Notre Dame at Air Force
John Imre
ND Irish Fans.com
Nov 8, 2006
The Fighting Irish of Notre Dame visit the Air Force Academy Falcons Saturday November 11, 2006 in Colorado Springs, CO. The game will be televised on CSTV at 2:00 PM. The Falcons look to better their 4-4 record by defeating a Top 10 team, while the Fighting Irish look to continue their winning streak for a BCS bowl game.
Notre Dame allows an average of 22 points per game, while the Air Force allows 21. However, the Irish post an average of 32 points whereas the Falcons just a low 24 points. The offsetting statistic really comes in the way of offensive yards. The Falcons gain an average of 267 yards/game and allow half back to the opponent; 132 yards/game. The Irish only pick up 107 yards/game and allow 126. The clear comparison team in the Irish schedule is the other Academy, the Navy. The Navy racked up a nasty 271 yards on the ground and this is where the Air Force plans to focus their attention. The Air Force boasts a measly 67 passing yards/game and allows nearly 3 times as many to their opponents; 191 yards/game. The imbalance is obvious as the Irish are a far better passing team, while the Falcons are a more focused rushing team. How does this affect the outcome of this weekend's game?
As already stated, the comparison team will be the Navy. Giving up 271 yards of rushing is a deep concern for the Irish. While it's true that play after play was a running play, it seemed as if the Navy was cutting through butter with a hot knife. The problem was stopping the run, but even worse, stopping the runner. Yards after contact should be the main focus of Irish defensive plans. How does the Irish fare against the Falcon offense and how does their result of the Navy game have an impact?
The Navy picked up 271 yards of rushing against the Irish, but the over looked fact is that the Navy average per game is 325 yards. This is something that should be noted. The Navy also stacks about 50 yards/game in passing, 3 yards more than the Irish allowed. The Irish also kept the Midshipmen from hogging the clock and split it near even, with just a few seconds advantage. While the Navy holds the clock to their possession an average of 5 minutes/game, the Air Force actually allows the opponents a near 5 minute advantage. This could be a deadly situation against a team that also host's an average 5 minutes/game, but can easily score in a matter of seconds.
The real question is not if Notre Dame can stop the rush and scoring of the Air Force, rather, it's a matter of whether the Air Force can continue to rush the ball without slowing down. Below is a chart collected from
http://www.und.com:
The Automated Scorebook
#11 Notre Dame vs. Navy (Oct 28, 2006 at Baltimore, Md.)
Drive Started Drive Ended Consumed
Team Qtr Spot Time Obtained Spot Time How Lost Pl-Yds TOP
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UND 1st D37 15:00 Kickoff N23 11:45 *FIELD GOAL 7-40 3:15
UND 1st D20 06:27 Missed FG N00 01:32 *TOUCHDOWN 9-80 4:55
UND 2nd D24 11:39 Kickoff N00 08:00 *TOUCHDOWN 7-76 3:39#
UND 2nd D20 02:43 Kickoff N00 01:19 *TOUCHDOWN 7-80 1:24
UND 2nd D13 00:16 Punt D13 00:00 End of half 0-0 0:16
UND 3rd D31 12:47 Punt N00 08:10 *TOUCHDOWN 9-69 4:37#
UND 3rd D47 01:28 Downs N01 13:21 Downs 7-52 3:07#
UND 4th N47 12:18 Punt N00 09:36 *TOUCHDOWN 7-47 2:42#
UND 4th N48 07:42 Punt N27 02:42 Downs 8-21 5:00
UND 4th N45 01:44 Fumble N44 00:00 End of half 2-1 1:44
NAVY 1st N22 11:45 Kickoff D15 06:27 Missed FG 13-63 5:18#
NAVY 1st N20 01:32 Kickoff D00 11:39 *TOUCHDOWN 9-80 4:53#
NAVY 2nd N35 08:00 Kickoff D00 02:43 *TOUCHDOWN 13-65 5:17#
NAVY 2nd N25 01:19 Kickoff N45 00:16 Punt 5-20 1:03
NAVY 3rd N20 15:00 Kickoff N26 12:47 Punt 3-6 2:13
NAVY 3rd N06 08:10 Kickoff D47 01:28 Downs 12-47 6:42
NAVY 4th N01 13:21 Downs N09 12:18 Punt 3-8 1:03
NAVY 4th N25 09:36 Kickoff N19 07:42 Punt 3--6 1:54
NAVY 4th N27 02:42 Downs N45 01:44 Fumble 3-18 0:58
Notice that the Navy drove down field the first 3 drives and missed 1 FG, but collected 2 touchdowns. Notre Dame was able to stop the Navy from reaching the red-zone 6 times thereafter. Running the ball downfield in the option can be a task tougher than initially thought. Run blocking by the line and offensive backs continually on the run prove to be just as tiring as trying to defend such plays. Size and athleticism come into the picture here. A one-dimensional game like this will not pick up the needed points to stay toe-to-toe with a team like the Irish. After all, a drive taking 5 to 7 minutes will almost assuredly be offset by an Irish drive taking just a couple minutes, leaving your team with only seconds left at the end of the game to play "catch-up." This creates a situation where moving the ball downfield in a timely fashion is only attainable by passing. With 62 yards/game passing, disaster becomes a very likely result.
In October, the Falcons faced the Midshipmen. When viewing the statistics and final score of the game, the conclusion is almost predictable. However, the Air Force running game was effective and a passing game complimented. The Navy kept the running game and abandoned the passing game. A strategy that was very effective for both teams. This strategy will not be effective against the Irish this game. The Falcons, while successful in passing, only posted 119 yards against the Midshipmen, while the Irish put up nearly 300 yards in the air with a compliment of 176 on the ground. Once again, if the Air Force is to stay in the game, they must score on every drive.
Altitude is always a factor when near-sea level teams visit Denver and its surrounding cities. Could this factor play into the Air Force advantage in the running game and spell ruin for the Irish? Sure, if this game were some high school or prison league event. The teams are made of athletes. Sure you're going to get winded a bit, but you work out and practice to overcome obstacles.
Weight and height are another factor. It's a well known fact that the services have weight and height restrictions. The typical player from an academy is quite a bit smaller, but no less athletic. The Falcons will have some work cut out for them in this game, but it is no different than playing against any other team, other than another academy.
One huge factor in this game is balance of talent. With Brady Quinn as the quarterback, the Irish have an extremely heavy advantage. Add in 4 to 5 potential receivers who rack up nasty yards and you've got a bad situation.
In the end, the Falcons must have a perfect game and hold the ball with no turnovers to stay competitive. They must find a way to stop the aerial assault without sacrificing yards on the ground as well. The Irish will need to keep up the balanced offensive attack and knock the Air Force into 3 and out situations. Tackles on the run will need to be decisive and straight to the point; yards after contact must be kept to an absolute minimum. This game will definitely be worth the $15 dollars spent and could very well be the hinge on which the Irish BCS situation turns. Can the Fighting Irish go into Colorado Springs and lay down the law?