FYI: ND scoring on target...

Easton Pa ND Fan

Easton Pa ND Fan

New member
Messages
700
Reaction score
48
ND is averaging 32.4 pnts/game. With a
certainty of 77%, teams that score 32
points win 9 out of 12 games.

At 9-1, ND is presently above the pre-
diction line, but 37 pnts/game is the
norm for teams that go 11-1. Either
defense steps up or the Irish have to
score more points to win at USC and
the BCS.

A 77%+ relationship was found between
game scoring and % of games won for
117 team's 1360 games...Tom

<pre><FONT FACE="Lucida Console" SIZE="2"><FONT COLOR="#003399">T</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">o</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">w</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">i</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">n</FONT><FONT COLOR="#405999">:</FONT><FONT COLOR="#808099"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#BFA699"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFCC99">S</FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFCC99">c</FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFCC99">o</FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFCC99">r</FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFCC99">e</FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFCC99">:</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#FFCC99"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#BF9973"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#80664C"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#403326"> </FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">p</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">t</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">9</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">p</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">t</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">8</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">p</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">t</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">9</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">p</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">t</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">p</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">t</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">p</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">t</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">p</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">t</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT></pre></FONT>







</PRE></P>
 
Last edited:
F

FleaFlicker

Guest
Don't hurt yourself with that TI-83 calculator, buddy.
 
N

njuneardave

Member
Messages
406
Reaction score
14
someone needed to tell Charlie to average one more point/game on offense this year.... then we would've beaten Michigan.
 
ACamp1900

ACamp1900

Counting my ‘bet against ND’ winnings
Messages
48,944
Reaction score
11,224
I don't like how the numbers here are stating we have no shot at SC and or a bowl game...
 
Easton Pa ND Fan

Easton Pa ND Fan

New member
Messages
700
Reaction score
48
Numbers are throwing out a warning flag...

Numbers are throwing out a warning flag...

ACamp1900 said:
I don't like how the numbers here are stating we have no shot at SC and or a bowl game...
Click to expand...

ACamp,

Winning after the Army game is uncertain. The 90.97%
relation between winning margins and winning percents
was developed from summary data (That is correlations
between team seasonal averages and statistics). Hope-
fully, what might be true for a season might not apply
entirely to any one particular game...Tom
 
kjones

kjones

Zahm Hall Football Coach
Messages
981
Reaction score
105
You should see Tedwick's post on the other thread started about Margin. Basically, you have a logical fallacy of using a method designed to predict a season's worth of wins and applying that to the probability of winning a single game. The tool is not designed for that, and so should not be used accordingly. If your correlation is pts per game and margin vs. another teams pts per game and margin, for a single game then we can start talking.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top