2014 NCAA football Real $$$ Bets

[IrishLax]

Got $200 on a 3 game parlay.. Bama -19.5. OSU -11 and USC -1.. Utah scares me at home though.

Well if you're going to miss... might as well miss all three...

Win makes me 8 for 11. So +$800 and -$330 has me net +$470. Pretty awesome year so far.

 

[Irish2155]

ESPN showed the odds of teams winning it all this year...prob around 10 teams listed. ND wasn't one. So I said fuck off and turned the channel, my gf laughed.

 

[IrishLax]

ND opened -13.5 against Navy. Already put down $300 on it. That line is a joke.

ND is 5-2 ATS this year and 6-1 ATS pre-season lines. Also, ND was only a 3 point favorite over Navy pre-season. Crazy to think about.

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

Where do you guys bet at?

I shop around because I like to think that -2.5 is way better than -3. So I look at Vegasinsider.com before betting. If I want an MGM line I go to Mandalay; Station = Green Valley Ranch; sometimes I'll go out of my way to LVH; and I have the Cantor Gaming app on my phone as well. I tend to stay away from any Caesar's location out of principle.

LAX, you are killing it - congrats. I hope you are correct this weekend. I love that we have an extra prep week for the option attack; but more importantly what I'm hearing about Golson stepping up as a leader after the last game. If he and the staff can keep the team focused, there is no reason they don't win out.

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

Not a bad week for going 2 -2. Thanks to finally weighting my bets correctly and the even money lines available, I was able to be +$60 for the week. Plus Texas can't cover over 7.5 wins, so I'll win that one; and f'in Penn State for not beating OSU so I could win their under 10.5 wins; let's go MSU!!!

Running total: Win = $1190; Loss = $1450; Net = - $260; Pending = $250; record (23-24-1)

 

[IrishLax]

Two other lines I like and I'm pretty sure I'm going to play...

Arizona +4.5 at UCLA... Arizona has been winning by the skin of their teeth, but UCLA just fucking sucks and should be a 1-to-3 win team right now. Have to think Arizona plus the points is a good call when UCLA has only won 1 game all year by more than a score.
Arizona State -2.5 vs Utah... I really believe in this Arizona State team and don't know how on paper Utah really matches up with them... this line seems to already be moving, so no clue what I can lock it in at.

 

[JughedJones]

Headed to Vegas this weekend, gonna spend Saturday at the Mirage sports book.

I'd sure love some opinions on a 3 or 4 team parlay. I'm kinda thinking I'm gonna go with the money line and just pick winners.

Thoughts?

 

[IrishLax]

Soooo.... FSU opened -8.5 against Louisville, and has been bet all the way down to a consistent -3.5... wtf?!?!?

I know what advanced metrics say about Louisville's defense... but damn, FSU only 3.5 over an unranked team? Seems reallllly fishy.

Also, UCLA all the way up to -7 against Arizona? Huh? This is the same team that needed miracles and blown calls to get by Cal, Memphis, Virginia, etc. in tight games?

I feel like I'm being suckered in.

 

[JughedJones]

You guys gonna leave me hanging on some 3 or 4 game parlay recommendations?

Last time I went to Vegas I took IE's advice and hit a 7 team college basketball parlay... Hit me with your magic again!

 

[Grahambo]

Soooo.... FSU opened -8.5 against Louisville, and has been bet all the way down to a consistent -3.5... wtf?!?!?

I know what advanced metrics say about Louisville's defense... but damn, FSU only 3.5 over an unranked team? Seems reallllly fishy.

Also, UCLA all the way up to +7 against Arizona? Huh? This is the same team that needed miracles and blown calls to get by Cal, Memphis, Virginia, etc. in tight games?

I feel like I'm being suckered in.

I wish I could speak your language and knew where to bet.

 

[IrishLax]

You guys gonna leave me hanging on some 3 or 4 game parlay recommendations?

Last time I went to Vegas I took IE's advice and hit a 7 team college basketball parlay... Hit me with your magic again!

I hate parlays. I'd probably parlay the Arizona games with FSU and ND though if I was going to gamble that way, per my above.

 

[JughedJones]

I hate parlays. I'd probably parlay the Arizona games with FSU and ND though if I was going to gamble that way, per my above.

Word. Good suggestions. I hate putting money on the Irish though... although I might do it.

Just for yucks, I ran this through the money line calculator:

Boston College at Virginia Tech

Washington at Colorado

North Carolina at Miami (FL)


100$ would get me 1416.67$ !

I think I might do this....

 

[Irish Insanity]

Besides a trip to Vegas, where do you guys lay down the $

 

[scUM Hater]

Vinnie. Bada boom bada bing.

 

[IrishLax]

Vinnie. Bada boom bada bing.

Pretty much. Can't wait until New Jersey is a go.

I know tons of people who bet online, I just don't really trust it.

 

[Who'saWildManNow]

Vinnie. Bada boom bada bing.

Lol I literally go through a Vinnie.. Last week was a bust for me but I'm still up about $650 on the season.

Arizona +4 v UCLA - I think they win this game outright.

I kind of like Purdue +24.5 v Nebraska. Purdue can play some spirited ball and Nebraska's recent ascent should create some energy.

Georgia -10 v Florida.. The Gators are beyond spirited ball.. They will score little to no points.

Also my greedy 4th pick for a big parlay is Wisconsin-11 v Rutgers

 

[Irish Insanity]

Well, let's turn this real $$$ bets thread in to an actual real $$$ bet thread. Who wants to be the Vinnie and set up an account somewhere we can start betting in.

 

[IrishLax]

Alright I officially locked in my bets for the the week in addition to my ND bet for $300. I'm wagering a ton and have a chance to completely blow my entire profit for the year.

I took FSU -3 for $100 with some serious vig. If the Seminoles lose I'm laying $130. This is a really stupid trap bet, but my gut says Louisville's offense isn't good enough no matter how well they stop the run and play defense.

I also got Arizona +7 and ASU -2.5 for $100 each with standard vig. So if I lose all my bets this weekend, I'll be out $680. I'm considering ND a stone cold lock though and that's a huge chunk of that.

 

[IrishLax]

Knew I was getting suckered on Louisville/FSU bet. Greene dropping balls... Aguayo missing a kick... about to lose $130 if this shit keeps up.

 

[Who'saWildManNow]

Knew I was getting suckered on Louisville/FSU bet. Greene dropping balls... Aguayo missing a kick... about to lose $130 if this shit keeps up.

UL is done.. FSU will put another TD up.

 

[Who'saWildManNow]

Alright I officially locked in my bets for the the week in addition to my ND bet for $300. I'm wagering a ton and have a chance to completely blow my entire profit for the year.

I took FSU -3 for $100 with some serious vig. If the Seminoles lose I'm laying $130. This is a really stupid trap bet, but my gut says Louisville's offense isn't good enough no matter how well they stop the run and play defense.

I also got Arizona +7 and ASU -2.5 for $100 each with standard vig. So if I lose all my bets this weekend, I'll be out $680. I'm considering ND a stone cold lock though and that's a huge chunk of that.

Arizona +7 is a steal. Utah/ASU is too scary for me though..

I think Georgia -10 is another steal..

 

[IrishLax]

FSU cannot be killed. They need one defensive stop now to make daddy some money. #BlameJameis

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

FSU cannot be killed. They need one defensive stop now to make daddy some money. #BlameJameis

I think you are good now #ACCrefs

 

[IrishLax]

Wish he had been tackled down. If Louisville scores on FSU prevent they will go for 2. Thank god I paid for extra vig to tease it down to -3 instead of -3.5.

Edit: I am on fucking fire this year. 9 for 12 this year... 75% winners.

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

Looking for a good week here lots of picks with some interesting bets.

BYU -4 EV for $60
Mississippi St -10.5 for $80
Kentucky +7.5 for $60
Georgia St/Appalachian St Under 70 for $20
Duke +3.5 for $40
Utah +6 for $20
Arizona +6.5 for $40
North Carolina +16 for $40
NC State/Syracuse Under 52.5 for $40


BYU only giving 4 to Middle Tennessee St seems wrong. Talent mismatch.
Mississippi State started as a 14.5 point favorite, and now show value at -10.5 when I don't think they'll be looking ahead to Tennessee-Martin (I kid you not).
I'm making the rare 'snow' bet on the Appalachian St game. 70 is a big total for a game that may have a couple inches of snow.
I'll take a decent Kentucky team getting points against a pathetic Missouri.
Duke still getting no respect. Their line has moved from a 1 point favorite to a 3.5 point dog. I like Pitt, but again, I'll take the value and vote against the public money.
ASU might be thinking about a team called Notre Dame, and Utah is a bruising, tough run team. Plus more value with the line moving from +2.5 to +6.
I agree with so many of you on Arizona, plus another line move I'll take.

It is interesting that the Oregon line has dropped from 12.5 to 7.5 over Stanford. Value on the Ducks? But I agree with the public that Stanford will show strong and hopefully pull it out.
The Tar Heels can keep any game close, so with the line moving from +10.5 to +16, I had to take it.
And without Hunt at QB, I don't see Syracuse putting up many points.

Running total: Win = $1190; Loss = $1450; Net = - $260; Pending = $650; record (23-24-1)

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

Wish he had been tackled down. If Louisville scores on FSU prevent they will go for 2. Thank god I paid for extra vig to tease it down to -3 instead of -3.5.

Edit: I am on fucking fire this year. 9 for 12 this year... 75% winners.

Congrats. Now win your big bet of the week PLEEEEASE!!!!

 

[Who'saWildManNow]

Duke +3

Georgia -11

Purdue +23.5

Illinois +28.5

400 to win 4105

Rock n roll.

 

[IrishLax]

Rough day. ND implosion means I lost a big one. Arizona just missed an extra point length field goal to cost me at minimum a push. And ASU is currently losing.

 

[DomeX2 eNVy]

Went 5-4 and lost money - primarily because of the stupid SEC teams - Thanks Kentucky and Miss St.

Sorry about the Navy game LAX; but ND only needs to win 1 more to go over 7.5 for me.

Running total: Win = $1358; Loss = $1670; Net = - $312; Pending = $250; record (28-28-1)

 

[IrishLax]

Went 5-4 and lost money - primarily because of the stupid SEC teams - Thanks Kentucky and Miss St.

Sorry about the Navy game LAX; but ND only needs to win 1 more to go over 7.5 for me.

Running total: Win = $1358; Loss = $1670; Net = - $312; Pending = $250; record (28-28-1)

Yeah, crazy enough I still went 2-2 last week after ASU came back... and it's a good year where .500 is your worst week lol... just got stupid with upping the $$$ on ND. If Arizona hadn't shanked a 20 yard field goal I would've gone 2-1-1.

11 for 16 on the year which is still a damn good 69%... my profit margin overall though is now as if I was going 61% because of the extra coin I put on ND.

What lines do you like this week?