I don't necessarily agree that UCLA and GTech will be hard. UCLA will improve, but who knows which team is going to show up. BC will be a hard game, notwithstanding O'Brien's departure to NC State.
I have a feeling PSU's offense will be much better next year. They're really close. If Morelli hits those excellent recievers in stride, PSU can be explosive. They will continue to have a good running game. Their problem is that they lose a lot of guys on defense. However, I think it's really tough playing in Beaver stadium (no one every blows them out there), and even if their offense sputters, Nd will have a hard time pulling off a win there with inexperienced players.
A lot will also depend on improvment. If you're breaking in a bunch of new guys, you can't really expect them to get it right away. But you do expect them to improve. Unfortuantely, Nd's schedule is front loaded (all the good teams are at the beginning of the season). UM will be on a championship run next year, and I don't expect a loss to Nd at home. PSU is probably a loss. BC and UCLA can go either way. I'll split that. USC continues to have better athletes, so that's probably a loss. So 9-3 would actually be pretty good. 8-4 is a little more realistic. But as much as any of you don't want to hear this, I also think it's possible Weis can get frustrated with the hothead Clausen, or Clausen can get impatient. If that happens, with the frontloaded schedule, the team can implode early on and lose a lot of games, like Alabama this year.