Removing the purchasing power of 12 million people, a population equivalent to the 7th largest state in the country, would cause a recession. Surely you're aware that 68% of our GDP comes from people buying products, right?
And that doesn't include the severe labor disruptions as businesses scramble to find Americans willing to work in fields picking fruits and vegetables, or in restaurants washing dishes, etc.
What part of that do you think is "creative math." Seems like simple logic.
Like I've said many times, several in the last few days, not many want to see mass deportation (I don't)..... That said, purchasing power and use tax are a small part of the larger economic question. There are a shit ton of pros and cons on the balance sheet, yet your sole focus is on use tax and purchasing... you ignore the impact to wages, communities, medical, education, law enforcement, and the larger tax picture.
You paint puppy dogs and rainbow pictures when it comes to immigration. You talk about the "overall" positive impacts spouted off by some "intellectuals", while ignoring what other "intellectuals" have to say. While most "intellectuals" have never held jobs outside of politics, a university, or think tank,
let's just talk about a real world example: Stillmore, Georgia....
Stillmore in the 90s/2000s was a small poor town, predominantly African American in rural GA, and a remnant of the cotton days . It's largest employer was a chicken plant (Crider). They actually employed a number greater than Stillmore's population. 70+% of it's workforce was African American, and things were pretty normal (normal for a rural GA small town of AAs) until the late 90s / early 2000s. Fast forward to the middle 2000s. The workforce over the course of 5 years was transformed to 70+% Latino (majority being illegal). Wages dropped, and working conditions degraded, and dorms were constructed to house the new work force. PROFITS INCREASED. African American unemployment skyrocketed, and many of the town's original inhabitants had to abandon the town to seek employment elsewhere.
In 2006, immigration enforcement raided Crider. Crider was found to have aided in faking green cards, employment docs, etc.. Poof, the workforce is gone. Poof, Stillmore is now a ghost town. The majority of the AA workforce that was pushed out was no longer there... The next weekend, an ad in the paper offering jobs with wages now 15 to 20% higher... Then, the ownership of Crider joined forces with shady "recruiters" who would bus in AAs. The AAs got screwed out of wages paying their % to the recruiters (who were likely kicking back to Crider), and complained about the unsafe working conditions and shitty living conditions in the dorms. Shockingly.... there was high turnover, so the recruiters and ownership started busing in Felons and Homeless. Then, they bus in legal Hmongs all the way from MN....
In short. The timeline is
1) town and plant functioning fine with a majority of AAs. It isn't paradise, but town residents have jobs and homes.
2) illegal population replaces AAs at plant, and AAs abandon town
3) illegals taken advantage of, wages decrease, working conditions degrade, profits rise
4) Raid at Crider
5) Stillmore is a ghost town. Plant raises wages.
6) Plant enters into agreement with recruiters who bus in AAs from surrounding areas. New employees complain that plant and recruiters are screwing them out of wages. Complain about working and living conditions.
7) Plant and recruiters then bus in inmates/felons, homeless, and Hmongs from MN (who won't complain)
So tell me how the original inhabitants of Stillmore benefited from illegal immigration? It's OK though because their purchasing power increased and the gov got all that use tax..., right? But hey, their own personal recession is OK because it benefits Crider and the overall economy, right?
"the Fed" ....you know that's different right?
Do you need a comment on your graph? You know I'm the guy who says the biggest problem in this country is that Congress can't solve any issue without the approval of their corporate, union, or special interest donor daddies...right? Of course I fucking agree that our federal government blows. It operates at the exact shitty level Congress asks it to function. It's by design.
I'm confused,
your comment was
"And at the end of the day wonder why Conservatives, who have no respect for the
federal government's ability to solve problems and craft impactful policy".
my response was a graph showing the shitty confidence we have in the federal government....