2025 College Football Playoffs

[IrishTusker]

Good thread. Bad news is coming boys.

Okay

 

[Bane]

Good thread. Bad news is coming boys.

You’re not even a bed wetter because you want this to happen

 

[ReesusCrist]

Good thread. Bad news is coming boys.

You know it's actually -420, not +420, right? No meaningful change since the weekend and in line with the 80+% implied odds everyone has been talking about, as it points to BYU beating TTU as the only path out.

 

[NDPhilly]

Good thread. Bad news is coming boys.

He reversed our spread but he’s absolutely right. The spread implies they are going to flip us after Bama’s second shittiest performance of the year.

Yuroceck Is going to get up there tomorrow and say some bullshit about A&M to try to justify it and no one will hold him accountable on ESPN.

 

[Bane]

Okay

Exactly. For one, while that account is useful it is a pro SEC account so they’re interpreting these odds through those lenses. I’m not saying their math or anything is wrong but at this stage it’s all an interpretation and even in their initial tweet they say “Vegas is guessing.”

Two, even if they do it (which would be bullshit but whatever), it really changes nothing for us, we need BYU to lose.

 

[Kingbish01]

-420 NOT +420

BIG FUCKIN DIFFERENCE...

 

[dankgesang]

That tweet is digital garbage.

 

[Wild Bill]

-420 NOT +420

BIG FUCKIN DIFFERENCE...

I just tweeted the nerd to fix it to avoid mental breakdowns on the board.

 

[Kingbish01]

That tweet is digital garbage.

I haven't looked at the odds yet to confirm, but if Bama is indeed -3000 they 100% jump ND

 

[Dale]

-420 NOT +420

BIG FUCKIN DIFFERENCE...

I just tweeted the nerd to fix it to avoid mental breakdowns on the board.

He did it on purpose. Blue check mark means he pays for Twitter he could just edit the tweet if it was a honest gaffe. But he did a reply correction instead because the +420 is drawing clicks that the odds changed while pretending it was a small gaffe

 

[INLaw]

For the longest I thought this was like a make a wish bit on ESPN for years from the breadstick delivery short buss at Fazolis

 

[NDPhilly]

As someone else said, Our spread doesn’t matter if Bama is -3000 or whatever. They are projected to jump us tm. For some reason. And Vegas already knows. Incredible stuff.

 

[Wild Bill]

Bama not even an option on draft Kings. ND -400, Miami +600, BYU + 380.

 

[Kingbish01]

Confirmed on FD... ND-400 and Bama -3000

Jump will happen, who cares. It's only a nightmare scenario if BYU gets shitty.

 

[Irish du Nord]

The closest that conference will get to a playoff win now that Clemson sucks

 

[IrishTusker]

So is the theory that the CFP rankings leaked to oddsmakers? (Have they even voted yet?) Or oddsmakers are just guessing that Bama will jump ND?

 

[Kingbish01]

Bama not even an option on draft Kings. ND -400, Miami +600, BYU + 380.

FD has Miami +710 that tells me they are fucked. It's literally over for them....lolol

 

[Dale]

Not an excuse but while odds are generally a good barometer the idea that Fanduel/Draftkings would lose a ton on a prop bet with probably low limits is pretty funny. It’s not like this Yes/No CFP bet is their Super Bowl.

 

[InKellyWeTrust]

There is very little justification to have Bama jumping ND. I don't buy it.

 

[pumpdog20]

If Bama jumps us, there's no longer a buffer between us and Miami, if/when BYU loses.

 

[Kingbish01]

Not an excuse but while odds are generally a good barometer the idea that Fanduel/Draftkings would lose a ton on a prop bet with probably low limits is pretty funny. It’s not like this Yes/No CFP bet is their Super Bowl.

As a degenerate, I'm taking the odds to the bank. Miami has worst odds to make the playoffs than Ball St money line last weekend to beat Miami OH as a 17pt dog. Lolol

A game in which they lost by 21

 

[WildMan1]

They almost lost to a 6 loss Auburn team while we obliterated Stanford.. I don’t see where the jump would be justified but who knows anymore..

 

[InKellyWeTrust]

I don't bet, but if anyone can find long odds for Oklahoma to miss the playoffs, thats where big money can be made.

 

[1776]

Gtfo. You are delusional to think Illinois was ever an actual top 10 team.

I’m not saying they were a Top 10 team. But Syracuse was a dead team when we dismantled them. Meanwhile, Illinois was very much alive and playing for a playoff birth when IU torched them as bad as we did to Syracuse. I’m not actually saying Illinois was ever that good, just that IU is not the same team from last year. They are legit

 

[HouseofPain]

How do you beat the third worst team in their conference by one touchdown at the end of the game and jump a team that’s won the last ten games by double digits?

 

[Kingbish01]

I'm done analyzing the odds, and it appears simple to me.

ND is in with a TT win, and at +300 they are out with a BYU win.

 

[Wild Bill]

If Bama jumps us, there's no longer a buffer between us and Miami, if/when BYU loses.

If you believe bama will jump us based on the recent lines you'll be happy to hear Miami's odds are absolute dogshit

 

[Bane]

Not an excuse but while odds are generally a good barometer the idea that Fanduel/Draftkings would lose a ton on a prop bet with probably low limits is pretty funny. It’s not like this Yes/No CFP bet is their Super Bowl.

FanDuel, DraftKings won’t be licensed for Nevada sportsbooks

An industry notice issued Wednesday says FanDuel’s bid to offer sports prediction markets with an app is incompatible with Nevada’s sports wagering laws.

www.reviewjournal.com

I also have to clear up the slander that DK or FD is “Vegas.” They are not affiliated with any Las Vegas properties or sportsbooks and are not even legally licensed to operate here. My native land may be the Whore of Babylon but I will defend what little honor she has.

 

[Kingbish01]

I don't bet, but if anyone can find long odds for Oklahoma to miss the playoffs, thats where big money can be made.

+1800 not happening, Oklahoma is a lock. I'll take anyone's action that's on OU missing with an admin holding the money for us...

 

[InKellyWeTrust]

+1800 not happening, Oklahoma is a lock.

So Vegas knows Oklahoma won't fall behind ND tomorrow? Its not a rhetorical question i just genuinely don't know how they can know that unless they are in the committee room.