irishunclebill
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Top 184, now that is a number you don’t see everyday in a ranking system, but more on that later.
This ranking system evolved from a database I created to provide a Quality Consensus Team ranking based on the Top 100 ranked recruits in each of the following five boards:
Scout Hot 100, Rivals 100, the Top 100 of the ESPN 150, CSTV/Lemming Top 100, and Rise Magazine’s Top 100. The reasons for creating the database was a general frustration with the way recruits were ranked on each board. I had previously posted my rationale for this database, but it was deleted during the now infamous 3 AM IrishEnvy Slash & Burn.
As it turns out, I saved this blurb, and if you want to read it, I have inserted it below. If you do not want to read it, skip the next 2 italicized paragraphs.
Everyone is correct that you should not look at one recruiting service as being the expert on the Top 100. They all have their own team, geographic, and rating strength bias, as well as ulterior marketing motives. The latest and final 2007 Rivals100 clearly displays these ulterior motives. Rivals new list adds 8 new players who are not ranked in the Top 100 of any of the other 4 major recruiting boards. What do these 8 players have in common; they all played at the Offense-Defense All America game, which Rivals is trying to push as an alternative to the AAA game. It is a little ridiculous to say that these guys are all of a sudden Top 100 recruits based on one game. They put a Miami recruit, Doug Wiggins, all the way up to #33 based on this one game, even though he is not on the radar of any other recruiting service. They pushed Cameron Newton, a Florida QB recruit, from unranked to #28. Rivals now has Newton ranked higher than John Brantley, another Florida recruit, who until Mallett’s recent ascendancy was generally considered to be the #2 QB recruit in the nation, behind Jimmy Clausen. Rivals motives in this case are very transparent, but all of the other recruiting boards have their own issues. USC is certainly putting together the best recruiting class, but the Scout Hot 100 has USC recruits ranked much higher than any other board. ESPN has 7 South Carolina recruits in their Top 100, ranked at #14, 38, 57, 61, 74, 84 & 93. Conversely, Rise Magazine’s Top 100 has only 2 South Carolina recruits, and they are ranked #89 and #91. I would say that is quite a difference of opinion. By the way, the #14 ranked South Carolina recruit, Brian Maddox, is not even ranked in the Top 100 of the other 4 boards.
However, these boards do provide a valuable service because they are staffed by a lot of people who are splendid judges of talent, and I think it is a mistake to ignore their Top 100 ratings altogether. The best way to accomplish this is to look at the 5 major recruiting boards’ elite lists (Rivals 100, Scout Hot 100, CSTV/Lemming’s Top 100, Rise Magazine Top 100, and the top 100 of the ESPN 150) on a consensus basis. By doing this you mitigate the inherent biases and strength criteria of each individual board, but still create a consensus based on the opinions of many talented people. Also by focusing on only those recruits who are ranked in the Top 100 of any of the five boards, you can get a better feel for the true quality of a recruiting class, by discounting recruiting classes that are rated highly on an individual board based on the volume rather than the quality of their recruits. In this light I have put together a database of all of the committed recruits who are listed in any one of the Top 100 rankings of the five major recruiting boards. This list is known as the Quality Index Rankings, and it is updated as of today. The QIR is published in a separate thread called “The Consensus Top 100 Quality Index”, and is updated anytime there is a ranking or commitment status change. As of today, the 2007 ND recruiting class is the #3 ranked consensus class, behind USC and Florida. ND is #1 on the ESPN, and CSTV/Lemming boards. USC is #1 on Scout and Rise. Florida is #1 on Rivals. 13 of Notre Dame’s 19 recruits for 2007 are ranked in the Top 100 of at least one of the boards, and Jimmy Clausen is the consensus #1 committed recruit. If you would like to see the summary and detailed versions of this database go to the Consensus Top 100 Quality Index thread.
Ok, that explains the theory, now let’s get back to 184. As it turns out there are a total of 184 recruits listed on at least one of the Top 100 of the five boards, hence the QIR 184. That number could change if someone new sneaks in to the elite category, but that is unlikely, and besides for some reason I am taking a liking to the number 184. Rivals and Rise have published their final lists, and Scout, CSTV, and ESPN have not made any significant changes in the last week. The link below will take you to the player rankings, as well as a Team Ranking by number of total recruits listed at least once in any of the five boards. Of the 184 total players, 160 have made verbal commitments. Soft Verbals like Ahmad Paige(FSU), Broderick Green(USC), Luther Davis(LSU), and unfortunately Justin Trattou are included in the commit list. The Irish lead this list with 13 recruits, followed by Florida and Texas with 11 each. The 13 Irish recruits consensus rank range from #2 Jimmy Clausen, (Joe McKnight who is uncommitted has the lowest average rating, and thus the #1 consensus rank) to #165 Harrison Smith.
Finally, this is a purely mathematical ranking system. My personal opinions bear no weight on these rankings, and each of the five boards’ rankings is given equal weight. The consensus ranking is based on an accumulation of each player’s individual ranking on the 5 boards, the sum of which is then divided by 5 to get an average rating. The lower the average rating, the higher the rank, it’s as simple as that. If you would like to see it, here is the link.
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pAaiTNNa6ngcxijsvQ1gYdg&output=html&gid=1&single=true
This ranking system evolved from a database I created to provide a Quality Consensus Team ranking based on the Top 100 ranked recruits in each of the following five boards:
Scout Hot 100, Rivals 100, the Top 100 of the ESPN 150, CSTV/Lemming Top 100, and Rise Magazine’s Top 100. The reasons for creating the database was a general frustration with the way recruits were ranked on each board. I had previously posted my rationale for this database, but it was deleted during the now infamous 3 AM IrishEnvy Slash & Burn.
As it turns out, I saved this blurb, and if you want to read it, I have inserted it below. If you do not want to read it, skip the next 2 italicized paragraphs.
Everyone is correct that you should not look at one recruiting service as being the expert on the Top 100. They all have their own team, geographic, and rating strength bias, as well as ulterior marketing motives. The latest and final 2007 Rivals100 clearly displays these ulterior motives. Rivals new list adds 8 new players who are not ranked in the Top 100 of any of the other 4 major recruiting boards. What do these 8 players have in common; they all played at the Offense-Defense All America game, which Rivals is trying to push as an alternative to the AAA game. It is a little ridiculous to say that these guys are all of a sudden Top 100 recruits based on one game. They put a Miami recruit, Doug Wiggins, all the way up to #33 based on this one game, even though he is not on the radar of any other recruiting service. They pushed Cameron Newton, a Florida QB recruit, from unranked to #28. Rivals now has Newton ranked higher than John Brantley, another Florida recruit, who until Mallett’s recent ascendancy was generally considered to be the #2 QB recruit in the nation, behind Jimmy Clausen. Rivals motives in this case are very transparent, but all of the other recruiting boards have their own issues. USC is certainly putting together the best recruiting class, but the Scout Hot 100 has USC recruits ranked much higher than any other board. ESPN has 7 South Carolina recruits in their Top 100, ranked at #14, 38, 57, 61, 74, 84 & 93. Conversely, Rise Magazine’s Top 100 has only 2 South Carolina recruits, and they are ranked #89 and #91. I would say that is quite a difference of opinion. By the way, the #14 ranked South Carolina recruit, Brian Maddox, is not even ranked in the Top 100 of the other 4 boards.
However, these boards do provide a valuable service because they are staffed by a lot of people who are splendid judges of talent, and I think it is a mistake to ignore their Top 100 ratings altogether. The best way to accomplish this is to look at the 5 major recruiting boards’ elite lists (Rivals 100, Scout Hot 100, CSTV/Lemming’s Top 100, Rise Magazine Top 100, and the top 100 of the ESPN 150) on a consensus basis. By doing this you mitigate the inherent biases and strength criteria of each individual board, but still create a consensus based on the opinions of many talented people. Also by focusing on only those recruits who are ranked in the Top 100 of any of the five boards, you can get a better feel for the true quality of a recruiting class, by discounting recruiting classes that are rated highly on an individual board based on the volume rather than the quality of their recruits. In this light I have put together a database of all of the committed recruits who are listed in any one of the Top 100 rankings of the five major recruiting boards. This list is known as the Quality Index Rankings, and it is updated as of today. The QIR is published in a separate thread called “The Consensus Top 100 Quality Index”, and is updated anytime there is a ranking or commitment status change. As of today, the 2007 ND recruiting class is the #3 ranked consensus class, behind USC and Florida. ND is #1 on the ESPN, and CSTV/Lemming boards. USC is #1 on Scout and Rise. Florida is #1 on Rivals. 13 of Notre Dame’s 19 recruits for 2007 are ranked in the Top 100 of at least one of the boards, and Jimmy Clausen is the consensus #1 committed recruit. If you would like to see the summary and detailed versions of this database go to the Consensus Top 100 Quality Index thread.
Ok, that explains the theory, now let’s get back to 184. As it turns out there are a total of 184 recruits listed on at least one of the Top 100 of the five boards, hence the QIR 184. That number could change if someone new sneaks in to the elite category, but that is unlikely, and besides for some reason I am taking a liking to the number 184. Rivals and Rise have published their final lists, and Scout, CSTV, and ESPN have not made any significant changes in the last week. The link below will take you to the player rankings, as well as a Team Ranking by number of total recruits listed at least once in any of the five boards. Of the 184 total players, 160 have made verbal commitments. Soft Verbals like Ahmad Paige(FSU), Broderick Green(USC), Luther Davis(LSU), and unfortunately Justin Trattou are included in the commit list. The Irish lead this list with 13 recruits, followed by Florida and Texas with 11 each. The 13 Irish recruits consensus rank range from #2 Jimmy Clausen, (Joe McKnight who is uncommitted has the lowest average rating, and thus the #1 consensus rank) to #165 Harrison Smith.
Finally, this is a purely mathematical ranking system. My personal opinions bear no weight on these rankings, and each of the five boards’ rankings is given equal weight. The consensus ranking is based on an accumulation of each player’s individual ranking on the 5 boards, the sum of which is then divided by 5 to get an average rating. The lower the average rating, the higher the rank, it’s as simple as that. If you would like to see it, here is the link.
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pAaiTNNa6ngcxijsvQ1gYdg&output=html&gid=1&single=true