2025 College Football Playoffs

[IRISHbluehen]

Why did the odds jump to -4500?

Because the only thing that really matters is BYU not winning the big 12, after their UCF start, it's not likely

 

[greyhammer90]

Is that even certain that Miami won't pass up ND? I'm not certain of that.

I'm pretty certain without getting into the ACC conference championship they're stuck behind us. I guess the committee could be playing games for drama but they've been pretty clear that they prefer us over Miami and went out of their way to say last week that they directly compared us and we are considered the better team.

 

[T-Boone]

Is that even certain that Miami won't pass up ND? I'm not certain of that.

If they keep on against Pitt they well and truly could. Got to hope Virginia get beat by Virginia Tech which I think will mean Miami can win the ACC.

 

[irishff1014]

Anyways… the Irish are getting in so don’t be sweating it out in here. Just take care of what you control and the rest will work itself out. I gotta head out to the Plains and hope for none of that Jordan-Hare voodoo. I’ll boo the duece for y’all.

You have strong faith sir.

 

[burmafrd1944]

Unless the committee has been lying in public we should be in.

 

[NDMatt91]

If they keep on against Pitt they well and truly could. Got to hope Virginia get beat by Virginia Tech which I think will mean Miami can win the ACC.

The most likely scenario for them is they need WF to beat Duke and VT to beat UVA.

 

[50milesSE ND]

It’s definitely not going our way at all today

 

[stlnd01]

It’s definitely not going our way at all today

Well at least we won't have Michigan to worry about.

 

[WildMan1]

Would be nice if Pitt had a spine here..

 

[OhioIrish]

Is that even certain that Miami won't pass up ND? I'm not certain of that.

I’m not certain either, but it’s unlikely. If they do pass us then we absolutely need Bama, Oklahoma, or Oregon to be upset or we are out of the playoffs. We really only need Oklahoma to struggle and win ugly, that’ll give the committee the ammo the need to drop them out instead.

 

[rtrn2glory]

Miami is doing Pitt dirtier than ND did them.

At worst it's the same. You forgot how much we dominated them really quick obviously

 

[irishff1014]

Would be nice if Pitt had a spine here..

They don’t. They have a piece of trash for a coach and that’s how the team is.

 

[CoachB]

At worst it's the same. You forgot how much we dominated them really quick obviously

Right. We destroyed them. Their offense did absolutely nothing against our D.

 

[pumpdog20]

The difference with Miami is they know how much they need to win by. So they won't be putting in the 2nd and 3rd stringers, which could end up hurting us.

 

[Kingbish01]

At worst it's the same. You forgot how much we dominated them really quick obviously

I didn't forget....but I'm also not such a homer I cant acknowledge that Miami is doing the same...if not more...closer to the end of the season when they need to flip spots.

 

[FWIrish4]

The late timeout and TD against our backups took us out of the committee’s “blow out range” which is 24+ points. At that point, it doesn’t matter the score. Idk if that will matter if Miami gets it to “blow out range”

 

[burmafrd1944]

Uscum is getting steadily buried so there is that

 

[OhioIrish]

I’m not certain either, but it’s unlikely. If they do pass us then we absolutely need Bama, Oklahoma, or Oregon to be upset or we are out of the playoffs. We really only need Oklahoma to struggle and win ugly, that’ll give the committee the ammo the need to drop them out instead.

The other passibility is that Miami moves to 10 ahead of Bama and the committee puts Alabama in a “win a SEC championship game or bust” situation.

 

[CoachB]

Well, not a great 3rd quarter for Pitt. They need to win the 4th.

 

[burmafrd1944]

I didn't forget....but I'm also not such a homer I cant acknowledge that Miami is doing the same...if not more...closer to the end of the season when they need to flip spots.

comparing the two games we got on top quicker and stronger so frankly you are full of it

 

[IRISHDODGER]

At worst it's the same. You forgot how much we dominated them really quick obviously

True but it doesn’t matter to the media. They’ll simply look at score differential. Whether the committee is swayed by that remains to be seen but they have to be hearing the drum beat by ESPN et al regarding H2H. If H2H is the tiebreaker between Miami & ND, this is the week it could come into play. My hope is they have put separation between the two schools for a reason. Like others said, they’ve basically told us that ND is the better team so I would hope it doesn’t come down to one common opponent b/c both teams handled Pitt easily in their place. Splitting hair beyond that makes no sense.

 

[burmafrd1944]

and closer to the end of the season is only a few weeks difference so you are really reaching

 

[NDMatt91]

The other passibility is that Miami moves to 10 ahead of Bama and the committee puts Alabama in a “win a SEC championship game or bust” situation.

Given how this weekend has gone and will likely finish, I have an idea how that SEC Championship will go.

 

[burmafrd1944]

True but it doesn’t matter to the media. They’ll simply look at score differential. Whether the committee is swayed by that remains to be seen but they have to be hearing the drum beat by ESPN et al regarding H2H. If H2H is the tiebreaker between Miami & ND, this is the week it could come into play. My hope is they have put separation between the two schools for a reason. Like others said, they’ve basically told us that ND is the better team so I would hope it doesn’t come down to one common opponent b/c both teams handled Pitt easily in their place.

Like I said unless the committee has been lying what Miami does today is not going to change things materially

 

[Dizzyphil]

True but it doesn’t matter to the media. They’ll simply look at score differential. Whether the committee is swayed by that remains to be seen but they have to be hearing the drum beat by ESPN et al regarding H2H. If H2H is the tiebreaker between Miami & ND, this is the week it could come into play. My hope is they have put separation between the two schools for a reason. Like others said, they’ve basically told us that ND is the better team so I would hope it doesn’t come down to one common opponent b/c both teams handled Pitt easily in their place.

Well then, Pitt won't be the only game if the case... Look at the Syracuse score and then the Irish need to beat the pants off Stanford tonight.

 

[IrishTusker]

It’s definitely not going our way at all today

OSU winning helps us. But the favorites are winning both games, I'm not sure what people expected to happen?

 

[WildMan1]

Freeman might lay 100 on Stanford tonight.

 

[tko]

I was out for a bit and just got back. So we’re out of the playoffs?

 

[NDFAN2008]

Take care of Stanford and we are in

 

[bcole2]

What's interesting is the odds on Fanduel are -3000 for ND and +128 for Miami. If our fate was truly tied to Miami it would be a lot more affected. And I think it's largely because Miami's metrics are still going to look consistently worse than ours after today, just like they did on Tuesday when Dinich showed them.