vBook: ND Final Wins Total and Odds to Make Bowl Game

[Mr. McGibblets]

*Bet vBucks*

Time for everyone to put their money where their mouth is. This vBookie event is to vBet on Notre Dame's final total in the win column and whether or not you think they will make it to a bowl game.

ND will finish with 4 wins: 8/1
ND will finish with 5 wins: 3/2
ND will finish with 6 wins: 8/1
ND will finish with 7 wins: 12/1

ND will play in a bowl game: 15/2
ND will not play in a bowl game: 10/11

*Good Betting and Good Luck!*

 

[mgriff]

It would take a sitting President to get a blowjob in the White House for us to get to a bowl game. Wait...

 

[IrishandColts]

6-6 either the Pinstrip or St. Petersburg bowl. 7-5 Champ sports

 

[ndcoltsfan2010]

I don't see us winning but maybe one more game and that will be the Army game if we play well. I think 5-7 is realistic and anything beyond that would be considered a miracle at this point because it would mean that we would have to beat a tough Utah or USC team and right now I just don't see that happening. Would love to eat my words and be wrong about this though.

 

[mick2]

got all my cash in this one baby! nice job mcgibblets!

got 5000 on 6-6, 5000 on we will play in a bowl game, and 1000 on 7 wins!

Might as well spend it now because we got a whole offseason to accumulate vbucks.

 

[Mr. McGibblets]

got all my cash in this one baby! nice job mcgibblets!

got 5000 on 6-6, 5000 on we will play in a bowl game, and 1000 on 7 wins!

Might as well spend it now because we got a whole offseason to accumulate vbucks.

Thanks, gotta give you credit for the idea.

And you definitely put your money where your mouth is.

 

[GreatGolson]

Hmmm i need money, but i wanna have faith...

 

[phork]

Easy money. 5 wins, no bowl.

 

[mick2]

Easy money. 5 wins, no bowl.

so your saying we will only beat sc? i guess i can live with that.

 

[phork]

so your saying we will only beat sc? i guess i can live with that.

I'd be happy with that as well, shockingly. Be a good way to end this nightmare year.

 

[chyrspchuck]

Can the 7 wins be including a bowl victory or no?

 

[Mr. McGibblets]

Closes Saturday.

 

[IrishLax]

Odds don't make sense. It should be equal or better odds to play in a bowl game versus get six wins since you MUST have six wins to be bowl eligible.

 

[PatsandBostonfan1975]

Odds don't make sense. It should be equal or better odds to play in a bowl game versus get six wins since you MUST have six wins to be bowl eligible.

I was thinking same thing

 

[Mr. McGibblets]

If you treat the 2 as separate events then it makes sense. It is much easier to say "yes, they will make a bowl" and have a 50/50 shot than to pick "6 wins" from 3 choices.

(Additionally, there could be an outside choice tha a 5 win team makes a bowl game. Whether or not ND would accept that, who knows, but it needs to be acounted for, haha)

 

[IrishinSyria]

Odds don't make sense. It should be equal or better odds to play in a bowl game versus get six wins since you MUST have six wins to be bowl eligible.

It's not 6 or more wins. It's ND finishes with exactly six wins.

Mr. M: the other question still stands though. Do you count bowl wins in those totals or no.

 

[Mr. McGibblets]

It's not 6 or more wins. It's ND finishes with exactly six wins.

Mr. M: the other question still stands though. Do you count bowl wins in those totals or no.

No, it is wins in the regular season.

 

[Mr. McGibblets]

Approx. 4 more days

 

[IrishLax]

If you treat the 2 as separate events then it makes sense. It is much easier to say "yes, they will make a bowl" and have a 50/50 shot than to pick "6 wins" from 3 choices.

(Additionally, there could be an outside choice tha a 5 win team makes a bowl game. Whether or not ND would accept that, who knows, but it needs to be acounted for, haha)

I'm pretty sure to even be bowl eligible you need 6 wins. So they are not independent events. Event A is getting 6 wins. Event B is going to a bowl. Therefor, since you must have A for B, the probability of B occurring must be equal to or less than the probability of A occurring.

 

[mick2]

I'm pretty sure to even be bowl eligible you need 6 wins. So they are not independent events. Event A is getting 6 wins. Event B is going to a bowl. Therefor, since you must have A for B, the probability of B occurring must be equal to or less than the probability of A occurring.

even at 6-6 we may not go to a bowl, very slim chance we dont go to a bowl but there is a chance therefore it can be a separate entity.

 

[IrishinSyria]

I'm pretty sure to even be bowl eligible you need 6 wins. So they are not independent events. Event A is getting 6 wins. Event B is going to a bowl. Therefor, since you must have A for B, the probability of B occurring must be equal to or less than the probability of A occurring.

No, you're missing the key point:

we could have 6 wins or 7 wins and go to a bowl.

Therefore, the probability of A, getting 6 wins, has to be less than the probability of B, going to a bowl, because B could be true if A is true or if A is false but C (we finish the season with 7 wins) is true.

6 is only true if we end the season with exactly 6 wins.

 

[Mr. McGibblets]

Closes Tomorrow.

 

[IrishLax]

No, you're missing the key point:

we could have 6 wins or 7 wins and go to a bowl.

Therefore, the probability of A, getting 6 wins, has to be less than the probability of B, going to a bowl, because B could be true if A is true or if A is false but C (we finish the season with 7 wins) is true.

6 is only true if we end the season with exactly 6 wins.

Oooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooh.

Man, I have been off lately. I didn't realize it was exactly 6 wins... and totally missed the earlier post when you pointed that out. My bad.

 

[IrishinSyria]

Oooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooh.

Man, I have been off lately. I didn't realize it was exactly 6 wins... and totally missed the earlier post when you pointed that out. My bad.

No worries, I knew exactly what you were talking about because I had to look at the odds for a little bit before I figured them out.

 

[Mr. McGibblets]

Closes in about 2 1/2 hours.

 

[Mr. McGibblets]

*All Bets Settled*

ND Finishes with 7 wins in the regular season
ND Will PLay in a Bowl Game


Congrats to Mick 2 and Title2012 for having blind optimism.


Good luck in the Bowl Extravaganza!

 

[IrishinSyria]

7 million vbucks never felt so good.

 

[chyrspchuck]

i've never been happier to lose the 6 win bet

 

[mick2]

*All Bets Settled*

ND Finishes with 7 wins in the regular season
ND Will PLay in a Bowl Game


Congrats to Mick 2 and Title2012 for having blind optimism.


Good luck in the Bowl Extravaganza!

Feelin purty purty purteeeee good right now!