I expect ND will stay at #9 when the BCS rankings are released Monday.
Harris - ND 5th (up from 6th last week) with 2254 points or 0.7979 BCS %. ND only as a 10 point edge over VT. Despite Miami's and Alabama's losses resulting in a redistribution of 1494 points ND only picked up 79 points. Auburn picked up 300, LSU about 90, PSU about 150, VT about 170, OSU 170, Oregon about 215, UCLA about 60. So about half a dozen teams made greater gains than ND in the Top 12.
Coaches - ND 6th (up from 7th last week) with 1185 points or 0.7645 BCS%. Last week ND had a 97 point edge over OSU that's been halved to 48 points this week. Last week ND was 3 points behind VT, now they're 92 points behind. Las week ND lead Oregon by 164 votes that's now reduced to 83 points. Last week ND lead Auburn by 293 points now Auburn trails by 160. As in the Harris Polls ND competitor's all picked up substantially more points than ND did.
Sagarin - ND remains #12 in Sagarin's EloChess (BCS used rating -no margin of victory). However ND's Strength of Schedule dropped from 7th to 22nd based on a weak opponent in Syracuse and ND's opponents of the year having a disastrous Saturday. ND dropped one slot from 6th to 7th in Sagarin's Predicator model which includes Margin of Victory).
Billingsley - ND was 17th last week. Michigan, Bama, and Fresno should drop below ND raising ND to about 14. Miami had a big lead and probably won't fall below ND - yet.
Colley - ND was 13th last week. I suspect only Bama will drop below Irish. Figure #12.
Massey - ND #8 last week. Assume the same. OSU, LSU, MIA and Ore will be ahead of ND, Auburn close behind. Figure #9.
Wolfe - ND was 13th. Figure they move up to #12
Computer % = 0.5800
BCS Average 0.7979 + 0.7645 + 0.5800 = 2.1425/3 = .7142
ND will pass Bama BUT Oregon will jump ND and keep ND at #9.
ORE Harris .7009 + Coaches .7110 + Computers .7900 (6th place) = 2.2017/3= .7339 (higher than ND)
Keep in mind I estimated Computer Rankings and only looked at ND and nearest competitor last week Oregon which had a big edge over ND in the computers.
Harris - ND 5th (up from 6th last week) with 2254 points or 0.7979 BCS %. ND only as a 10 point edge over VT. Despite Miami's and Alabama's losses resulting in a redistribution of 1494 points ND only picked up 79 points. Auburn picked up 300, LSU about 90, PSU about 150, VT about 170, OSU 170, Oregon about 215, UCLA about 60. So about half a dozen teams made greater gains than ND in the Top 12.
Coaches - ND 6th (up from 7th last week) with 1185 points or 0.7645 BCS%. Last week ND had a 97 point edge over OSU that's been halved to 48 points this week. Last week ND was 3 points behind VT, now they're 92 points behind. Las week ND lead Oregon by 164 votes that's now reduced to 83 points. Last week ND lead Auburn by 293 points now Auburn trails by 160. As in the Harris Polls ND competitor's all picked up substantially more points than ND did.
Sagarin - ND remains #12 in Sagarin's EloChess (BCS used rating -no margin of victory). However ND's Strength of Schedule dropped from 7th to 22nd based on a weak opponent in Syracuse and ND's opponents of the year having a disastrous Saturday. ND dropped one slot from 6th to 7th in Sagarin's Predicator model which includes Margin of Victory).
Billingsley - ND was 17th last week. Michigan, Bama, and Fresno should drop below ND raising ND to about 14. Miami had a big lead and probably won't fall below ND - yet.
Colley - ND was 13th last week. I suspect only Bama will drop below Irish. Figure #12.
Massey - ND #8 last week. Assume the same. OSU, LSU, MIA and Ore will be ahead of ND, Auburn close behind. Figure #9.
Wolfe - ND was 13th. Figure they move up to #12
Computer % = 0.5800
BCS Average 0.7979 + 0.7645 + 0.5800 = 2.1425/3 = .7142
ND will pass Bama BUT Oregon will jump ND and keep ND at #9.
ORE Harris .7009 + Coaches .7110 + Computers .7900 (6th place) = 2.2017/3= .7339 (higher than ND)
Keep in mind I estimated Computer Rankings and only looked at ND and nearest competitor last week Oregon which had a big edge over ND in the computers.
