N
NDAlumSon
Guest
As some you know from my previous postings, while I am a big Brady Quinn supporter, I am also a huge Brady Quinn doubter. I am of the opinion that his inconsistent throwing accuracy has, more than any other element of the ND offense, led to their poor offensive productivity.
Some of my previous opinions on the matter can be read here, here, and here.
In that vein and to satisfy my own egotistical hubris, I have dissected his play against UCLA to try to further this opinion. I've reviewed every throw from the UCLA game to determine his effectiveness and its result on ND's offensive productivity. But to keep you from committing hari-kari from sheer boredom, I'll list only the first half passes where the quarterback's throws either did make or could have made an important impact on the game and its outcome. And as we all know his last three throws should be considered accurate and great.
So how do I define throwing effectiveness? I'm going to use a simple mathematical formula. A+B=C
A is Velocity or Touch. How much zip or arc is on any particular throw.
B is Location. Where does the ball arrive at the receiver's body in relation to the receiver's movement.
C is Accuracy.
Now, are there other factors besides the quarterback simply throwing the ball that determine accuracy?
Of course. There's protection, there's coverage, there's wind, a wet ball, the sun, etc.
I try to factor all those in. But for our purposes here, we can eliminate wind, a wet ball, and the sun.
So that leaves protection and coverage.
So, onward. First, his game stats.
Notre Dame vs UCLA
Brady Quinn #10 Quarterback
27 of 45 for 304 yds Avg. 6.8 yds/completion 2 TD's 0 INT
Now on to the particular throws.
(1<sup>st</sup> possession) (There was only one pass in this possession)
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ ND 28 14:36 1<sup>st</sup> Qtr.
Under center, three step drop, quick flair to Walker
Good touch + good location = good accuracy
Great start.
(2<sup>nd</sup> possession) (There were 2 passes in this possession)
3<sup>rd</sup> & 9 @ ND 30 11:11
Shotgun, good protection, 5 yd. out to Grimes
Good touch + good location = good accuracy.
However, a 5 yd. out on 3<sup>rd</sup> & 9 with the coverage of Grimes that Brady saw is a bad decision.
Brady had plenty of time to wait for another receiver to get open downfield.
(3<sup>rd</sup> possession) (There were 3 passes in this possession)
1st & 10 @ UCLA 44 7:25
Under center, play action (fake reverse) deep post pass to McKnight.
Good (enough) protection and Rhema is open in the end zone. Incomplete.
Poor touch (not enough arc, too flat) + good location (at least it wasn't under thrown) = Bad accuracy
Should have been a touchdown.
4<sup>th</sup> & inches @ UCLA 40 6:00
Under center, play action, great protection, 10 yd square-in to Carlson. Complete.
Poor touch + poor accuracy + poor timing = bad accuracy.
Ball thrown 2 seconds too late, way too softly, and Brady doesn't lead his receiver.
Completed yes, but it should have been ANOTHER touchdown.
3<sup>rd</sup> & goal @ UCLA 3 4:10
Under center, play action, Jeff across the back of the endzone.for a TD
Good velocity + bad location = bad accuracy
Ball is thrown high and once again not out in front of the receiver.
Jeff jumps (he shouldn't have had to), adjusts his forward motion (same thing) and makes the grab.
(4<sup>th</sup> possession) (There were 2 passes in this possession)
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ ND 47 3:12
Under center, 3 step drop, sideline fade to McKnight. Incomplete.
I have no idea what this was. Either Rhema missed the out cut or the pass was weakly and dangerously under thrown since there were two defenders there.
Accuracy here is impossible to tell. Ugly nonetheless.
3<sup>rd</sup> & 11 @ ND 46 2:30
Under center, play action, heavy rush. Brady steps up but doesn't slide to his right where there's lots of room, throws into the ground to Walker in the right flat. Upon further review, Brady goes down without being touched. Bad pocket presence.
(5<sup>th</sup> possession) (There were 3 passes in this possession)
2<sup>nd</sup> & 4 @ ND 23 13:08 2<sup>nd</sup> Qtr.
Under center, 3 step drop, 5 yd out to McKnight. 1<sup>st</sup> Down.
Good velocity + good location = good accuracy.
2<sup>nd</sup> & 10 @ ND 29 12:28
Under center, 5 step drop, good protection, deep sideline bomb to McKnight.
This is a whopper. Telegraphs the play the whole time. Doesn't look the safety off. Throws into double coverage and badly under throws it. Perfect interception ball. Lucky it wasn't picked.
It seems he refuses to lead his receivers and let them go and get it. This one got my goat !
Poor touch (little arc) + poor location + poor distance = Horrible accuracy
3<sup>rd</sup> & 10 @ ND 29 12:21
Shotgun. One man breaks through protection on Brady's right, he buys some time but rolls the wrong way. Sack. Probably a coverage sack but bad pocket presence nonetheless. He had plenty of time to make something happen if not just throw it away.
(6<sup>th</sup> possession) (There were 2 passes in this possession)
1<sup>st</sup> & 15 @ ND 15 9:28
Play action, 5 step drop, great protection, lots of time. Brady checks down to a wide open McConnell in the right flat. Throws it at his feet. Incomplete.
Poor velocity + poor location = poor accuracy
3<sup>rd</sup> & 13 @ ND 17 8:37
Shotgun, beautifully designed 'rolling pocket' to the right, great protection, lots of time, McKnight crossing deep to the corner. Severely under thrown, another prime pick off ball. 'Heavy' ball with little spiral that could have been a touchdown.
Poor velocity (little arc) + poor location + poor distance = Horrible accuracy
(7<sup>th</sup> possession) (There were 10 passes in this possession)
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ ND 20 6:58
Play action, 5 step drop, good protection. Carlson in right flat. Complete
Good velocity + poor location (back shoulder forces receiver to turn around) = bad accuracy
2<sup>nd</sup> & 5 @ ND 20 6:29
Shotgun, great protection, quick out hitch to Carlson. Good velocity + good location = good accuracy
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ ND 31 6:13
Shotgun, great protection, 10 yd. out to Grimes at the sideline. Low throw forces receiver to go down in bounds to catch the ball. Keeps clock moving.
Good velocity + bad location = bad accuracy
2<sup>nd</sup> & 1 @ ND 40 5:44
Shotgun, 2 step drop, quick slot screen to Samardjiza.
Good velocity + good location = good accuracy
2<sup>nd</sup> & 12 @ ND 40 4:32
Shotgun, designed screen left to Walker. UCLA reads it well, but Darius is open even though he probably doesn't gain much positive yardage. Brady throws it into the ground. Tough call here.
3<sup>rd</sup> & 12 @ ND 40 4:27
Shotgun, great protection, 12 yd. out to McKnight. Complete. Rhema didn't square the route off properly and came up short of the 1<sup>st</sup> down.
Good velocity + good location = good accuracy
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ UCLA 47 4:03
Shotgun, quick slant to McKnight
Good velocity + good location = good accuracy
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ UCLA 36 3:46
Shotgun, great protection, Carlson post pattern. Complete.
Good velocity + great location (nice and high, for once) = great accuracy
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ UCLA 16 3:39
Play action, good protection, pocket collapses, Brady escapes for nice run.
2<sup>nd</sup> & goal @ UCLA 4 0:40
Brady fumbles snap on pass play. No pass accuracy needed. Possible touchdown?
3<sup>rd</sup> & goal @ UCLA 6 0:16
5 Wide formation. Brady inexplicably audibles to a quarterback sneak. I don't understand it.
Drop back throw a touchdown. Drop back throw it away if no one is open. Hell, drop back and take a sack if you have to. It'd still be a chip shot field goal. A bad decision.
HALFTIME
The second half is much the same from an accuracy standpoint, i.e., INCONSISTENT.
Notre Dame should have beaten UCLA by 3 or 4 touchdowns. They should have a least put 21 to 28 on the board themselves by halftime.
And in my humble opinion, such is the bulk of the season up to this point.
I've heard various reasons for ND's offensive ineptitude from protection breakdowns, receivers not getting open, receivers not hustling to get open, lack of a running game, etc.
You should notice however, that the throws that I deemed inaccurate had, with very little exception, nothing to do with protection and very little to do with coverage. After all he did deliver the ball in these instances and some were completed but far too many are poorly thrown and ineffective.
I frankly thought this game was quite similar to the others that ND has played so far.
Notre Dame has played some stout defenses up to this point in the season but NOT ONE has effectively or completely shut down the passing game by itself. Unfortunately, Brady Quinn has had a big hand in accomplishing that with his inconsistency and inaccuracy.
Now I realize that he's still a college kid and I really don't expect him to be perfect with every throw.
But for a leading Heisman candidate on a top 10 team with the whole football world expecting him to be drafted either #1 or #2 by some NFL team, I certainly expect better play than he has shown thus far. I truly hope his performance improves. As of now, I still say he's got NFL Europe written all over him.
I'd welcome any input or descent on any of this, especially from those who still have access to the game and have reviewed the plays I've described here.
Yours truly, Paul Hornung (J/K)
Some of my previous opinions on the matter can be read here, here, and here.
In that vein and to satisfy my own egotistical hubris, I have dissected his play against UCLA to try to further this opinion. I've reviewed every throw from the UCLA game to determine his effectiveness and its result on ND's offensive productivity. But to keep you from committing hari-kari from sheer boredom, I'll list only the first half passes where the quarterback's throws either did make or could have made an important impact on the game and its outcome. And as we all know his last three throws should be considered accurate and great.
So how do I define throwing effectiveness? I'm going to use a simple mathematical formula. A+B=C
A is Velocity or Touch. How much zip or arc is on any particular throw.
B is Location. Where does the ball arrive at the receiver's body in relation to the receiver's movement.
C is Accuracy.
Now, are there other factors besides the quarterback simply throwing the ball that determine accuracy?
Of course. There's protection, there's coverage, there's wind, a wet ball, the sun, etc.
I try to factor all those in. But for our purposes here, we can eliminate wind, a wet ball, and the sun.
So that leaves protection and coverage.
So, onward. First, his game stats.
Notre Dame vs UCLA
Brady Quinn #10 Quarterback
27 of 45 for 304 yds Avg. 6.8 yds/completion 2 TD's 0 INT
Now on to the particular throws.
(1<sup>st</sup> possession) (There was only one pass in this possession)
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ ND 28 14:36 1<sup>st</sup> Qtr.
Under center, three step drop, quick flair to Walker
Good touch + good location = good accuracy
Great start.
(2<sup>nd</sup> possession) (There were 2 passes in this possession)
3<sup>rd</sup> & 9 @ ND 30 11:11
Shotgun, good protection, 5 yd. out to Grimes
Good touch + good location = good accuracy.
However, a 5 yd. out on 3<sup>rd</sup> & 9 with the coverage of Grimes that Brady saw is a bad decision.
Brady had plenty of time to wait for another receiver to get open downfield.
(3<sup>rd</sup> possession) (There were 3 passes in this possession)
1st & 10 @ UCLA 44 7:25
Under center, play action (fake reverse) deep post pass to McKnight.
Good (enough) protection and Rhema is open in the end zone. Incomplete.
Poor touch (not enough arc, too flat) + good location (at least it wasn't under thrown) = Bad accuracy
Should have been a touchdown.
4<sup>th</sup> & inches @ UCLA 40 6:00
Under center, play action, great protection, 10 yd square-in to Carlson. Complete.
Poor touch + poor accuracy + poor timing = bad accuracy.
Ball thrown 2 seconds too late, way too softly, and Brady doesn't lead his receiver.
Completed yes, but it should have been ANOTHER touchdown.
3<sup>rd</sup> & goal @ UCLA 3 4:10
Under center, play action, Jeff across the back of the endzone.for a TD
Good velocity + bad location = bad accuracy
Ball is thrown high and once again not out in front of the receiver.
Jeff jumps (he shouldn't have had to), adjusts his forward motion (same thing) and makes the grab.
(4<sup>th</sup> possession) (There were 2 passes in this possession)
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ ND 47 3:12
Under center, 3 step drop, sideline fade to McKnight. Incomplete.
I have no idea what this was. Either Rhema missed the out cut or the pass was weakly and dangerously under thrown since there were two defenders there.
Accuracy here is impossible to tell. Ugly nonetheless.
3<sup>rd</sup> & 11 @ ND 46 2:30
Under center, play action, heavy rush. Brady steps up but doesn't slide to his right where there's lots of room, throws into the ground to Walker in the right flat. Upon further review, Brady goes down without being touched. Bad pocket presence.
(5<sup>th</sup> possession) (There were 3 passes in this possession)
2<sup>nd</sup> & 4 @ ND 23 13:08 2<sup>nd</sup> Qtr.
Under center, 3 step drop, 5 yd out to McKnight. 1<sup>st</sup> Down.
Good velocity + good location = good accuracy.
2<sup>nd</sup> & 10 @ ND 29 12:28
Under center, 5 step drop, good protection, deep sideline bomb to McKnight.
This is a whopper. Telegraphs the play the whole time. Doesn't look the safety off. Throws into double coverage and badly under throws it. Perfect interception ball. Lucky it wasn't picked.
It seems he refuses to lead his receivers and let them go and get it. This one got my goat !
Poor touch (little arc) + poor location + poor distance = Horrible accuracy
3<sup>rd</sup> & 10 @ ND 29 12:21
Shotgun. One man breaks through protection on Brady's right, he buys some time but rolls the wrong way. Sack. Probably a coverage sack but bad pocket presence nonetheless. He had plenty of time to make something happen if not just throw it away.
(6<sup>th</sup> possession) (There were 2 passes in this possession)
1<sup>st</sup> & 15 @ ND 15 9:28
Play action, 5 step drop, great protection, lots of time. Brady checks down to a wide open McConnell in the right flat. Throws it at his feet. Incomplete.
Poor velocity + poor location = poor accuracy
3<sup>rd</sup> & 13 @ ND 17 8:37
Shotgun, beautifully designed 'rolling pocket' to the right, great protection, lots of time, McKnight crossing deep to the corner. Severely under thrown, another prime pick off ball. 'Heavy' ball with little spiral that could have been a touchdown.
Poor velocity (little arc) + poor location + poor distance = Horrible accuracy
(7<sup>th</sup> possession) (There were 10 passes in this possession)
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ ND 20 6:58
Play action, 5 step drop, good protection. Carlson in right flat. Complete
Good velocity + poor location (back shoulder forces receiver to turn around) = bad accuracy
2<sup>nd</sup> & 5 @ ND 20 6:29
Shotgun, great protection, quick out hitch to Carlson. Good velocity + good location = good accuracy
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ ND 31 6:13
Shotgun, great protection, 10 yd. out to Grimes at the sideline. Low throw forces receiver to go down in bounds to catch the ball. Keeps clock moving.
Good velocity + bad location = bad accuracy
2<sup>nd</sup> & 1 @ ND 40 5:44
Shotgun, 2 step drop, quick slot screen to Samardjiza.
Good velocity + good location = good accuracy
2<sup>nd</sup> & 12 @ ND 40 4:32
Shotgun, designed screen left to Walker. UCLA reads it well, but Darius is open even though he probably doesn't gain much positive yardage. Brady throws it into the ground. Tough call here.
3<sup>rd</sup> & 12 @ ND 40 4:27
Shotgun, great protection, 12 yd. out to McKnight. Complete. Rhema didn't square the route off properly and came up short of the 1<sup>st</sup> down.
Good velocity + good location = good accuracy
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ UCLA 47 4:03
Shotgun, quick slant to McKnight
Good velocity + good location = good accuracy
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ UCLA 36 3:46
Shotgun, great protection, Carlson post pattern. Complete.
Good velocity + great location (nice and high, for once) = great accuracy
1<sup>st</sup> & 10 @ UCLA 16 3:39
Play action, good protection, pocket collapses, Brady escapes for nice run.
2<sup>nd</sup> & goal @ UCLA 4 0:40
Brady fumbles snap on pass play. No pass accuracy needed. Possible touchdown?
3<sup>rd</sup> & goal @ UCLA 6 0:16
5 Wide formation. Brady inexplicably audibles to a quarterback sneak. I don't understand it.
Drop back throw a touchdown. Drop back throw it away if no one is open. Hell, drop back and take a sack if you have to. It'd still be a chip shot field goal. A bad decision.
HALFTIME
The second half is much the same from an accuracy standpoint, i.e., INCONSISTENT.
Notre Dame should have beaten UCLA by 3 or 4 touchdowns. They should have a least put 21 to 28 on the board themselves by halftime.
And in my humble opinion, such is the bulk of the season up to this point.
I've heard various reasons for ND's offensive ineptitude from protection breakdowns, receivers not getting open, receivers not hustling to get open, lack of a running game, etc.
You should notice however, that the throws that I deemed inaccurate had, with very little exception, nothing to do with protection and very little to do with coverage. After all he did deliver the ball in these instances and some were completed but far too many are poorly thrown and ineffective.
I frankly thought this game was quite similar to the others that ND has played so far.
Notre Dame has played some stout defenses up to this point in the season but NOT ONE has effectively or completely shut down the passing game by itself. Unfortunately, Brady Quinn has had a big hand in accomplishing that with his inconsistency and inaccuracy.
Now I realize that he's still a college kid and I really don't expect him to be perfect with every throw.
But for a leading Heisman candidate on a top 10 team with the whole football world expecting him to be drafted either #1 or #2 by some NFL team, I certainly expect better play than he has shown thus far. I truly hope his performance improves. As of now, I still say he's got NFL Europe written all over him.
I'd welcome any input or descent on any of this, especially from those who still have access to the game and have reviewed the plays I've described here.
Yours truly, Paul Hornung (J/K)

