Fighting_Irish9 said:
I know that is how the BCS used to calculate their SOS, are you sure Sargin does it that way, I was always under the impretion that he kept all his methods secret.
If you have a link that shows that is how sargin does it, I would appreciate it, I haven't been able to come across an explanation for any of his rankings
Also I'm not sure any of the SOS systems are as simplistic as basic Opponents WL records
First of all, to the best of my knowledge the BCS doesn't count SOS as a category anymore, but it was Sagarin's ratings they used when they did have it as a category. Its not a simple win/loss record, no, but when you turn on the 4-letter network the combined win/loss record of opponents is all they talk about anymore. Sagarin uses a ton of factors, including win/loss of opponents and opponents' opponents, along w/ some other stuff. You're right that he does keep the
exact nature of his ranking system a secret, especially about how he ranks teams overall (not SOS, but their acutal rankings 1-25 like the AP does) but he has let out a few of the more important factors he uses.
Fighting_Irish9 said:
I'm not sure what you are basing that on...ND was 2-1 against GOOD Michigan teams and this was an average at best Michigan team. As for Stanford, ND Never came that close to losing to Stanford with Willingham as the coach and even blew them out by 45+ points the last time we played there.
Yes, but what was the result the last time ND played Michigan @ Michigan? I believe it was somewhere along the lines of 38-0. And to be honest, I don't think Michigan's been all that good in several years, they've just been kept afloat in the rankings by the fact that they're "Michigan" IMO. As for Stanford, first of all Ty never had to play Stanford in a game that would make or break his BCS chances & when Stanford was playing its final game in its home stadium & trying like hell to go out on top. And second of all, & far more importantly, he never had to coach against Stanford w/ Walt Harris coaching the Cardinal. He did coach against Walt Harris in a close game when Harris was at Pitt the year previous though, and I think you remember how that turned out.
Fighting_Irish9 said:
I do however agree the USC game would not have been close, I don't think it would have been as bad as the last two years but we would have lost by more points I'm sure..
Under Willingham we lost some close ones and won some close ones
Yes his first year he had a veteran team that won 10 games, beating 4 top 25 teams and what? 8 teams with winning records. Sure the offense wasn't explosive, it didn't need to be and we didn't have the players for an explosive offense.
You're gonna have to give me the close game they won under Willingham that they weren't supposed to win anyway, cause I don't remember it. They won close ones against Navy, Air Force, Michigan State, Purdue, Washington State, & Tennessee. And every time it was a game they were
supposed to win, except Tennesse, and even then, if Tennessee's top 2 QB's don't go out of that game, do you really think ND would've pulled it out? I don't.
And yes, I know Charlie lost to Michigan State this year, a team he should've beaten, but unlike w/ Willingham, I can look back at this season and see a whole lot more games ND won or were close in (USC) that they weren't supposed even be in than I see games like that.
Fighting_Irish9 said:
What Grand WR's did he have?
As for the 2 QB's that transferred, how good could they have been, have you heard of them since...Did LaVechio light it up at IU? Did the ever have a winning season with him at the helm? Olsen at Virginia, has he even seen the field?
Besides, LoVechio transfered when Willingham wouldn't give him the starting job before summer ball started so he wasn't really an option, and Olsen transfered after Brady Quinn was recruited.
I don't think we can really tell how Willingham did with Grooming talent since he was only here 3 years, Most players do not "break out" until their Jr years...
You're gonna hold LoVechio's record at Indiana against him? Are you kidding me? My high school had a better football team than Indiana, and we only had an intramural program. And it was probly better coached to boot. Olsen I'm not really gonna make a stink about b/c I never thought he was that good to begin w/, but Willingham came in and had 3 QB's, 2 of which fit his system and 1 that didn't. Of the 2 that did, he turned 1 into a TE, and the other was given the cold shoulder right off the bat. Wouldn't you have transferred too if you felt you weren't even gonna get a look at for the starting job?
As far as recievers go, Rhema McKnight and Maurice Stovall were both there when he got there, not to mention Omar Jenkins and Arnaz Battle. All were pretty talented, and either never developed or weren't used properly in a vertical passing game when Willingham coached them
Fighting_Irish9 said:
As for Quinn, I disagree completely as far as you saying he didn't improve, just look at his numbers there was definate improvement
47.3% to 54.1% completion ratio
15 Int's in 332 Att to 9 INT's in 353 Att
9 TD's in 332 Att to 17 TD's in 352 Att
153 Yd Pg to 216 Yds PG (and a vastly improved running game his Soph year)
None of this is to Say I think Willingham was a good or great coach, I'm just saying I think some go over the top with their Praise of Weis
Well, I would hope experience alone would allow for
some improvement. But the improvement he showed under Ty compared to what he showed under Weis was like comparing a baby step to an olympic long jumper.
54.1% to 64.9% completion ratio
9 INT's in 353 Att to 7 INT's in 450 Att
17 TD's in 352 Att to 32 TD's in 450 Att
216 Yds PG to 356 Yds PG (and a vastly
more improved running game his Jr year)
Fact is, he didn't improve enough under Willingham compared to Weis. you can't tell me he would've put up numbers like those in Willingham's confusing dink and dunk west coast offense. Charlie came in, he spread the ball around a lot more, actually incorporated a vertical passing game to take advantage of Brady's cannon for an arm (something Willingham
never did for some reason) and the results speak for themselves.
But don't take my word for it, just look up that great quote Quinn's dad had in the paper somewhere in the middle of last season, "My son came home last year and said, 'Dad, I feel like I'm not even being coached.'"