The Committee has actually made some significant changes this year, and it appears that "penalizing teams for performance during CCGs" won't be as much of a factor this year, meaning, if you lose in your CCG, the committee will have to look at your overall resume, and if it doesn't match up with a bubble team that didn't play in a CCG, you might not get in.
In yesterday's II pod, John Brice talked about his time recently with the CFP Committee, in which they basically put him and other writers through a selection committee bootcamp to rank the final top 25 2024 teams right before the playoffs, but using the new 2025 selection criteria. You can hear him talk about it here:
Here are some takeaways:
- The ranking criteria are laid out in extensive detail in a binder. Committee members are required to use that criteria to evaluate and rank teams accordingly. It isn't just a group of people thrown in a room with a vague idea of what to do and then arguing it out from there. Their conclusions are usually somewhat predictable based on the detailed metrics and resume criteria.
- After ranking the 2024 teams using this year's criteria, SMU would have been left out and Bama would have been in, which means the new criteria puts less value on simply appearing in a CCG.
- The new criteria are so black and white that Brice knew ND was going to be ranked 10th even before this year's Committee came up with their initial ranking, because he knew the process they would have to follow and the result of following that process.