Don't know about that one. I'm remaining skeptical until I actually see some results.
The stat that scares me is this: Cincinatti gave up 197 points combined their last five games (45 to Connecticut, 21 to West Virginia, 36 to Illinois, 44 to Pitt, and 51 to Florida). One of those teams (Illinois) was horrible, another (Connecticut) was mediocre, and the remaining three finished ranked. That's nearly forty points a game, regardless of schedule strength. We simply cannot give up that many points, especially while breaking in a new offense that may struggle early on or, if God isn't kind, the entire season. They ranked 61st in run defense (ND: 89th) and 78th in pass defense (ND: 76th).
That's the bad.
The good is this: that defense (67th in nation) had only one returning starter. And somehow, the defense managed to pull this off with the offense being
dead last in the
COUNTRY in time of possession. This defense was led by the same defensive coordinator we currently have in Bob Diaco. And that defense was better than our 86th-ranked crapfest.
The Cincinatti offense, on the other hand, was the 11th best offense in the nation, averaging just four yards less than Notre Dame (8th) did per game. They were 4th in the nation in scoring offense (38 points per game). They had a good quarterback in Tony Pike (Crist will prove much better if he lives up to his potential), a pretty decent running back named Isaiah Pead (we have three in Allen, Wood, and Gray), and a solid receiving corps (Mardy Gilyard, Armond Binns, DJ Woods). However, the talent gap compared to our current corps of players is remarkably wide, perhaps a measure of the coaching ability of Brian Kelly. Kelly consistently maxes out the potential of his players.
Time of possession will be key this year. The offense better be able to score when they have the ball (or the defense better be able to stop the opposing offense on a semi-regular basis), or else we'll be seeing a lot of Weis/Willingham-esque blowouts all too frequently in 2010.