Season/Bowl Predictions- Post Miami

[rtrn2glory]

a win this saturday and anything but a BCS bowl will be a disappointment, even though i began the season saying 8-4 would be a great year. hate to be one of those guys.

 

[NDPhilly]

Anything less than 9-3 would be a dissapointment right now. I think we go 10-2.

 

[DomeLover3]

At the purdue pep rally BK ended it by taking the mic and saying

"make no mistake, this is our year" (paraphrased)

Hopefully hes right..

 

[gkIrish]

Sticking with 9-3 although it's much more likely we go 10-2 than 8-4

 

[IrishEyesAreSmiling]

11-1 loss against oklahoma play in the fiesta

 

[Downinthebend]

WVU would be the ultimate test for our defense.

 

[IrishLax]

9-3 really seems like the floor right now. Without a doubt we win the three between OU and USC... so I guess the true floor is 8. We'll be favored for sure in every game but USC and Oklahoma (and we might be favored in those games) meaning that if you go with rough odds...

7 point favorite over Stanford = ~77% chance of victory.
Likely 10+ point favorite over BYU = ~85% chance of victory.
Even up with OU? Slight underdog? Large underdog? Let's say 40%.
Chalk up the next three to 95% chance of victory at least.
Let's say 35% over USC @ USC.

Add those up.... 5.22 more wins = 10.2 wins should be the "expected" outcome from here on in. Worst case scenario seems to be 9 with a loss to Stanford or BYU plus losses to Oklahoma and USC on the road.

If you told me before the year we'd go 9-3 I'd definitely have taken it.

 

[anarin]

I feel like a broken record.

As I said before the season, 11-1 with our lone loss to Oklahoma.

 

[tommyIRISH23]

9-3 really seems like the floor right now. Without a doubt we win the three between OU and USC... so I guess the true floor is 8. We'll be favored for sure in every game but USC and Oklahoma (and we might be favored in those games) meaning that if you go with rough odds...

7 point favorite over Stanford = ~77% chance of victory.
Likely 10+ point favorite over BYU = ~85% chance of victory.
Even up with OU? Slight underdog? Large underdog? Let's say 40%.
Chalk up the next three to 95% chance of victory at least.
Let's say 35% over USC @ USC.

Add those up.... 5.22 more wins = 10.2 wins should be the "expected" outcome from here on in. Worst case scenario seems to be 9 with a loss to Stanford or BYU plus losses to Oklahoma and USC on the road.

If you told me before the year we'd go 9-3 I'd definitely have taken it.

I agree with all that you said except OU. Only a 40% chance of winning? I dont know about that. OU has been very inconsistent on both sides of the ball. I think Landry Jones will have trouble against our defense bc his Oline will give up pressure. I think its atleast a 50/50 maybe even 55/45 ND bc of Stoops and his inability to win the big game.

 

[sharksamardzija8345]

how freaking sweet is this that we're discussing BCS aspirations during the season with some awesome statistics to back it up?.. this feels sooooo much different than the Brady Quinn era.. our defense is just freaking stupid right now, and it's not like we have to rely on my main man Jeffy to come up with 2 TD's to have a chance in a shootout.. we can simply control the line of scrimmage now which is something I haven't seen from a Notre Dame team in my lifetime..

I say we finish the regular season 10-2