Russia Invades Ukraine

Polish Leppy 22

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So they’ve lost 1/5 of their military? Unless they’re planning on deploying soldiers with 1 leg.

I’d be pretty concerned if the US lost that many men.
No, 1/5 of their army, some of whom are prisoners, some are foreigners. That doesn't include anyone from Air Force or Navy. If this turned into Afghanistan 2.0 for Russia, they would draft more men to replace their comrades. There wouldn't be anything close to collapse you mentioned.

The oil they export and their nuclear arsenal will maintain their status as a superpower.
 

calvegas04

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No, 1/5 of their army, some of whom are prisoners, some are foreigners. That doesn't include anyone from Air Force or Navy. If this turned into Afghanistan 2.0 for Russia, they would draft more men to replace their comrades. There wouldn't be anything close to collapse you mentioned.

The oil they export and their nuclear arsenal will maintain their status as a superpower.
They have already had military conscription in Russia due to the war, they are bleeding men
 

TheProspector

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Then support them enough to win. Supporting them just enough to maintain the status quo and have additional Ukranian's die needlessly is not "supporting a weaker nation".

If you don't want to increase support enough to win, then you have to pursue peace.
I’m glad you’re so worried about the Ukrainian people. If they want to fight and die for their country and pay for their sovereignty with their blood, then we should provide our vast resources in order to assist them. This ain’t hard.

And they don’t need to win (assuming that winning means taking back their stolen land). They just need to stale mate Russia. From a US perspective, supporting Ukraine for as long as they need should be a strong deterrent from dipshit countries like Russia trying this again or China with respect to Taiwan. If someone wants to attack a sovereign nation that does not want to surrender, the dipshits should know it is going to be a long drawn out mess for them.
 

ab2cmiller

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I’m glad you’re so worried about the Ukrainian people. If they want to fight and die for their country and pay for their sovereignty with their blood, then we should provide our vast resources in order to assist them. This ain’t hard.

And they don’t need to win (assuming that winning means taking back their stolen land). They just need to stale mate Russia. From a US perspective, supporting Ukraine for as long as they need should be a strong deterrent from dipshit countries like Russia trying this again or China with respect to Taiwan. If someone wants to attack a sovereign nation that does not want to surrender, the dipshits should know it is going to be a long drawn out mess for them.
No, Ukraine will run out of men soon.

I’m not feigning a bleeding heart for Ukraine. I just continue to pound away that funding the status quo should not be an option.

Either support them enough to drive out the Russians or pursue peace. This middle of the road stuff is pure waste.
 

TheProspector

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No, Ukraine will run out of men soon.

I’m not feigning a bleeding heart for Ukraine. I just continue to pound away that funding the status quo should not be an option.

Either support them enough to drive out the Russians or pursue peace. This middle of the road stuff is pure waste.
“Soon” is gross hyperbole. And the middle of the road stuff as you call it is laughable and typical of our dim-witted electorate’s all or nothing mindset.
 

ab2cmiller

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“Soon” is gross hyperbole. And the middle of the road stuff as you call it is laughable and typical of our dim-witted electorate’s all or nothing mindset.
Lmao. The dim-witted electorate are the people who think that us supporting Ukraine at the current levels will help them defeat the Russians. A literal pipe dream.

So we continue the mantra I Stand with Ukraine….. which really means I support a meat grinding war that results in nothing but death.
 

TheProspector

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Lmao. The dim-witted electorate are the people who think that us supporting Ukraine at the current levels will help them defeat the Russians. A literal pipe dream.

So we continue the mantra I Stand with Ukraine….. which really means I support a meat grinding war that results in nothing but death.
I stand with Ukraine just means I don’t stand with Russia and North Korea. But hey if that’s who you want to throw your hat in the ring with who am I to stop you. At this point I’m convinced Trump could get you on board with supporting ISIS.
 

ab2cmiller

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New York Times had an article in Nov that said Pentagon’s best estimates at that time said Ukraine had enough soldiers to go 6 to 12 months.
 

ab2cmiller

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I stand with Ukraine just means I don’t stand with Russia and North Korea. But hey if that’s who you want to throw your hat in the ring with who am I to stop you. At this point I’m convinced Trump could get you on board with supporting ISIS.
Again, I can see strong arguments for pursuing peace aggressively and maybe not quite as strong arguments for escalating the war. I see ZERO good arguments for continuing at the current level. Both armies will lose men, but Ukraine would definitely run out of soldiers first.
 

Irish#1

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Does it matter when/if Russia is depleted of resources? If Ukraine wants to fight and our allies are also shouldering a large portion of the aid (which they are), maybe, just maybe, a country founded on freedom like the US should look to support a weaker nation being attacked unprovoked by our main geopolitical enemy over the last 75 years. Radical thinking I know.
I don’t necessarily disagree with this, but why can’t anyone answer this? The general consensus on this board is that Russia is already depleted and soon won’t be able to continue. I’d like to know when everyone thinks it will be?
 

Polish Leppy 22

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They have already had military conscription in Russia due to the war, they are bleeding men
If that trend continues, 1 of 2 things will occur:

1) Ukraine becomes Afghanistan 2.0 for Russia and this thing gets drawn out for several years

2) Russia packs up and calls it quits

In the meantime, it shouldn't cost the US billions or trillions.
 

TheProspector

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New York Times had an article in Nov that said Pentagon’s best estimates at that time said Ukraine had enough soldiers to go 6 to 12 months.
Looking back on your earlier posts in this thread, you were talking about Ukraine running out of ammunition 2-3 years ago. Maybe you shouldn’t opine on military capabilities.
 

ab2cmiller

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Looking back on your earlier posts in this thread, you were talking about Ukraine running out of ammunition 2-3 years ago. Maybe you shouldn’t opine on military capabilities.
The closest thing that I can recall to that was I made some comment about the Biden slow walking ammunition because of inventory concerns on our end as well as concern about wanting to not escalate the war.

So you will have to help me out.
 

Irish#1

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Hell yes. Let's fucking go.

Also, enact strict sanctions on Russia, and liquidate their held assets.

Fight the battle on both fronts.
The sanctions worked for a little while but don’t seem to have much impact now. The NATO allies continue to buy their oil from Russia. There’s a limitation to how far they are willing to go.
 

TheProspector

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If that trend continues, 1 of 2 things will occur:

1) Ukraine becomes Afghanistan 2.0 for Russia and this thing gets drawn out for several years

2) Russia packs up and calls it quits

In the meantime, it shouldn't cost the US billions or trillions.
Don’t hurt yourself taking down that strawman argument. It shouldn’t cost billions? Says who? You? We spend 6-7 trillion a year as a country. We’ve spent, depending on your source 100-300 billion in Ukraine over 3 years.

Maybe I’m old school, but spending that small a percentage of our annual budget to deter a murderous thug from taking over a sovereign country in the biggest European conflict since WW2 seems like a pretty small price to pay.
 

Irish#1

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There shouldn't be.
I agree, but there is a limit which is the point AB2CMiller is trying to make. Do you see any of the Allies increasing financial pressure or increasing the level of support they are providing? We aren’t either so we aren’t gaining anything. Russia getting support from NK just means they can continue on.
 

ab2cmiller

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I agree, but there is a limit which is the point AB2CMiller is trying to make. Do you see any of the Allies increasing financial pressure or increasing the level of support they are providing? We aren’t either so we aren’t gaining anything. Russia getting support from NK just means they can continue on.
I’m done making the point and will refrain from doing so going forward.

I have just been continually frustrated at the near automatic thought process that if I support Ukraine we should just keep doing what we’ve been doing.
 

NDVirginia19

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The economic sanctions provided a lot of frictional pain to the Russian economy, but in the long term it looks like it is deepening the economic entanglement between Russia and China which strategically is bad for us. And we can’t rely on Europe to actually put their money where their mouth is on cutting off their funding to Russian energy. But good thing they shut down those nuclear and coal plants!
 

BuaConstrictor

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Do you see any of the Allies increasing financial pressure or increasing the level of support they are providing?
Yes to the latter.

Not only that they are increasing money to defend EU nations as well.

Norway is considering using their sovereign wealth fund to increase aid. There are both individual and organizational considerations in increasing aid.
 

Irish#1

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I stand with Ukraine just means I don’t stand with Russia and North Korea. But hey if that’s who you want to throw your hat in the ring with who am I to stop you. At this point I’m convinced Trump could get you on board with supporting ISIS.
You might want to go back and read this thread from the beginning. He isn’t throwing his hat in with Russia and doesn’t support them one bit.
 

NDVirginia19

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Yes to the latter.

Not only that they are increasing money to defend EU nations as well.

Norway is considering using their sovereign wealth fund to increase aid. There are both individual and organizational considerations in increasing aid.
They had this Trillion+ dollar slush fund of money they could have used at any point in time. I’m sure they’ll offer like 5 billion over 3 years lol. They treat the Russian invasion of Ukraine like some existential crisis that we need to reorient our entire economies and militaries to counter but they sure as fuck don’t act like it
 

Irish#1

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Yes to the latter.

Not only that they are increasing money to defend EU nations as well.

Norway is considering using their sovereign wealth fund to increase aid. There are both individual and organizational considerations in increasing aid.
This is good, but it’s probably due to Trump holding up aid so it may be a wash. It should have happened a long time ago. If they had done this earlier maybe Russia would have been pushed back already.
 

BuaConstrictor

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They had this Trillion+ dollar slush fund of money they could have used at any point in time.
Glad they are increasing it and using it. I answered the question. Stop being a dunce and trying to disagree with the fact that I am correct.
I’m sure they’ll offer like 5 billion over 3 years
They already did that. This will be an increase.

If they had done this earlier maybe Russia would have been pushed back already.

Well if Russia hadn't invaded we wouldn't be here at all..maybe Trump and the US could team up on the increased aid and go after Russia for the pay back.
 

NDVirginia19

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That they are only now getting off their ass to do something about this conflict in their neck of the woods now that we’re cutting our aid is pretty abysmal
 

BuaConstrictor

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That they are only now getting off their ass to do something about this conflict in their neck of the woods now that we’re cutting our aid is pretty abysmal
I'd say what is abysmal is Russia invading to begin with and us cutting aid off at all.

The EU has already been sending money to Ukraine so they aren't "just now" doing anything.
 
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