shit ain't finishing tonight. Michigan, Penn, and Wisconsin probably won't be called tonight and either candidate probably needs 2/3 to win.

 

[Irish YJ]

Quinnipiac (538 B+ rating) is getting trashed right now...
8pts off in Ohio, 8pts off in FL too.

 

[Irish YJ]

This shit ain't finishing tonight. Michigan, Penn, and Wisconsin probably won't be called tonight and either candidate probably needs 2/3 to win.

Yup. At least Trump is up in all 3 currently, and big in two.
It's been reported PA could last till Friday. Pretty embarrassing for the state IMO. The Dem state AG predicting a Biden win is pretty head scratching too.

 

[yankeehater]

Yup. At least Trump is up in all 3 currently, and big in two.
It's been reported PA could last till Friday. Pretty embarrassing for the state IMO. The Dem state AG predicting a Biden win is pretty head scratching too.

How is Pennsylvania not called with Trump up by 16 points? I went through the map and there are as many red areas and counties where Trump is over performing from 2016 not completely in as there are blue areas. That AG in the state is pretty shady though. His comments this past week don't give me a lot of faith there will not be shenanigans.

 

[GATTACA!]

How is Pennsylvania not called with Trump up by 16 points? I went through the map and there are as many red areas and counties where Trump is over performing from 2016 not completely in as there are blue areas. That AG in the state is pretty shady though. His comments this past week don't give me a lot of faith there will not be shenanigans.

There are over 1 million absentee votes yet to be counted.

 

[Irish YJ]

Probably last update unless there's a swing somewhere. They did say WI could be called a little after three. Losing WI is probably worse for Biden than Trump. NV should be called tonight. Not sure about the rest.

Biden -32 votes (to 270)
Trump -53 votes

Uncalled Trump Lean (80)
16 GA +2.6% (93% in)
15 NC +1.4 (94% in)
10 WI +3.9 (88% in)
16 MI +8.9 (65% in)
20 PA +14.6 (64% in)
3 AK - +19.8 (23% in)

Uncalled Biden Lean (6)
6 NV +3.9 (66% in)

 

[Irish YJ]

There are over 1 million absentee votes yet to be counted.

Thought I heard it was only around 300Kish received/uncounted, but could be totally wrong. I think the bigger issue is they assume a lot are unreceived yet. They just have to have a postmark.

 

[Irish YJ]

How is Pennsylvania not called with Trump up by 16 points? I went through the map and there are as many red areas and counties where Trump is over performing from 2016 not completely in as there are blue areas. That AG in the state is pretty shady though. His comments this past week don't give me a lot of faith there will not be shenanigans.

uncounted votes, unreceived votes, etc..

IMO... Total BS on how they managed the process compared to the other states.

 

[NorthDakota]

My dream scenario is trump winning PA narrowly and SCOTUS blaming the AG somehow for being the world's biggest retard claiming that Trump couldn't win without cheating.

Dems gotta be sitting their pants, this is fun. Polls have been telling right leaning folks for months that a Biden win was all but inevitable. Biden isnt going to get any sort of mandate even if he wins.

If Trump wins, it sorta makes 90% of media take a long look in the mirror and ask how they screwed up so badly to miss this shit two elections in a row.

Let's go grab the shithole states that are WI, MI, and PA and put this shit to bed this week.

 

[Irish YJ]

Trump has closed the gap by 25% in AZ, with only an additional 4% counted.
Still probably loses AZ, but still 21% total uncounted.

GA looks to be trying to pull shenanigans. Most big areas are mostly in and tracking the same as 2016. I'm sure Abrams is up to fun.



Also, very very likely Senate stays GOP.

AL flipped/won
AZ flipped/lost
CO flipped/lost
MI looks to be a flip/won
IA/KY/MT/SC Held
NC, ME, AK, GA1 looks to be holding


GA2 will be a special election, but should hold.

 

[NorthDakota]

Dems burnt an awful lot of money on fire tonight in Senate races lol. Looks like most of them were not particularly close.

If Don pulls this out and repeats, I think its safe to say that pollsters might want to update their resumes and leave a gap in between 2015-2020 because no one is going to want to hire a dude who was (if Don wins, or keeps it as close as it looks like it will be) so bad at their job lol

 

[ulukinatme]

It's certainly entertaining that the betting markets had Biden with a 2/3 chance of winning this morning and he's now got less than a 1/3 chance. Who knows what the tallies will bring as the mail ins are counted in the next few days, but hopefully Trump holds his lead in the states he's up in.

 

[Irish YJ]

Dems burnt an awful lot of money on fire tonight in Senate races lol. Looks like most of them were not particularly close.

If Don pulls this out and repeats, I think its safe to say that pollsters might want to update their resumes and leave a gap in between 2015-2020 because no one is going to want to hire a dude who was (if Don wins, or keeps it as close as it looks like it will be) so bad at their job lol

3 things are for sure .

1) Polls are shit.
2) The nation, regardless of who wins is divided about 50/50
3) the Senate looks to stay GOP and a check on the left even if Biden wins.

Still a toss up and won't be called anytime soon...
So off to bed...

 

[ulukinatme]

Biden took a lead in Wisconsin, 95% in now. The margin is less than 10,000 votes.

 

[Irish#1]

Heard betting markets flipped back to Biden. Trumps lead in MI has almost dried up. MI, WI are counting mail in ballots last. This could go either way. Looks like Repubs will hold the senate.

 

[Irish#1]

Looks like WI is going to Biden. His small lead has extended.

 

[Irish2155]

Looks like WI is going to Biden. His small lead has extended.

...bye bye 401k.

 

[Irish2155]

If Biden wins I have a bad feeling that my client is going to retract the $2.50 hourly wage increase that I already have approved for over 1,000 employees. It was supposed to take effect this July but COVID followed by this election uncertainty delayed that to January.

Most of those folks probably voted for Joe too have no idea...

 

[Irish YJ]

MI just went dem by 4k votes.

 

[Polish Leppy 22]

Not too much optimism here in PA, especially with a ton of votes still to be counted and the Dem AG claimed a few days ago Trump can't win PA.

 

[NorthDakota]

MI just went dem by 4k votes.

Not good bob!

 

[Irish#1]

Biden is going to win. How much of a ruckus will DJT make is the question now.

IMO this wasn't as much about Biden having a better plan (economy, covid, police reform, etc.), but more about Trump not acting presidential. Regardless of who wins, this shows the country isn't anywhere near the left leaning many have said it is.

 

[yankeehater]

Biden is going to win. How much of a ruckus will DJT make is the question now.

IMO this wasn't as much about Biden having a better plan (economy, covid, police reform, etc.), but more about Trump not acting presidential. Regardless of who wins, this shows the country isn't anywhere near the left leaning many have said it is.

If you read Biden's platform, a good deal of it is hard left. Will the likes of AOC get their wish or will Harris, I mean Biden, govern to the center. I can't wait to see what to do to the 2nd Amendment too. I know they had a rifle ban in their plan plus a $200/rifle tax for those already out in the market.

 

[NorthDakota]

If you read Biden's platform, a good deal of it is hard left. Will the likes of AOC get their wish or will Harris, I mean Biden, govern to the center. I can't wait to see what to do to the 2nd Amendment too. I know they had a rifle ban in their plan plus a $200/rifle tax for those already out in the market.

Dude might as well just not show up in this white house. Mitch McConnell ain't gonna let him get anything done lol

 

[yankeehater]

My favorite part of the night is when the Biden camp put a lid on him after his speech. The media tried to justify it by saying it was almost 2 AM. So what you would think is the most important night of the man's life and he can't make it past 2 AM?

 

[Polish Leppy 22]

Trump campaign still bullish on AZ, WI, MI, and PA. I don't see it but I hope I'm wrong.

 

[GowerND11]

I think Biden will do what Obama did, campaign hard left, but his Presidency will be Left-Center. His career says that. In all honesty, Harris's career says that too, but she is now woke so who knows there. Biden's biggest issue is his running mate. If he had any shred of a good VP (Tulsi or Yang-Gang) I think he'd have won over more people.

 

[ulukinatme]

Ugh, this sucks. If Trump was gonna lose a landslide was preferred. This might drag out now. Lots of questions now, lots of instability, and there's a question of what 2024 brings. Logic says he'll retire from Politics, but Trump defies precedent. Does he run again now? Gotta wonder if Trump's biggest mistake was going after salty McCain, may have cost him Arizona. It's crazy the polls were so off again though.

 

[irishff1014]

This is going to be bad week. We will have the worst President ever to take over in Biden and going to lose to Clemson. Oh what fun.

 

[TorontoGold]

This is all so cancer. Polls are hot garbage, just complete trash. Landslide either way would have been a hell of a lot better. Wonder if Florida would have gone blue if any other than a carcass had been the candidate.