I haven't been keeping up too much, ND was the top team in the country during the spring game yes?? Now they're a 4-6 seed?
In the past two games we blew a 5 goal 4th quarter lead to a "meh" UNC team, and then blew a 4 goal lead to Duke. So we're a 3 loss team now, not a 1 loss team with our only loss to Denver in OT. There's virtually no way that we can get seeded ahead of Denver, Brown, or Maryland as things stand.
Maryland's RPI is too good and they have less losses, so even if they lose to Hopkins or somebody I think it's a tough argument for us to be slotted over them when they'll still have the #1 RPI. Brown only has one loss, and if they lose to Yale in the Ivy tournament all that probably means is that Yale jumps us in seeding. Denver is another team with only one loss, and it's hard to see a 3-loss ND jumping them if they have a head-to-head win over us. So the question becomes can we get seeded ahead of Albany, Yale, Loyola, and Syracuse? We currently have the #4 RPI, and assuming we beat Army I think we probably hold that spot.
Given that, I think Yale and Albany losses are most important for us. Should those happen, we're pretty much guaranteed the #4 seed or maybe #5 seed which means we're in the same sort of pod and probably playing Marquette in round 1 (maybe Villanova). If Albany wins and Yale wins, you're potentially looking at us being seeded as low as 7th behind Maryland, Denver, Brown, Yale, Albany, and Syracuse. I doubt that happens, but it's possible. Our ideal situation is ending up in pod with Albany who is a total paper tiger (coming off an OT win over 4-10 UMBC) or Yale (who is just really, really overrated on account of a couple early season victories before people figured them out. Yale is basically just a worse version of Notre Dame.
