MNIrishman
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This is my first thread here, driven by insomnia and obsession. I've decided Manti needs to win the Heisman, so with that decision in mind, I've decided to try to identify some statistics to justify myself. Let's begin with an analysis of Texas A&M's schedule. Thus far, they have played:
1. Florida
2. Southern Methodist
3. South Carolina State
4. Arkansas
5. Ole Miss
6. Louisiana Tech
7. LSU
8. Auburn
9. Mississippi State
10. Alabama
11. Sam Houston State
That looks like a reasonable schedule at first glance. However, let's discount teams that are tire fires (Auburn, Arkansas). Take out FCS foes (South Carolina State, SHSU), and non-BCS conference teams (SMU, Lousiana Tech). I would also, subject to dispute, exclude Mississippi State University, which has no wins over a team with anything even remotely close to a winning record (Middle Tennessee excepted. Ha.). That leaves Johnny Football with three games against reasonable competition. These games are:
1. Florida
2. LSU
3. Alabama
I think I could make a reasonable argument that Florida or LSU aren't superpowers, but it's unnecessary here. My point isn't to just select the toughest competition that A&M has played, but rather to simply select reasonable competition. If they had played anyone even as tough as a 6-win Golden Gopher squad, I would include that victory. Now, given just these three games, let's look at Johnny's aggregated statistics.
Record: 1-2
Passing
TD: 2
TO: 3
Yards: 702
Averages (respectively, per game): .67, 1, 234
Rushing
TD: 1
TO: ? (I'm not sure where to find a statistic describing fumbles, if there are any)
Yards: 179
Averages (respectively, per game): .33, ?, 60
While his overall statistics are absolutely fantastic through all of TAMU's games, I think the greatest exemplar of a Heisman-quality player is consistency in the tougher games on the schedule. Johnny Football in no way demonstrates this statistically.
I think everyone should be impressed with this guy. Johnny Manziel is an incredible football player and a great athlete. I would be shocked if he does not win the Heisman at some point in his career. However, this season does not bear out his name being so highly regarded in the competition.
I will not attempt to summarize Manti's statistics, as I believe that Manti's contribution to this season transcends quantification. I recognize this is hypocritical, that I am judging one player on statistics and another qualitatively. However, my purpose here is not to compare Manziel to Manti (the differences between them preclude this, in my opinion). I am, however, happy to do the same comparison for another quarterback.
For the three toughest games on this quarterback's schedule:
Record: 0-3
Passing
TD: 8
TO: 6
Yards: 1039
Averages: 2.67, 2, 346.333
Rushing
Turrible
These are Matt Barkley's statistics. As can be seen, these are in many ways (such as TD to TO ratio) much stronger than those of Manziel against what I would argue are comparable opponents (in this case, I selected Stanford, Oregon, and UCLA). I'm sure one could examine several other quarterbacks using the criteria I used to examine Manziel and find better numbers, so I don't understand his Heisman hype. He's a great player, to be sure, but not the GREATEST player.
Oh and full disclosure: I hate the SEC with the burning fury of a thousand suns. I think General Sherman had the right idea, that if your state's obesity rate exceeds your state's literacy rate, you don't get to be a state anymore, and that the SEC is an affront to what college athletics are supposed to represent. I hate the SEC more than Michigan and USC combined (and that's with my Columbus origins). Thus, I hope you will take my argument with a grain of salt and understand that I am utterly biased beyond reason.
1. Florida
2. Southern Methodist
3. South Carolina State
4. Arkansas
5. Ole Miss
6. Louisiana Tech
7. LSU
8. Auburn
9. Mississippi State
10. Alabama
11. Sam Houston State
That looks like a reasonable schedule at first glance. However, let's discount teams that are tire fires (Auburn, Arkansas). Take out FCS foes (South Carolina State, SHSU), and non-BCS conference teams (SMU, Lousiana Tech). I would also, subject to dispute, exclude Mississippi State University, which has no wins over a team with anything even remotely close to a winning record (Middle Tennessee excepted. Ha.). That leaves Johnny Football with three games against reasonable competition. These games are:
1. Florida
2. LSU
3. Alabama
I think I could make a reasonable argument that Florida or LSU aren't superpowers, but it's unnecessary here. My point isn't to just select the toughest competition that A&M has played, but rather to simply select reasonable competition. If they had played anyone even as tough as a 6-win Golden Gopher squad, I would include that victory. Now, given just these three games, let's look at Johnny's aggregated statistics.
Record: 1-2
Passing
TD: 2
TO: 3
Yards: 702
Averages (respectively, per game): .67, 1, 234
Rushing
TD: 1
TO: ? (I'm not sure where to find a statistic describing fumbles, if there are any)
Yards: 179
Averages (respectively, per game): .33, ?, 60
While his overall statistics are absolutely fantastic through all of TAMU's games, I think the greatest exemplar of a Heisman-quality player is consistency in the tougher games on the schedule. Johnny Football in no way demonstrates this statistically.
I think everyone should be impressed with this guy. Johnny Manziel is an incredible football player and a great athlete. I would be shocked if he does not win the Heisman at some point in his career. However, this season does not bear out his name being so highly regarded in the competition.
I will not attempt to summarize Manti's statistics, as I believe that Manti's contribution to this season transcends quantification. I recognize this is hypocritical, that I am judging one player on statistics and another qualitatively. However, my purpose here is not to compare Manziel to Manti (the differences between them preclude this, in my opinion). I am, however, happy to do the same comparison for another quarterback.
For the three toughest games on this quarterback's schedule:
Record: 0-3
Passing
TD: 8
TO: 6
Yards: 1039
Averages: 2.67, 2, 346.333
Rushing
Turrible
These are Matt Barkley's statistics. As can be seen, these are in many ways (such as TD to TO ratio) much stronger than those of Manziel against what I would argue are comparable opponents (in this case, I selected Stanford, Oregon, and UCLA). I'm sure one could examine several other quarterbacks using the criteria I used to examine Manziel and find better numbers, so I don't understand his Heisman hype. He's a great player, to be sure, but not the GREATEST player.
Oh and full disclosure: I hate the SEC with the burning fury of a thousand suns. I think General Sherman had the right idea, that if your state's obesity rate exceeds your state's literacy rate, you don't get to be a state anymore, and that the SEC is an affront to what college athletics are supposed to represent. I hate the SEC more than Michigan and USC combined (and that's with my Columbus origins). Thus, I hope you will take my argument with a grain of salt and understand that I am utterly biased beyond reason.
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