2016 Presidential Horse Race

2016 Presidential Horse Race


  • Total voters
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BGIF

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Colorado Dems

Colorado Dems

Bernie leads 58.6% to 40.3% with 31% counted.
 

BGIF

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Massachusetts Dems

Massachusetts Dems

Hillary leads 50.6% to 48.2%, a margin of 5,622 out of over 1 million votes cast.
94% counted.
 

BGIF

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Minnesota Dems

Minnesota Dems

Bernie up 58.7% to 41.3% with 31% counted.
 

tussin

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IMO, Hillary will sweep if it's against Trump with no 3rd party candidate. The turnout will be tremendous, and it will be anti-Trump. I probably won't vote in an election that is Hillary vs Rubio because I just don't care... but if it's Hillary vs Trump I won't just vote I'll go down to Appalachia and start slashing tires of his mouth breathing supporters if necessary. Trump is the first candidate we've had running for President that is legitimately a threat to this country.

EDIT: obviously I'm not actually going to go slash tires. Those people don't have cars :)

Didn't you say you voted for Rubio today? Or were you Kasich?

If it's Rubio/Clinton, I'll freaking volunteer for Rubio.
 

BGIF

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Mass to Hillary

Mass to Hillary

Per CNN

Gives her 7 states to Bernie's 4.


Bernie will do well with delegates here as Mass is proportional state.
 
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BGIF

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Didn't you say you voted for Rubio today? Or were you Kasich?

If it's Rubio/Clinton, I'll freaking volunteer for Rubio.


The Rubio snowball starts.

So goes Minnesota, so goes the nation.
 

phork

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President Trump..... I simply cannot wrap my head around this.
 

GATTACA!

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What are the chances that it eventually comes out that Trump has been in cahoots with Kasich and Carson? He promises them VP and cabinet positions for them to stay in the race. They are pulling 10-15% together depending on the state.
 

BGIF

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Vermont Rep

Vermont Rep

Fox called it for Trump 32.5% over Kasich 30.6 and Rubio 19.4 with 84% in.

If these numbers hold Rubio won't get any delegates as he's below the 20% Threshold.
 

GATTACA!

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Fox called it for Trump 32.5% over Kasich 30.6 and Rubio 19.4 with 84% in.

If these numbers hold Rubio won't get any delegates as he's below the 20% Threshold.

Minnesota was a big get for Rubio, but if he really wants to turn this into any momentum he needs to get delegates here.
 

BGIF

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What are the chances that it eventually comes out that Trump has been in cahoots with Kasich and Carson? He promises them VP and cabinet positions for them to stay in the race. They are pulling 10-15% together depending on the state.

What did he offer the Crubio Brothers?

Ted won 2 states and Marco won a caucus. But both had some trouble in other states failing to meet the 20% Threshold to win any delegates. Cruz failed in VT. Rubio was below 20% in AL, TX, and VT.
 

DillonHall

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What are the chances that it eventually comes out that Trump has been in cahoots with Kasich and Carson? He promises them VP and cabinet positions for them to stay in the race. They are pulling 10-15% together depending on the state.

Seriously, Kasich and Carson can go fuck themselves.
 

GATTACA!

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What did he offer the Crubio Brothers?

Ted won 2 states and Marco won a caucus. But both had some trouble in other states failing to meet the 20% Threshold to win any delegates. Cruz failed in VT. Rubio was below 20% in AL, TX, and VT.

I think Cruz has a big enough ego that he's in no matter what. Plus he feels like he has a lock on the evangelical vote for some reason, even though results are proving otherwise.

I think Rubio is probably hearing from the establishment that he is the candidate they would like the ultimately run in the general. He also got a bump when he started going after Trump and was probably the candidate with the most momentum.

Both still have a good chunk of money and have been able to pick up some delegates. I guess i can just see from both of their perspectives how they could see themselves prevailing once Carson and Kasich drop.

I just can't see any reason why Carson and Kasich are hanging on other than posturing for positions with whoever wins the nomination.
 

BillyIrish

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What are the chances that it eventually comes out that Trump has been in cahoots with Kasich and Carson? He promises them VP and cabinet positions for them to stay in the race. They are pulling 10-15% together depending on the state.

Kasich: 'Zero chance’ I’m someone’s vice president | TheHill

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/02/27/stop-blaming-john-kasich-for-donald-trumps-clear-path-to-the-nomination/

Kasich said he drops out if he doesn't win Ohio. What happens when he does?
 
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BGIF

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What are the chances that it eventually comes out that Trump has been in cahoots with Kasich and Carson? He promises them VP and cabinet positions for them to stay in the race. They are pulling 10-15% together depending on the state.

Seriously, Kasich and Carson can go fuck themselves.


Kasich is critical for the "Establishment" to get back in this race. Kasich has to win Ohio to keep it away from Trump. If Kasich withdrew before 3/15/16, Trump wins Ohio.


CNN just reported Carson has announced he will stay in the race. Dana Bash then raised the possibility of the GOP approaching Carson with the suggestion to drop out of the presidental race to pursue the Senate Seat Rubio is vacating.
 

calvegas04

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Why do people think the USA needs "radical change"? Who here doesn't have a good job and the ability to take care of the family? Who here is hurting for something?

everyone voted for obama based on change... and now it looks like a lot of Americans want to see change from what obama did
 

calvegas04

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<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/-dY77j6uBHI" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
 

BGIF

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Alaska

Alaska

First returns in, 6% counted

Trump 34.2%
Cruz 29.9
Rubio 18.4
Carson 10.0
Kasich 7.5
 

NDPhilly

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Thinking of changing my vote from Rubio to Cruz just because I dont want Trump to win the nomination. Most of my friends that are Republicans are leaning Rubio too. If Trump does win the nomination i'll vote for him over Hillary. Can't stand her.
 
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drayer54

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Thinking of changing my vote from Rubio to Cruz just because I dont want Trump to win the nomination. Most of my friends that are Republicans are leaning Rubio too. If Trump does win the nomination i'll vote for him over Hillary. Can't stand her.

It's not worth it if you pick the guy annoying prick that can't even win an endorsement from a GOP senator.
 

BGIF

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Alaska

Alaska

With 43% reporting Cruz has overtaken Trump 35.5% to 32.7.

Rubio leads the also rans with 16.8, Carson 10.2 and Kasich 4.8.
 

BGIF

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Both Fox and CNN have commented on the surge in Republican voters and the decline among Democrat voters.

Three states, OK, VA, and TN had record turnouts. In 2012, VA had 200,000 participate. This year they had over 800,000.

Both cable networks attributed it to Trump bringing in more people whether new voters or dischanted Republicans.

They also commented that Bernie is getting increased voter participation but Hillary isn't. They didn't cite specific numbers.
 

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Fox has an updated delegate count on their website. This is only a partial count as the states have varying formulas for determining delegate allocation.

2016 Presidential Election Headquarters | Politics | Fox News


As of 2:18 ET on March 2

Trump 274
Cruz 149
Rubio 82
Kasich 25
Carson 8

Subtracting the totals they had before Super Tuesday reveals their gains tonight (so far)

Trump 126
Cruz 84
Rubio 25

CNN said there were about 230 delegates still to be allocated by individual state forumulas, such as, winning individual districts by a specific %.
 

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2016 Presidential Election Headquarters | Politics | Fox News

REPUBLICANS
Trump is now unstoppable. It's game over for Cruz, Rubio, Kasich and Carson
By Edward Rollins Published March 02, 2016

Game over! This was a rout, America. Winning seven states and the vast majority of delegates is a landslide. Donald Trump and the millions of his supporters have changed American politics and the Republican Party for the foreseeable future.

The nomination is within his grasp and if he does what he said he would do Tuesday night: "[I will] be a unifier!" he may be a very viable candidate against Hillary Clinton in the fall.

After his victories Tuesday night in multiple states and his second place finish in others , Trump is in an unstoppable position. Whether the junior senators from Texas and Florida choose to pursue him, it doesn’t matter, the end is near.

Trump, who is an unconventional candidate, to say the least, has tapped into the anger and frustration across America and has mobilized voters to turn out in record numbers.

Love him or hate him, be inspired by him or be appalled by him, Trump has totally dominated a political cycle like no other politician I’ve seen in decades.

I admit I was a total skeptic, like many others.

At first, I didn’t think he would run.

Then I thought there was no way he could beat the all-star cast of elected officials running against him.

Then I underestimated his lack of substance and trite answers in the debates.

Then I underestimated his lack of a real campaign.

Then I was convinced the political establishment was going to spend millions and take him out. And like the Energizer bunny he just keeps going and winning!

Trump is getting stronger by the day and his supporters are locked in and not going away. And no one has mastered the media like this since Teddy Roosevelt and his rough riders.

What's ahead is a Republican Party that either becomes part of his movement or splinters into many pieces. No matter what Trump does or says, the nomination is his for the taking.

Winning politics is a game of addition. Trump needs to be more careful in his words and in his thoughts. He needs to be a more gracious winner.

He has convinced many voters that he is a leader and a change agent. Now he needs to add substance and surround himself with some advisers who can add to that substance.

Thursday night’s GOP debate should be taken to a higher plane. All sides need to back away from the name calling and argue over the differences in policies.

All the candidates need to tell us how they will make the United States a better place and how they will beat Hillary and the Democrats this fall and why they should.

In the very near future, the Republican leadership of the Congress and the nation’s Republican governors need to sit down and do a "Trump negotiation" session.

Why? Because they need to see if they can find common ground to run on.

Trump is the ultimate salesman and he needs to sell these guys on his candidacy and convince them that together they can make it work.

If not, a holy war lies ahead that will destroy the Republican Party as we know it. And worse, Hillary Clinton may end up becoming president. -- Just as I underestimated Donald Trump, Republicans will be foolish if we underestimate Hillary Clinton.

My last advice is this: Mr. Trump, if you’re going to reward Governor Christie for his endorsement by letting him introduce you, get him off the stage once he's done.

No one seemed more unhappy than Christie watching you speak in Florida Tuesday night and frowning throughout your press conference.

A gracious loser he's not!
 

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Alaska

Alaska

With 60% of vote in, Cruz leads Trump 35.8% to 33.5% (314 votes)

CNN noted that Sarah Palin's stronghold, Wasila, hadn't been counted yet along with some wealthy areas of Anchorage.
 

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Alaska

Alaska

With 64% tallied Cruz lead has shrunk to 139 votes.
 

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Alaska To Cruz But Delegates A Draw

Alaska To Cruz But Delegates A Draw

Per CNN with 95% in, Cruz leads 36.4 to 33.5 (671 votes) over Trump.

CNN has 10 delegates going to Cruz, 10 to Trump, and 4 to Rubio.
 

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Alaska Sets Voter Record

Alaska Sets Voter Record

4th state in the Republican primaries/caucuses to set participation records tonight.
 
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