2025 College Football Playoffs

[arrowryan]

I think the worry now is that the committee was banking on an upset to avoid the ND Miami head to head. Probably unavoidable at this point.

Or they could avoid it by ranking ND over Oklahoma, which should happen. Oklahoma isn’t good.

 

[BigErnMcCracken]

Bama is not getting left out. The argument is a non starter.

According to whom?

 

[thekid33]

Honestly, the committee is set up for failure by weekly rankings

AMEN

ESPN wants the whole thing to be a soap opera instead of a process for identifying the 12 best teams in the country. The weekly rankings show generates ratings and then provides an entire week's worth of content for all of the other ESPN talking heads.

The amount of power that ESPN has over the entire sport is insane.

 

[Kingbish01]

I agree Bama is not getting left out AGAIN.

 

[Irish du Nord]

I agree Bama is not getting left out AGAIN.

They had three losses last year and lost their bowl. The committee was vindicated.

 

[BigErnMcCracken]

I agree Bama is not getting left out AGAIN.

Maybe, maybe not. They got their asses kicked by FSU. They got beat at home by an offensively-challenged OK team. 3 losses is going to be a tough hill to overcome, regardless of the name of the school.

 

[Kingbish01]

I agree they should have been left out last year. And I agree they should be left out this year if UGA beats them. With all that said, all signs point to them in....like to the point, I'd bet my life.

 

[NDPhilly]

Excited to explain to my wife at 9pm tn why I’m pissed about a fucking committee of geriatrics deciding my football team’s fate.

 

[Kingbish01]

Excited to explain to my wife at 9pm tn why I’m pissed about a fucking committee of geriatrics deciding my football team’s fate.

Flip it to a bunch of 24 year old Mormons and we'd be having the same morning!

 

[Irish du Nord]

I agree they should have been left out last year. And I agree they should be left out this year if UGA beats them. With all that said, all signs point to them in....like to the point, I'd bet my life.

Don’t do that man, we like you here.

If they get blown out by UGA how do you keep them in?

 

[ab2cmiller]

Don’t do that man, we like you here.

If they get blown out by UGA how do you keep them in?

Their excuse for losing to FSU was that they didn't have Jam Miller.

If they get blown out by Georgia, that will be the excuse again. I will be shocked if Jam plays.

 

[Kingbish01]

Don’t do that man, we like you here.

If they get blown out by UGA how do you keep them in?

I think because the main hill the committee is still willing to die on is not punishing losers in conference championships. I hate Bama as much as the next guy, but at this point we are WAAAY more on the bubble than them.

 

[RudyVerse]

There will eventually be a 59-0 beat down in a CCG like OSU did to Wisconsin in 2014 and the committee will look like absolute fools for saying no punishment. It's coming and it may be this year for all we know.

 

[WildMan1]

Seems the committee wants ND & BAMA in bc they believe they are 2 out of the best 12.

By slotting Bama above ND (which in reality might be fair at this point) they give them the ensured spot & ND is reliant on the BYU loss. Of course there is the possibility they get blown out & fall behind ND & they need the BYU loss.. but let’s go with the former.

If BYU proves they can do what no one thinks they can & beat Texas Tech then they have earned their spot & Tech knocks ND out.. which would honestly bother me bc their resume with 2 losses is kind of gross. But again.. they won’t be punished enough to drop below ND for losing the extra game.

Fuck Miami, Vanderbilt & Utah.. The committee has already judged them & they needed more chaos to get in. Cry me a river.

I had a mini panic attack remembering Techs coach lobbying for BYU to get in & thinking “omg what if they threw the game” & quickly realized how moronic that would be as they’d be giving up a first round bye.

Also, Ole Miss losing their entire offensive hive mind is a brutal loss.. They have to drop but remain in.

So.. when Tech beats BYU they are eliminated & I think the seeds will go as follows.

1) Ohio St (beats Indiana)
2) Georgia (beats Bama)
3) Texas Tech (beats BYU)
4) Indiana
5) Texas A&M
6) Oregon
7) Oklahoma
8) Ole Miss
9) Bama
10) Notre Dame
11) Virginia
12) Tulane

But again.. I think the committee wants Bama & ND in so they could be interchangeable.. so if Bama loses to Georgia we could be 9 and safe from a BYU win.

Either way it shakes out with a BYU loss I think we end up in Norman which I love.. Freeman is ready to run the table & that Oklahoma offense would be in for a long night.

 

[Kingbish01]

There will eventually be a 59-0 beat down in a CCG like OSU did to Wisconsin in 2014 and the committee will look like absolute fools for saying no punishment. It's coming and it may be this year for all we know.

That Wisconsin team is actually a very good comparison, as they lost week 1 to LSU and dropped an ugly one to Northwestern. I don't have the time to go look, but I wonder if they would have been a bubble team before the championship game and needed a win to get in. That is the big difference, I wish Bama was ranked 13 right now.

 

[Kingbish01]

Seems the committee wants ND & BAMA in bc they believe they are 2 out of the best 12.

By slotting Bama above ND (which in reality might be fair at this point) they give them the ensured spot & ND is reliant on the BYU loss. Of course there is the possibility they get blown out & fall behind ND & they need the BYU loss.. but let’s go with the former.

If BYU proves they can do what no one thinks they can & beat Texas Tech then they have earned their spot & Tech knocks ND out.. which would honestly bother me bc their resume with 2 losses is kind of gross. But again.. they won’t be punished enough to drop below ND for losing the extra game.

Fuck Miami, Vanderbilt & Utah.. The committee has already judged them & they needed more chaos to get in. Cry me a river.

I had a mini panic attack remembering Techs coach lobbying for BYU to get in & thinking “omg what if they threw the game” & quickly realized how moronic that would be as they’d be giving up a first round bye.

Also, Ole Miss losing their entire offensive hive mind is a brutal loss.. They have to drop but remain in.

So.. when Tech beats BYU they are eliminated & I think the seeds will go as follows.

1) Ohio St (beats Indiana)
2) Georgia (beats Bama)
3) Texas Tech (beats BYU)
4) Indiana
5) Texas A&M
6) Oregon
7) Oklahoma
8) Ole Miss
9) Bama
10) Notre Dame
11) Virginia
12) Tulane

But again.. I think the committee wants Bama & ND in so they could be interchangeable.. so if Bama loses to Georgia we could be 9 and safe from a BYU win.

Either way it shakes out with a BYU loss I think we end up in Norman which I love.. Freeman is ready to run the table & that Oklahoma offense would be in for a long night.

This is exactly how I see it with maybe Oregon and A&M flipped if the B10 champ game is down to the wire.

 

[bcole2]

If Tech were to lose to BYU, I would really hope the committee would look at kicking them out. Sure they have looked really good in their wins. Just like us. Their defense is amazing, but their offense is fairly average. Losing this game should cancel out the season win against BYU and then what do they have? A win against Utah and a bad loss against Arizona State.

SOR: TTU 10/ND 13
FPI: TTU 5/ND 3
SOS: TTU 59/ND 42
GC: TTU 3/ND 5
AVGWP: TTU 2/ND 5
SP+: TTU 3/ND 5
Sagarin: TTU 5/ND 2
FEI: TTU 5/ND 4

 

[thekid33]

Alabama is lucky that Kirby Smart turns into a Pop Warner coach when going against them.

That win against Georgia is doing all of the heavy lifting for Bama's case. And, it will be the only reason they get in even if Georgia destroys them on Saturday.

 

[burmafrd1944]

Bama is not getting left out. The argument is a non starter.

I bet you think the earth is flat, too.

 

[BleedBlueGold]

The CCG should only serve the purposes of 1) earning a conference title in a vacuum (bragging rights, essentially) and 2) adding another bullet point to the respective teams resumes, for better or worse. In the grand scheme of the CFP rankings, CCGs, shouldn't carry a massive amount of weight. It's one game and the majority of the 12-16 teams vying for spots aren't playing in them. For years, ND fans have had to listen to teams complain about how ND doesn't have the CCG, but now in 2025, a lot of teams vying for spots don't have them either. It's become moot. So the committee needs to react accordingly and rely on the body of work for the entire season (CCG included if applicable, otherwise not). A 3-loss Bama team has no business being in the top 12 when there are multiple other 2-loss teams jockeying for spots who have similar or better resumes. Same goes for 3-loss Texas.

 

[Kingbish01]

Alabama is lucky that Kirby Smart turns into a Pop Warner coach when going against them.

That win against Georgia is doing all of the heavy lifting for Bama's case. And, it will be the only reason they get in even if Georgia destroys them on Saturday.

UGA was the best win by far, but Vandy and Tenn were solid wins if we are just being honest. I would compare the the Tenn win to our Pitt or USC

 

[#1rish]

So in short, we are big TTU fans on Saturday?

 

[thekid33]

UGA was the best win by far, but Vandy and Tenn were solid wins if we are just being honest. I would compare the the Tenn win to our Pitt or USC

I will give them credit for Vandy and compare it with USC.

I think Tennessee is a total fraud.

 

[Kingbish01]

I will give them credit for Vandy and compare it with USC.

I think Tennessee is a total fraud.

I was on the fence about them....But I'd go as far as saying Tennessee has the same record as us with our schedule....It just wouldn't be as pretty.

I'm betting against Riley just because his teams can't play defense and I saw UT almost beat UGA early. They can score points.

 

[NumbersGuy0520]

Just calling out that the committee choosing to fault Oklahoma for their miserable performance against LSU and rank:

8 Notre Dame
9 Alabama
10 Oklahoma

would not only assure both ND/Bama, but it would give the committee more buffer by keeping space between ND/Miami providing another example (Alabama/Oklahoma) where H2H was considered but not the only thing considered.

It’d be nice, but I wouldn’t expect this.

 

[BleedBlueGold]

Just calling out that the committee choosing to fault Oklahoma for their miserable performance against LSU and rank:

8 Notre Dame
9 Alabama
10 Oklahoma

would not only assure both ND/Bama, but it would give the committee more buffer by keeping space between ND/Miami providing another example (Alabama/Oklahoma) where H2H was considered but not the only thing considered.

It’d be nice, but I wouldn’t expect this.

BUT HEAD TO HEAD!! OH MUH GAW!

 

[2013Irish]

Vandy created a resume 😂

This is way more dignified than whatever Mario and Sark are on.

Having said that, this weekend made it pretty clear to me that part of the job for coaches these days is to give their stump speech to the committee once the season concludes. It is hard to do so gracefully and effectively.

 

[Kingbish01]

Just calling out that the committee choosing to fault Oklahoma for their miserable performance against LSU and rank:

8 Notre Dame
9 Alabama
10 Oklahoma

would not only assure both ND/Bama, but it would give the committee more buffer by keeping space between ND/Miami providing another example (Alabama/Oklahoma) where H2H was considered but not the only thing considered.

It’d be nice, but I wouldn’t expect this.

This!

It's the best case scenario (and the correct rankings IMO) and I'm a little shocked ND isn't the highest ranked 2 loss team. This is so obvious to me, but I have to factor in I'm typing this in a ND hoodie.

 

[slick7410]

So in short, we are big TTU fans on Saturday?

Big fans! I'll be catching up on watching S2 Landman and the kids and I will be throwing tortillas.

 

[bcole2]

Just calling out that the committee choosing to fault Oklahoma for their miserable performance against LSU and rank:

8 Notre Dame
9 Alabama
10 Oklahoma

would not only assure both ND/Bama, but it would give the committee more buffer by keeping space between ND/Miami providing another example (Alabama/Oklahoma) where H2H was considered but not the only thing considered.

It’d be nice, but I wouldn’t expect this.

I think this would actually be really explainable by the committee. Bama made the CCG and Oklahoma didn't, so we are rewarding that by slotting them above Oklahoma for now regardless of head to head. If Bama loses to UGA, then Oklahoma can go above them again perhaps. It would also set up matchups that wouldn't be rematches (ND vs. OU and Bama vs. Ole Miss)