[NCAAF] vBook: Notre Dame at Oklahoma

Mr. McGibblets

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*Bet vbucks*

#5 Notre Dame at #8 Oklahoma

8:00 PM ET, October 27, 2012
Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, NORMAN, OK
Partly Cloudy, 55°F / 35°F, NNE Wind 13 mph, Precip: 0%
Coverage: ABC

Favorite: Oklahoma -12.5
Over/Under: 48.5
Moneylines: Notre Dame +330 Oklahoma -420


Using ScoresAndOdds.com

Good Betting and Good Luck!
 
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IrishLax

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Taking ND +10.5 to the bank after my interest kicks in a couple times. This line is a complete over-reaction to ND squeaking by BYU + Oklahoma trouncing super crappy Texas while they were still ranked high. It is painfully obvious that every team in the Big 12 is a complete fraud besides Oklahoma and Kansas State. And I'm not entirely convinced of either of those teams, although I think Oklahoma is better and just had their letdown game against KSU. WVU, Texas Tech, Texas, Baylor, TCU, etc. are all bad teams getting props for lighting up the scoreboard.

As vulnerable as our secondary might be, the simple fact is that NO ONE in that conference plays defense like Notre Dame. Nobody has a front 7 like we do. Nobody in that conference can even tackle. These offenses are not nearly as prolific as one would have you believe... they are predicated on big plays, quick strikes, and lots of volume. What happens if we get the ball first and take a 7 minute drive down the field for a TD? What happens when the mighty Belldozer runs into Louis Nix? I've seen Oklahoma time and time again over the past decade run into a team that can play defense and just implode. Just implode and get totally blown out. The problem is that the Sooners are playing pretty darn good defense themselves right now and our offense is, at best, inconsistent.

No, I don't think we win this game and we very well might lose by 2 scores. But there is no way on paper that we are 10+ point dogs. No way.
 

Mr. McGibblets

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No, I don't think we win this game and we very well might lose by 2 scores. But there is no way on paper that we are 10+ point dogs. No way.


Funny thing is, that line is only going to increase. My guess is it closes around 13.5-14. It opened at 9.5 yesterday and was at 10 this morning.

And I just looked, its already at 11. (11.5 for IE vBook purposes).
 

Mr. McGibblets

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Im pretty sure that every line this season has moved in a negative manner for ND-----By negative I mean that if ND opened -10, it closed at -7 or -8. If ND was an underdog (MSU), it'd open at + 3 and end at +6.

Joe Public is not a beleiver.
 

Mr. McGibblets

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Over/Under at 48.5.

Line is back to 10. Guess the line wont make it to 13-14 like I thought.
 

Mr. McGibblets

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The cash is on the move towards OK. Up to 12 now.


Moneylines: Notre Dame +350 Oklahoma -450




.
 
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JadeBrecks

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Will we be getting the current spread or the spread of kickoff? Not trying to be a pain just want to know how to throw down on this one.
 

Downinthebend

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Will we be getting the current spread or the spread of kickoff? Not trying to be a pain just want to know how to throw down on this one.

Spread of kickoff if I understand correctly. I'm not complaining :D. I already think ND +10 is stealing.
 

yankeeND

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I really like being the underdogs in this game! Something special is in the air, smells like victory!
 

IrishLax

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So Vegas expects Oklahoma 30.5 ND 18... interesting. Have to think with the line opening at -9.5 and moving all the way up to -12.5 that the "shark" money is on ND, and "public" money is on Oklahoma.

I really like both ND +12.5 and the under... although I could see ND losing by 2 TDs. I think ND will likely struggle to get north of 20 points... but I don't think it's very probable that Oklahoma get north of 30+ when no opponent has gotten more than 2 TDs on us this year... it's certainly possible, but not very probable.
 

phork

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So Vegas expects Oklahoma 30.5 ND 18... interesting. Have to think with the line opening at -9.5 and moving all the way up to -12.5 that the "shark" money is on ND, and "public" money is on Oklahoma.

I really like both ND +12.5 and the under... although I could see ND losing by 2 TDs. I think ND will likely struggle to get north of 20 points... but I don't think it's very probable that Oklahoma get north of 30+ when no opponent has gotten more than 2 TDs on us this year... it's certainly possible, but not very probable.

More than 2 TDs and ZERO rushing TDs... If 9.5 wasn't delicious enough for you, this is an outright feast. 13 points? Are you serious? Checking next interest date, then going all in. (Or enough that doesn't totally wipe me out)
 

GO IRISH!!!

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So Vegas expects Oklahoma 30.5 ND 18... interesting. Have to think with the line opening at -9.5 and moving all the way up to -12.5 that the "shark" money is on ND, and "public" money is on Oklahoma.

I really like both ND +12.5 and the under... although I could see ND losing by 2 TDs. I think ND will likely struggle to get north of 20 points... but I don't think it's very probable that Oklahoma get north of 30+ when no opponent has gotten more than 2 TDs on us this year... it's certainly possible, but not very probable.

Gotta agree with you. Except the ND losing by two TDs part. I love ND and the under in this one as well. I really think the score is going to be in the teens, maybe low 20's for both teams. I think ND wins.
 

nvirish

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I work with a dad of one of the major players for Oklahoma that has been brought up several times. I have a little wager with him and I believe tomorrow will be a great day!
 

Mr. McGibblets

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Line has moved to 13. (13.5 for IE vBook: Bets for pushes cant be be returned so a Hook is ALWAYS ADDED to determine a clear cut winner/loser)
 
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