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But thats based on data, past performances predicting future success. This is based off decisions made by a handful of humans in a closed room.

Does Vegas really get much action on these though? They seem a bit narrow in scope.

So Vegas knows Oklahoma won't fall behind ND tomorrow? Its not a rhetorical question i just genuinely don't know how they can know that unless they are in the committee room.

I don't bet, but if anyone can find long odds for Oklahoma to miss the playoffs, thats where big money can be made.

There is very little justification to have Bama jumping ND. I don't buy it.

If Navy is ranked at the back end of the CFP top 25 and neither Missouri nor Tennessee are, that could be the early spoiler for ND to flip with Oklahoma. We will see...

please articulate

I'd say yes but it depends on what the committe values more. Also, if Oklahoma flips with us and the "doomsday" scenario happens (Bama and BYU winning) it would trade one SEC team for another SEC team in the field. Right now Bama is in a precarious situation anyway if BYU wins and Bama loses...

Maybe already discussed bit has Ole Miss odds moved at all?

They should also adopt a NET-like analytics system which they can refer to when comparing similar teams.

If Tulane would have beaten Ole Miss, they wouldn't need an autobid. If Navy would have beaten ND, same. They didnt, they both got waxed. Heck, if JMU would have beaten Louisville they would be in top 12 position most likely. Its not like the top G5/6 teams dont get chances to prove themselves...

Keep it at 12 and just do away with all autobids. Problem solved.

If they drop Ole Miss and ND jumps Oklahoma...Miami 10 seed playing at ND 7 seed becomes a real possibility...

Also, based off the metrics, there are 5 teams that have separated themselves as the 5 best teams in the country Ohio St, IU, TTech, Oregon, anf ND. None of them are SEC teams. Why are we rewarding a conference with half the at large bids when they don't really have any championship caliber teams?

Notre Dame at #8 above Oklahoma is what I think we will see on Tuesday. The committe has made it very clear they think highly of ND as a complete team. That narrative has been consistent for the last month. In contrast, Oklahoma is not a complete team and almost lost (again) at home to a...

Went to bed at half. Honestly, letting them score 20 is disappointing and the final score is not as impressive as it needed to be.

Correct. The committee will position Oklahoma to be the sacrificial lamb in the event of Bama and BYU conf champs.

With ACC refs and 0 penalties, Stanford had been outscored 35-3 and outgained 319-90 in the first half.

We will be ranked ahead of Oklahoma and Bama this week. Ensures we are in, as we should be.

Lol, Duke in the ACC champ