Game Stats that predict Scoring, Margins, Win % and Rankings...

Easton Pa ND Fan

Easton Pa ND Fan

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What offensive game stats can predict game points, winning percentage, ratings and scoring margin?

The table below lists those that do a good job in the four categories along with the actual relationships.

The numbers are from season total averages obtained from 117 teams, the data may not apply entirely to any one particular game...Tom

<pre><FONT FACE="System" SIZE="3"><FONT COLOR="#003399">S</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">c</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">o</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">r</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">e</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">M</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">r</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">n</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">R</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">n</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">k</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">W</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">i</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">n</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">%</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">G</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">e</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">S</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">t</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">t</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">s</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#003399"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"> </FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#003399"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003399">8</FONT><FONT COLOR="#003090">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#002D87">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#002A7E"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#002775">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#00246C"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#002163">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#001E5A">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#001B51">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#001848">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#00153F">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#001236"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000F2D">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000C24"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#00091B">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000612">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000309">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">T</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">o</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">t</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">y</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">d</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">/</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">p</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">l</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">y</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">8</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">8</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">9</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">T</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">o</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">t</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">y</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">d</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">/</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">P</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">y</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">d</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">/</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">p</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">l</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">y</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">R</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">u</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">h</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">y</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">d</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">/</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">p</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">l</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">y</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">8</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">9</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">9</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">T</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">u</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">r</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">n</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">o</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">v</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">r</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">M</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">8</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">R</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">u</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">h</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">y</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">d</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">/</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">1</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">8</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">8</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">P</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">y</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">d</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">/</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">7</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">6</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">8</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">T</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">o</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">t</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">p</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">l</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">y</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">/</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">8</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">5</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">9</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">4</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">3</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">0</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">.</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">2</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">8</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">8</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">…</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">R</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">u</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">h</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">p</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">l</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">y</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">/</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">g</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">a</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">m</FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000">e</FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><BR><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT><FONT COLOR="#000000"></FONT></pre></FONT>
 
I

Indydomer

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Man I don't know where you come up with this stuff, but it is very interesting.

good work
 
Easton Pa ND Fan

Easton Pa ND Fan

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Answer to BGIF...

Answer to BGIF...

BGIF said:
What's the methodology for the rankings?
Click to expand...

BGIF,

The numbers under "Rank" are the relationship to the stats at the end of the row. It is an Excel computed number that is generated when the column of ranking=rating data is compared to the stat columns.

The "rank" is averaged power ratings sorted ("ranked") and dovetails nicely with BCs, AP, etc. Here is an example of how a change in tot yds/game affects ranking.

Kent St is ranked 117th in Div 1A with a Keeper power rating of 47.92 and has averaged 283.4 tot yds/game. The correlation number (0.597) from the "rank" column means that if Kent has a 100% increase in averaged yds (566.8), the power ratings (and rank) should increase by 59.7%. Kent St's power rating would be 76.53 and it is now ranked 63rd.

<FONT FACE="System" SIZE="5"><FONT COLOR="#006699">G</FONT><FONT COLOR="#006699">o</FONT><FONT COLOR="#006699"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#009966">I</FONT><FONT COLOR="#009966">r</FONT><FONT COLOR="#009966">i</FONT><FONT COLOR="#009966">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#009966">h</FONT><FONT COLOR="#80B280"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFCC99">G</FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFCC99">o</FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFD699"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFE099">!</FONT></FONT>
 
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Easton Pa ND Fan

Easton Pa ND Fan

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I agree...

I agree...

tommy said:
wow the season really needs 2 start
Click to expand...

tommy,

I agree. A lot of this analysis is just comparing 2 or more columns of data in a spreadsheet. You ask the Excel program what is the relationship between 2 or more columns and it gives you the math.

When you see something like ".565" under the "Score" column, it means that there is a likely 56.5% change in score if there was a 100% change in the "rush yds/games" data at the end of that row.

<FONT FACE="System" SIZE="5"><FONT COLOR="#006699">G</FONT><FONT COLOR="#006699">o</FONT><FONT COLOR="#006699"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#009966">I</FONT><FONT COLOR="#009966">r</FONT><FONT COLOR="#009966">i</FONT><FONT COLOR="#009966">s</FONT><FONT COLOR="#009966">h</FONT><FONT COLOR="#80B280"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFCC99">G</FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFCC99">o</FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFD699"> </FONT><FONT COLOR="#FFE099">!</FONT></FONT>



I
 
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