Recent content by PerthDomer

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    Foreign Policy

    We probably delayed their ability to get a bomb by months or years. We may have increased their resolve to get one though. If Iran wants they could strike oil production in Iraq, Kuwait, or SA pretty easily. They could also attack tankers in the straight of Hormuz. We could retaliate by taking...
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    Foreign Policy

    The sense I've had is that Iran doesn't really want nukes (at least under Khomeini) but rather want to use the threat they could get one to get stuff/scare adversaries away. It's now vome out that we dont k ow where Iran's enriched uranium is and have no way to eliminate all their centrifuges...
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    Foreign Policy

    Trying to reinstall the Shah would be a terrible idea, so of course we'll do it.
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    Trump Presidency Round 2

    The stock market's not the economy but it's not not the economy. The stock market, bonds, and the dollar have all fallen together which normally only happens in emerging markets. If Trump doesn't reverse himself you'll be hit with higher unemployment, higher interest rates, and higher prices...
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    Pope Francis has died at 88

    Francis was prominent and seen as a real possibility when Benedict was made pope way back when. He was also the vote leader on each ballot when he became pope. It will likely be one of the more prominent Cardinals.
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    Trump Presidency Round 2

    https://www.wsj.com/politics/top-vaccine-official-out-at-fda-f39a5a16?st=JSt5i9 Well good news for me professionally. I'll have a lot more patients to take care of in the PICU.
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    Foreign Policy

    They need all the house votes they have for the budget/tax cuts.
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    Foreign Policy

    The difference to me is this was a real time ongoing planning of a military operation. In real time. If the wrong eyes are on this we're getting people killed in real time.
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    Foreign Policy

    None of this should have been on Signal. It's not secure and all set to autodelete and stop an FOIA request. If they've done this once they've done this other times Goldberg also witheld a lot of stuff from the story. Names of targets, CIA agent ID's etc. One member of the chat happened to be...
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    Russia Invades Ukraine

    Im assuming the assets the Europeans seized from the Russian sovereign wealth fund will be used for rebuilding. Poland/Romania also show what EU integration/private investment get you. They have pretty good potential for high levels of growth.
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    Russia Invades Ukraine

    Once they have peace, the EU is likely to pour in aid and integrate them into the European market. I think a lot of people will come back.
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    Russia Invades Ukraine

    If that weren't the case the Ukranians would be out of the war. Public estimates from numerous sources have Russians having more casualties overall and the Ukranians doing a better job keeping their wounded alive.
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    Russia Invades Ukraine

    Except they're losing more men and equipment than the Ukranians. Victory for the Russians isn't coming in the near future.
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    Russia Invades Ukraine

    The Ukranian front line has reportedly been crumbling for 6 months now. The Russians lack the mechanized forces to exploit any breakthroughs. Instead they just feed more men into the meat grinder.
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    Trump Presidency

    Dead babies don't become adults. Adults drive. Vaccines lead to adults. Ergo vaccines raise gas prices.
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